Forest Park
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #104
Brown County Semi-State Rank #21
Crawford County Regional Rank #7
Jasper Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 13.1%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Warpath Invite Forest Park Ranger Race Jeremy Wright Memorial THSB State Preview Tri-County Invitational Eagle Classic Heritage Hills Invitational Shakamak Invitational Lincoln Trail Invitational
Date 8/16 8/20 8/22 9/5 9/8 9/12 9/12 9/19 9/26
Team Rating 866 775 872 731 1,023 985 1,034
Team Adjusted Rating 775 872 731 1,023 985 1,034
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warpath Invite Forest Park Ranger Race Jeremy Wright Memorial THSB State Preview Tri-County Invitational Eagle Classic Heritage Hills Invitational Shakamak Invitational Lincoln Trail Invitational
12  Spenser Wolf 11 15:47 15:48 15:37 15:48 15:50 15:50 16:20 15:43
409  Bryce Troesch 11 17:27 16:59 17:41 17:17 17:25 NEI 17:37 17:24 17:42
1,079  Eli Berg 10 18:33 18:30 18:16 17:50 21:12 18:25 19:04 18:38
1,095  Ethan Hall 11 18:34 18:01 18:26 18:17 18:11 NEI 18:36 19:17 20:17
Will Kreilein 11 20:10 20:04 20:41 19:38 20:17 NEI 21:45 20:08 20:14
Dylan Weyer 11 20:51 20:22 20:28 20:35 20:48 NEI 20:57 21:25 21:06
Abe Berg 9 20:53 20:54 21:55 20:46 21:02 21:03 20:27 20:24




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 13.1% 15.8 403 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.5 3.3 3.5 1.3 0.0
Regionals 100% 6.7 164 0.2 4.0 8.9 19.5 48.1 16.6 2.5 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.2 96 11.1 60.8 23.9 4.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Spenser Wolf 100% 14.4 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.9 3.0 4.4 4.9 4.9 5.2 4.8 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.5 4.1 3.3 3.8 3.3 3.2 3.2 2.2 2.6 2.6 1.7 100.0% 100.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Spenser Wolf 100% 2.4 27.8 16.8 13.7 10.1 8.5 6.4 5.3 3.6 2.6 1.4 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Bryce Troesch 48.6% 80.1 40.9% 45.5%
Eli Berg 13.1% 140.1 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Hall 13.1% 141.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Spenser Wolf 100% 1.0 51.7 30.2 12.2 3.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Bryce Troesch 100% 25.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.5 3.1 3.9 6.5 9.6 11.8 100.0%
Eli Berg 100% 47.6 100.0%
Ethan Hall 100% 48.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Spenser Wolf 1.0 81.9 17.2 0.9 0.0
Bryce Troesch 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 6.0 24.9 27.6 20.1 11.9 5.8 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Eli Berg 21.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.4 8.4 10.3 13.8 13.6 12.6 11.1 8.9
Ethan Hall 22.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 3.4 6.0 10.6 12.1 14.1 13.5 11.5 9.9