Hamilton Southeastern
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #4
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
Delta Regional Rank #1
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 8.2%
Top 5 at State Finals 78.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 98.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Hamilton County Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invite
Date 9/1 9/12 9/19
Team Rating 133 198 98 148
Team Adjusted Rating 198 98 101
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hamilton County Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invite
20  Nolan Satterfield 11 15:56 15:59 15:50 15:55
21  Jack Patrick 12 15:57 15:53 15:53
27  Will Marquardt 11 16:02 16:12 15:52 15:59
50  Bennett DuBois 11 16:13 17:37 16:04 15:53
80  Connor Sarkovics 11 16:28 16:46 16:15 16:17
162  Garrett Hicks 11 16:48 16:42 16:46
259  Will Tuckis 11 17:06 16:52 17:00 17:21
323  Ash Caylor 10 17:16 17:18 17:06
385  Ian Ross 9 17:25 18:03 17:24 17:24
551  Adam Warski 9 17:46 17:44 17:27 18:16
614  Cade Ogan 11 17:53 18:03 17:38 17:59
662  Luke Pfanstiel 12 17:58 17:53 18:13
714  Max Anderson 12 18:03 18:11
806  Noah Haines 11 18:12 18:13
986  Joey Augustine 10 18:27 18:31
1,048  Lucas Rankin 12 18:33 18:32
1,071  Nolan Pham 12 18:34 19:05 18:09
1,076  Gavin Vessels 9 18:35 18:34
1,183  Luke Andritsch 11 18:42 18:42
1,240  Connor Wright 12 18:48 19:02
1,296  Ben Harris 10 18:53 18:52




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 4.1 147 8.2 15.7 19.3 20.3 14.7 9.8 5.9 2.2 2.1 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.4 53 66.7 30.3 3.0
Regionals 100% 1.4 27 59.7 40.4
Sectionals 100% 1.4 26 59.4 40.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan Satterfield 100% 22.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.5 2.9 3.0 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.8 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.9 3.3 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.1 99.6%
Jack Patrick 100% 24.2 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.6 3.3 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.8 2.7 3.5 3.9 3.3 3.1 3.0 3.0 99.7%
Will Marquardt 100% 31.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.5 2.2 1.6 2.1 2.6 2.6 2.3 3.2 2.4 2.3 2.3 3.1 98.8%
Bennett DuBois 100% 49.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.1 92.6%
Connor Sarkovics 100% 83.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 52.3%
Garrett Hicks 100% 127.8 5.0%
Will Tuckis 100% 157.7 0.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan Satterfield 100% 5.3 0.1 11.6 11.1 12.0 12.0 11.0 8.9 7.8 5.2 5.3 4.3 3.1 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jack Patrick 100% 5.9 0.1 8.6 10.7 11.3 11.3 9.0 9.9 7.5 7.5 6.5 4.8 3.7 2.8 2.1 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Will Marquardt 100% 8.2 2.9 5.1 7.1 8.1 8.6 9.5 7.5 9.0 8.1 7.4 5.4 4.9 4.2 3.0 2.3 2.2 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 100.0%
Bennett DuBois 100% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.5 2.7 3.0 5.0 5.7 5.5 6.8 7.7 6.9 7.4 8.3 5.1 5.8 5.0 5.2 2.7 3.4 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.1 100.0%
Connor Sarkovics 100% 23.7 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.5 1.6 2.1 3.7 3.4 4.5 4.0 4.4 5.1 5.2 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.1 100.0%
Garrett Hicks 100% 43.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.1 0.9 100.0%
Will Tuckis 100% 64.8 0.1 0.1 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan Satterfield 100% 2.6 21.3 16.8 20.4 18.9 13.8 6.7 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jack Patrick 100% 2.9 14.1 17.4 19.8 20.2 17.3 8.9 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Will Marquardt 100% 4.1 4.6 9.1 15.4 18.0 21.8 21.1 7.8 1.9 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Bennett DuBois 100% 6.2 0.3 0.8 1.8 5.6 10.4 22.1 40.9 10.7 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Connor Sarkovics 100% 8.3 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.7 8.3 33.2 20.3 14.2 9.5 7.1 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Garrett Hicks 100% 12.6 0.6 5.6 7.9 10.5 13.8 18.9 18.5 13.8 6.0 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Will Tuckis 100% 16.3 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 3.8 6.9 12.8 18.5 18.2 12.0 8.1 6.4 3.9 2.7 1.9 1.0 0.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nolan Satterfield 2.6 19.5 17.4 21.0 20.2 13.7 6.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
Jack Patrick 2.9 14.3 17.2 20.0 20.6 16.3 9.6 1.9 0.3
Will Marquardt 4.2 5.4 8.6 14.1 17.9 23.7 21.6 7.5 1.1 0.2 0.1
Bennett DuBois 6.2 0.3 0.9 1.3 5.8 9.9 23.3 44.8 8.0 3.9 1.8 0.4
Connor Sarkovics 7.9 0.2 0.7 1.4 8.5 42.1 18.1 15.0 8.5 3.9 1.3 0.5 0.1
Garrett Hicks 11.7 0.9 8.5 10.5 16.5 19.0 19.4 14.7 7.2 2.2 0.6 0.6 0.1
Will Tuckis 14.9 0.1 0.8 1.7 3.3 8.8 14.2 23.8 25.5 11.4 5.3 3.7 1.7 0.1