Northridge
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #29
New Haven Semi-State Rank #9
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Elkhart Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Concord Invitational Elkhart JV Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/29 9/1 9/12 9/24 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 432 565 469 515 NEI 562 517 463 453 389
Team Adjusted Rating 431 469 515 NEI 475 517 463 399 389
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Concord Invitational Elkhart JV Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
95  Jaxon Miller 10 16:36 16:57 16:35 16:50 16:34 16:35 16:38 16:24 16:24 16:33
138  Jack Moore 11 16:47 16:55 17:20 16:55 17:17 16:35
253  Bryce McMann 12 17:07 17:10 17:35 17:09 17:10 17:14 17:06 16:55
360  Jon Spicher 10 17:21 17:05 17:28 17:15 17:30 17:28 17:25 17:23 17:15
417  Trevin Schlabaugh 9 17:30 17:39 18:39 17:55 17:39 17:14 17:12 17:40
467  Nathan Perez 11 17:36 17:13 17:28 18:09 17:13
487  Aaron Cary 17:38 18:06 17:34 17:43 NEI 17:34
562  David Gingerich 9 17:45 17:56 17:47 18:13 18:01 17:47 17:30 17:33
641  Will Knox 10 17:53 18:08 18:11 17:55 18:23 18:11 17:50 17:40
727  David Miller 9 18:02 17:35 18:24 17:55 17:52 18:24 18:53
764  Austin Abelseth 10 18:05 17:36 18:10 17:48 NEI 18:17 18:10 17:54
966  Jovi Martin 9 18:22 18:33 18:13 18:33 18:26
1,069  Josiah Dyck 18:30 18:17 18:39 18:29 NEI 18:39
1,113  Graysen Beasley 9 18:33 18:01 18:55 18:20 18:43 18:55
1,167  Brock Reschly 10 18:37 18:52 18:33 18:27 18:42 18:33
1,301  Andrew Eichstadt 12 18:46 18:40 18:34 NEI 18:40
1,363  Andrew Miller 12 18:51 18:31 18:46 18:45 NEI 18:46
1,460  Matt Friesner 18:59 19:06 18:48 18:58 NEI 18:48
Brendan Gleim 19:08 19:16 18:47 19:21 NEI 18:47
Mason Floria 19:20 18:39 19:52 18:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 9.1 265 0.3 1.7 4.1 7.9 11.3 14.8 15.0 16.3 13.9 7.8 3.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.7 78 6.2 17.5 74.2 2.2
Sectionals 100% 1.9 47 17.0 80.1 2.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaxon Miller 28.3% 72.8 0.1 0.1 28.3% 28.3%
Jack Moore 5.3% 84.5 5.3% 5.3%
Bryce McMann 0.0% 104.5 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaxon Miller 100% 29.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.5 1.4 1.2 2.0 2.3 2.4 1.9 2.3 4.2 4.0 3.3 3.5 100.0%
Jack Moore 100% 41.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.6 1.4 1.3 100.0%
Bryce McMann 100% 65.8 0.1 98.6%
Jon Spicher 100% 86.4 85.7%
Trevin Schlabaugh 100% 99.3 62.9%
Aaron Cary 100% 110.8 40.3%
David Gingerich 100% 120.3 19.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaxon Miller 100% 5.6 0.8 5.8 13.1 19.1 19.9 14.8 10.9 7.0 3.6 2.4 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jack Moore 100% 8.3 0.3 1.6 6.0 8.8 14.5 16.0 12.0 11.9 9.0 6.0 5.7 3.3 2.6 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Bryce McMann 100% 14.9 0.1 0.3 1.7 2.9 4.4 6.9 6.7 8.9 8.9 10.1 8.5 10.0 7.0 5.6 5.3 4.1 2.4 1.8 1.9 1.1 100.0%
Jon Spicher 100% 20.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.6 3.9 4.9 5.5 8.1 7.4 7.5 7.1 6.3 6.2 6.6 5.1 100.0%
Trevin Schlabaugh 100% 26.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.0 2.2 2.6 4.1 4.4 4.7 4.8 6.3 5.5 5.4 100.0%
Aaron Cary 100% 31.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.6 2.9 3.2 4.1 100.0%
David Gingerich 100% 36.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaxon Miller 3.5 0.6 10.3 27.0 26.9 21.5 9.1 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.1
Jack Moore 5.4 0.1 0.9 4.0 13.0 21.6 28.7 18.7 8.4 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1
Bryce McMann 8.7 0.1 0.8 3.4 11.3 19.3 22.1 17.7 11.3 7.3 3.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.1
Jon Spicher 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.4 7.0 12.4 16.4 13.9 12.7 10.3 7.6 5.9 4.3 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2
Trevin Schlabaugh 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 3.2 6.0 9.2 10.9 12.4 10.5 11.1 8.8 6.4 5.0 4.4 3.4 2.7 2.0 1.3 1.1
Aaron Cary 17.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 5.3 6.2 7.9 9.9 10.3 9.7 9.3 8.0 5.6 5.5 4.6 3.9 3.0
David Gingerich 21.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 2.2 3.3 4.2 5.9 7.3 8.3 9.2 8.5 7.6 7.6 6.9 6.9