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State Rank #23
New Haven Semi-State Rank #4
West Noble Regional Rank #3
Northrop Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 21st place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/16 9/23 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 336 298 352 344 399 303 967 357 363 378 372 338
Team Adjusted Rating 298 352 324 356 303 336 337 363 378 372 338
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Penn Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational Flashrock Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
107  Julia Dvorak 10 19:42 19:35 20:02 19:36 19:46 19:09 19:14 19:52 20:02 19:55 19:36
136  Saige Norris 12 19:53 19:41 20:14 20:19 21:00 21:21 20:47 20:39 20:16 19:45
181  Skylar Weiskittel 9 20:09 21:04 20:17 21:02 20:15 19:45 19:56 19:49 20:48 20:12
212  Izabella Henschen 11 20:21 20:09 20:20 20:17 20:29 20:18 20:22 20:27 20:08 20:41
286  Julia Eifert 12 20:39 20:27 20:27 20:11 20:24 20:01 20:39 20:49 20:57 21:07 21:02
296  Skylar Kiess 10 20:41 20:53 21:06 21:59 20:14 20:41 20:25 20:46 20:28 20:34
302  Rhyah Jones 10 20:42 19:59 20:20 20:37 20:41 20:30 20:44 21:11 21:04
336  Angelina Sedlaczek 10 20:48 20:47 20:52
529  Jie-Ling Arata 12 21:24 21:46 20:59 20:49 21:09 22:01 21:30 21:41
744  Abby Smith 11 21:59 22:29 21:48 22:08 21:39 22:08
866  Megan Godfrey 11 22:17 22:52 22:07 22:03
902  Jsie Geary 9 22:22 22:04 22:27 22:21 22:17 22:41
1,093  Heidi Warner 9 22:52 24:13 23:17 22:38 22:49 22:25
1,145  Rhylee Jones 10 22:57 23:29 22:39 22:23 23:41
1,274  Kaitlyn Mueller 11 23:14 23:47 23:31 23:14 23:15 22:43
1,311  Chalaina Saine 11 23:18 22:49 23:36 23:03 23:39
1,349  Emma Hunter 11 23:22 23:24 23:22 23:22
Chloe Johnson 10 23:43 23:44 23:39 23:44 23:47
Grace McGuire 11 23:54 23:40 24:21 23:50 24:01 23:44
Helen Darmofal 9 24:00 23:07 24:01 24:29 23:19 24:48
Anna Tilbury 10 24:02 22:58 24:25 23:18 24:06 25:07




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 19.3 449 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.8 3.3 4.7 7.2 7.4 9.4 10.8 9.2 11.6 10.9 10.2 9.4
Semi-State 100% 3.9 154 24.1 25.0 18.8 14.4 8.6 5.1 3.3 0.8 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.0 91 36.6 36.0 19.0 8.5
Sectionals 100% 2.8 69 39.0 39.9 21.2



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Dvorak 100% 90.3 0.1 34.8%
Saige Norris 100% 109.4 16.2%
Skylar Weiskittel 100% 131.3 2.0%
Izabella Henschen 100% 146.7 0.3%
Julia Eifert 100% 167.7 0.0%
Skylar Kiess 100% 168.4 0.0%
Rhyah Jones 100% 169.7 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Dvorak 100% 21.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.7 1.9 2.2 3.0 4.4 4.5 5.3 5.0 6.1 6.2 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.4 5.3 100.0%
Saige Norris 100% 26.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.3 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 3.9 6.1 5.8 5.8 100.0%
Skylar Weiskittel 100% 35.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 0.7 1.7 2.2 2.4 100.0%
Izabella Henschen 100% 44.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.6 99.8%
Julia Eifert 100% 61.6 0.1 94.9%
Skylar Kiess 100% 63.5 0.1 94.4%
Rhyah Jones 100% 63.5 0.1 94.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Dvorak 100% 11.3 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.3 4.5 6.5 11.5 16.9 18.4 15.4 8.8 4.9 3.4 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Saige Norris 100% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.2 1.9 4.4 9.1 12.4 16.4 15.1 11.7 8.2 6.2 4.1 2.7 2.1 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Skylar Weiskittel 100% 17.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 2.4 4.1 6.5 11.5 11.2 11.3 9.7 8.5 7.5 5.2 5.5 3.2 3.2 2.2 100.0%
Izabella Henschen 100% 21.4 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.2 3.3 5.2 6.0 6.6 7.9 8.0 7.0 7.8 6.4 6.6 6.7 100.0%
Julia Eifert 100% 29.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.0 2.9 2.6 3.8 4.4 5.8 100.0%
Skylar Kiess 100% 29.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.5 1.4 2.8 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.9 100.0%
Rhyah Jones 100% 29.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.7 2.4 2.9 4.2 3.5 3.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Julia Dvorak 7.6 0.1 1.4 3.5 4.4 7.9 17.5 24.4 16.9 10.7 6.3 3.1 1.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Saige Norris 9.4 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.7 2.7 5.3 11.5 20.2 17.5 14.6 7.2 6.3 4.6 3.2 1.6 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2
Skylar Weiskittel 12.7 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 3.8 9.1 11.5 13.5 13.2 11.4 9.0 6.6 5.5 4.0 3.6 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.4
Izabella Henschen 16.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.8 3.1 5.8 7.8 8.3 9.9 11.3 9.7 8.9 7.0 7.1 5.3 4.5 3.2 2.2 1.2
Julia Eifert 21.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.3 4.0 4.5 5.6 5.4 7.8 9.0 8.6 8.3 8.3 8.1
Skylar Kiess 22.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.0 4.7 5.8 7.4 6.6 9.4 8.7 8.7 8.8
Rhyah Jones 22.8 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.5 1.9 3.3 4.7 6.1 7.1 7.2 8.5 8.9 8.5 9.0