Pike
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #35
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #14
Ben Davis Regional Rank #3
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Triton Early Bird Invitational Taylor University Invitational Harrison Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Championship Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/14 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21
Team Rating 467 675 463 523 568 453 453 495 469 493 556
Team Adjusted Rating 675 463 523 547 453 452 495 469 437 487
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Triton Early Bird Invitational Taylor University Invitational Harrison Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conf. Marion County Championship Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
63  Nia Taylor 11 19:24 20:21 19:24 19:08 19:25 19:04 19:26 19:20 19:06 19:32 20:08
182  Sophia Thibault 11 20:10 20:23 20:10 20:32 20:29 19:56 19:54 20:23 20:20 19:49 20:15
214  Jessica Velez 9 20:22 21:41 20:37 20:50 21:12 20:52 20:23 20:56 20:46 20:17 20:08
499  Cara Karmolinski 9 21:18 22:50 21:24 21:42 21:37 21:23 21:10 21:10 21:06 21:00 21:14
679  Abigail Beiter 12 21:49 21:42 21:26 22:13
779  Kennedy Kiger 9 22:05 25:03 22:31 21:56 22:16 21:24 21:50 21:47 21:45 23:40
1,018  Ella Garvin 9 22:40 23:20 22:19 21:50 22:26 22:20 22:39 22:12 23:48 23:30 22:58
1,089  Kristina Copher 9 22:51 22:16 22:43 22:56 22:03 22:32 24:15 22:46 23:41
1,136  Lexus Tanner 9 22:56 22:32 22:54 22:10 23:43 22:56 23:09
1,211  Janna Johns 12 23:04 23:00 22:14 23:08 22:47 22:28 23:30 24:38
Sarah Beiter 10 23:38 25:06 24:00 23:18 23:29 23:33




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 10.3 325 29.4 34.1 20.8 10.2 3.7 1.7 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.5 101 57.2 35.3 7.5
Sectionals 100% 2.0 60 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nia Taylor 31.4% 51.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 31.4% 31.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nia Taylor 100% 29.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.7 1.1 2.0 1.3 2.5 2.0 2.2 2.8 3.2 2.8 3.5 4.2 2.9 100.0%
Sophia Thibault 100% 62.2 100.0%
Jessica Velez 100% 71.3 100.0%
Cara Karmolinski 100% 119.8 86.1%
Kennedy Kiger 100% 147.8 7.6%
Ella Garvin 100% 160.4 0.0%
Kristina Copher 100% 163.3 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nia Taylor 100% 8.0 0.6 1.3 2.5 5.9 9.6 13.8 17.3 21.4 13.4 8.5 4.0 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Sophia Thibault 100% 14.9 0.2 0.4 2.3 4.1 7.8 10.8 13.8 12.6 9.3 10.5 8.5 5.5 6.1 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.7 100.0%
Jessica Velez 100% 18.2 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.5 5.8 8.2 9.0 9.2 9.5 10.2 9.9 8.1 6.6 5.6 3.7 3.1 100.0%
Cara Karmolinski 100% 33.9 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.1 100.0%
Kennedy Kiger 100% 44.0 100.0%
Ella Garvin 100% 50.4 100.0%
Kristina Copher 100% 52.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nia Taylor 4.3 1.3 3.8 9.7 26.2 30.7 13.9 12.5 1.7 0.3 0.1
Sophia Thibault 8.7 0.1 0.6 2.8 7.0 21.9 24.6 18.6 15.2 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
Jessica Velez 10.5 0.5 1.4 5.6 13.4 20.7 18.6 22.7 11.8 4.1 1.5
Cara Karmolinski 15.4 0.1 0.4 2.1 6.4 19.6 53.4 14.0 4.0 0.1
Kennedy Kiger 18.3 0.4 8.9 22.6 62.0 5.5 0.6 0.1
Ella Garvin 20.1 0.1 2.7 43.1 29.5 15.6 6.2 2.0 0.8
Kristina Copher 21.2 0.1 0.1 1.0 13.7 30.6 28.2 16.1 7.2 2.7