Hamilton Southeastern
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #5
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 36.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 89.5%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Hamilton County Championship Wildcat Classic Invitational Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/23 8/29 9/9 9/16 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 189 237 226 217 217 183 205 209 182 184
Team Adjusted Rating 237 226 217 217 183 205 209 182 184
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Hamilton County Championship Wildcat Classic Invitational Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
16  Lulu Black 11 18:46 18:43 18:41 19:01 18:38 18:49 18:39 18:50 18:51 18:47
29  Halle Hill 9 18:56 19:11 18:58 19:15 19:05 18:51 18:49 18:52 18:54 18:54
48  Lillian Cummins 11 19:16 19:40 19:27 19:28 19:25 19:03 19:25 19:24 19:09 19:08
127  Sam Alphin 10 19:50 21:33 21:06 20:56 21:00 20:08 20:06 19:45 19:35 19:57
180  Ellie Pedersen 10 20:09 20:07 20:26 20:01 20:11 19:55 20:40 20:35 20:18 20:00
267  Elle Johnson 9 20:36 20:53 20:18 20:03 20:19 20:33 20:19 21:06 20:37 21:29
303  Abbie Lohman 12 20:42 20:31 20:28 20:41 20:36 21:03 20:45
370  Brooke Ratliff 9 20:57 21:39 20:58 20:24 20:28 20:45 21:00 21:58
425  Grace Howard 9 21:07 21:08 21:42 20:26 20:56 21:36
446  Lilly Patrick 9 21:11 21:22 21:58 21:13 20:41 21:07
538  Jenna McLean 9 21:25 22:48 22:07 21:07 21:22 20:59
539  Katie Murhling 10 21:25 21:24 21:20 21:10 21:13 22:06
685  Maddie McNarney 10 21:50 21:42 21:23 22:10 22:50 21:29
805  Rachel Simmonds 12 22:09 22:19 22:48 22:21 21:56 21:49
867  Caroline Shumaker 11 22:17 21:56 22:08 21:54 23:02 22:29
923  Oiivia Schenck 9 22:24 21:55 22:25 21:52 23:15 22:36
1,011  Ella Roundy 9 22:39 22:39 21:57 23:20 22:45
1,023  Brianna Wright 9 22:41 21:40 23:17 23:33 22:16
1,070  Katie Kleinhelter 11 22:48 22:21 23:24 22:51 23:14 22:27
1,228  Anna Miller 12 23:07 22:31 23:44 22:33 25:06 22:53
1,265  Andi Shick 10 23:13 23:01 23:06 22:58 24:55 23:03
1,295  Marni Myers 10 23:16 23:20 23:59 23:07 23:00
Miyah Kim 9 23:30 23:40 24:01 23:55 23:26 22:50
Gabby Huffer 9 23:34 23:43 24:21 23:16 23:48 23:18
Halle Duros 9 23:37 23:34 23:30 23:23 24:48 23:27
Lucy Bailey 12 23:54 23:27 23:11 26:04 23:53
Audrey Andritsch 11 24:01 23:39 23:44 23:51 25:45 23:59
Katie Edwards 10 24:09 24:35 24:19 23:43 25:30 23:34
Allie Geis 10 24:17 24:20 23:59 23:02 25:13 24:37




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 6.8 230 0.8 3.6 8.3 9.9 14.1 14.3 11.6 10.8 9.0 7.4 4.6 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1
Semi-State 100% 4.6 121 4.2 8.8 13.7 20.6 20.0 18.1 11.9 2.9
Regionals 100% 3.5 93 6.6 15.2 27.6 30.4 17.8 2.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.6 67 13.5 31.0 35.4 20.0 0.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lulu Black 100% 20.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.9 2.1 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.7 4.2 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.0 2.8 3.3 2.8 96.5%
Halle Hill 100% 29.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.0 2.5 3.0 2.4 89.4%
Lillian Cummins 100% 52.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.8 47.5%
Sam Alphin 100% 104.6 1.7%
Ellie Pedersen 100% 131.7 0.0%
Elle Johnson 100% 164.3 0.0%
Abbie Lohman 100% 170.6 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lulu Black 100% 8.2 0.1 1.5 4.3 8.3 9.4 9.0 8.5 8.0 7.4 6.4 6.7 4.1 4.5 3.9 3.0 2.4 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.2 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 100.0%
Halle Hill 100% 12.5 0.4 1.3 2.4 3.6 5.0 5.8 4.9 5.7 6.4 5.4 6.1 5.8 5.6 5.2 5.4 5.1 3.9 3.9 2.2 2.7 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 100.0%
Lillian Cummins 100% 23.9 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.7 1.8 2.6 2.4 2.7 3.6 3.5 4.0 3.8 4.5 3.9 4.5 4.6 4.1 4.3 97.9%
Sam Alphin 100% 48.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 55.8%
Ellie Pedersen 100% 61.7 15.6%
Elle Johnson 100% 81.8 0.7%
Abbie Lohman 100% 87.1 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lulu Black 100% 4.9 2.0 5.9 13.2 17.0 13.5 13.2 8.1 7.5 6.2 4.5 2.7 2.5 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Halle Hill 100% 7.5 0.5 1.5 4.4 6.6 8.8 11.4 11.8 11.0 9.5 7.8 7.2 4.6 4.6 3.0 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Lillian Cummins 100% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.3 2.6 3.9 5.9 6.5 6.7 9.0 8.2 7.1 6.6 7.0 5.8 4.8 3.7 3.2 2.7 3.2 2.3 1.5 1.3 100.0%
Sam Alphin 100% 30.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.8 1.6 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.0 3.2 2.9 3.3 3.7 100.0%
Ellie Pedersen 100% 39.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.4 100.0%
Elle Johnson 100% 50.4 100.0%
Abbie Lohman 100% 53.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lulu Black 3.2 4.7 19.3 20.8 21.1 14.7 9.3 4.9 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Halle Hill 4.8 1.3 4.9 11.4 17.4 18.6 17.6 12.0 5.8 4.1 2.3 1.7 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Lillian Cummins 8.7 0.2 0.5 1.8 4.5 7.6 13.9 13.8 11.3 9.0 7.8 6.4 5.5 5.0 3.9 2.6 1.6 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.1
Sam Alphin 20.4 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.2 2.0 2.7 3.6 2.7 4.6 3.8 5.8 6.6 6.2 6.8 6.9 6.5 6.6 7.3 6.4
Ellie Pedersen 27.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.6 2.7 3.3 4.3 6.0 6.3
Elle Johnson 33.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5
Abbie Lohman 35.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2