Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #25
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #3
Logansport Regional Rank #1
Manchester Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 21st place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 2.1%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Warsaw Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Manchester Sectional Logansport Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/25 9/1 9/5 9/19 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 385 296 395 411 428 438 447 443 393 350
Team Adjusted Rating 296 395 411 428 438 447 443 393 350
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warsaw Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Manchester Sectional Logansport Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
84  Jacob Kissling 12 16:33 16:29 16:53 16:40 16:38 16:53 16:36 16:53 16:37 16:26
150  Sam Lechlitner 12 16:49 16:45 17:02 16:41 16:46 17:02 17:09 17:08 16:49 16:42
222  Harrison Phipps 11 17:01 16:34 17:03 16:56 17:11 17:03 17:05 17:15 16:54 16:57
223  Tanner Stiver 12 17:01 16:34 17:08 17:46 18:33 17:08 17:13 16:51 16:52 16:54
355  Garrett Hall 10 17:20 17:36 17:44 17:32 17:40 17:44 17:30 17:27 17:35 17:13
451  Luke Nier 10 17:34 17:01 17:26 17:14 17:06 17:26 18:04 17:45 17:35 18:22
639  Sam Slough 11 17:53 17:47 18:04 17:57 17:35 18:04 17:56 18:02 17:54
770  Ian Denzer 12 18:06 18:38 18:04 18:08 18:10 18:04 17:53
839  Tyler Swartz 9 18:12 18:20 18:07 18:17 18:07
848  Andrew Potter 9 18:13 18:51 18:09 18:02 18:09 18:09
1,170  Nate Knecht 11 18:38 17:49 19:25 18:17 19:28 19:25
1,284  Jacob Denzer 12 18:46 18:42 18:50 18:40 18:49 18:50
1,333  Angel Malagon 12 18:49 18:40 18:42 19:21 19:01 18:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 19.2 479 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.6 4.2 5.0 5.0 8.5 10.6 14.3 19.9 14.9 6.7 1.6
Semi-State 100% 2.8 124 12.5 25.4 38.2 17.9 4.2 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.1 34 86.8 13.3
Sectionals 100% 1.0 24 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Kissling 100% 85.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 83.5%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 121.7 34.2%
Harrison Phipps 100% 144.0 8.3%
Tanner Stiver 100% 144.6 8.7%
Garrett Hall 100% 171.5 0.1%
Luke Nier 100% 184.2 0.0%
Sam Slough 100% 196.2 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Kissling 100% 8.4 0.1 3.6 6.3 7.1 8.2 8.3 8.0 5.9 7.0 6.1 4.6 5.7 4.3 3.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 1.4 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.9 100.0%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 22.2 0.3 0.9 0.9 1.1 2.0 2.3 2.2 4.0 3.3 2.7 2.5 2.8 4.0 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.6 3.7 2.9 3.4 2.9 100.0%
Harrison Phipps 100% 37.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.8 99.7%
Tanner Stiver 100% 36.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.4 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.9 99.7%
Garrett Hall 100% 59.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 90.4%
Luke Nier 100% 76.8 0.1 58.7%
Sam Slough 100% 103.7 11.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Kissling 100% 1.0 49.6 29.9 12.4 5.7 2.1 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 3.6 1.5 13.3 22.3 20.6 16.9 10.6 7.5 3.5 2.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Harrison Phipps 100% 6.7 0.9 3.2 7.0 11.5 14.9 17.7 14.2 11.9 8.0 4.2 3.0 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Tanner Stiver 100% 6.8 0.1 0.7 3.8 6.8 10.2 14.4 17.2 15.7 10.1 7.8 5.7 3.7 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Garrett Hall 100% 12.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.9 7.2 9.9 11.2 11.6 12.0 9.9 9.1 7.1 6.4 4.3 2.7 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Luke Nier 100% 17.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.1 3.9 6.5 7.2 7.8 9.9 10.0 10.7 10.3 9.6 7.4 4.1 4.0 2.1 1.5 100.0%
Sam Slough 100% 23.5 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.8 3.0 3.7 5.0 9.0 9.1 10.8 11.4 9.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Kissling 1.0 78.7 15.8 4.6 0.8 0.3
Sam Lechlitner 2.5 2.5 33.3 29.0 20.5 9.1 4.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
Harrison Phipps 4.8 0.1 2.5 10.2 19.0 22.8 22.8 13.4 6.2 2.7 0.5 0.1
Tanner Stiver 4.8 2.7 9.7 17.3 26.8 22.0 13.5 5.1 2.6 0.4 0.1
Garrett Hall 8.4 0.2 0.2 0.8 4.4 14.4 20.9 22.9 18.2 12.1 4.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1
Luke Nier 11.0 0.3 0.8 3.9 9.6 13.7 21.9 22.4 16.1 6.7 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.3
Sam Slough 14.4 0.1 0.7 2.1 6.8 12.5 19.5 19.2 12.1 8.3 5.5 4.6 3.1 2.2 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.4