Holy Cross
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.5#341
Expected Predictive Rating-18.8#350
Pace70.9#146
Improvement-3.4#352

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#326
First Shot-6.4#326
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#166
Layup/Dunks-1.0#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#275
Freethrows-2.6#306
Improvement-3.0#353

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#340
First Shot-2.9#261
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#341
Layups/Dunks-4.7#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
Freethrows+1.3#116
Improvement-0.5#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 2.5% 5.3% 2.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 72.5% 63.9% 73.2%
First Four0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 7.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 101 - 13
Quad 44 - 135 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 8   @ Maryland L 71-95 1%     0 - 1 -4.0 +1.9 -3.9
  Nov 09, 2019 319   @ New Hampshire L 83-87 28%     0 - 2 -11.4 +3.1 -14.2
  Nov 12, 2019 286   Fairfield L 63-68 OT 36%     0 - 3 -14.8 -10.4 -4.6
  Nov 19, 2019 104   Northeastern L 44-101 9%     0 - 4 -55.8 -32.8 -21.8
  Nov 22, 2019 100   Harvard L 64-79 8%    
  Nov 29, 2019 176   @ Florida Atlantic L 62-78 8%    
  Dec 01, 2019 192   Hofstra L 70-82 14%    
  Dec 07, 2019 159   @ San Diego L 61-77 6%    
  Dec 14, 2019 298   @ Canisius L 69-77 23%    
  Dec 22, 2019 263   Sacred Heart L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 29, 2019 180   @ Siena L 65-80 8%    
  Jan 02, 2020 220   @ Loyola Maryland L 67-80 11%    
  Jan 05, 2020 253   Navy L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 08, 2020 219   @ Lafayette L 70-83 11%    
  Jan 11, 2020 163   @ Bucknell L 67-83 7%    
  Jan 15, 2020 265   Army L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 18, 2020 230   @ American L 66-79 13%    
  Jan 22, 2020 236   Lehigh L 74-80 30%    
  Jan 25, 2020 172   Boston University L 66-76 20%    
  Jan 29, 2020 253   @ Navy L 59-71 16%    
  Feb 01, 2020 151   Colgate L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 05, 2020 220   Loyola Maryland L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 172   @ Boston University L 63-79 9%    
  Feb 12, 2020 236   @ Lehigh L 71-83 15%    
  Feb 15, 2020 219   Lafayette L 73-80 25%    
  Feb 17, 2020 163   Bucknell L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 23, 2020 151   @ Colgate L 65-82 7%    
  Feb 26, 2020 265   @ Army L 68-79 18%    
  Feb 29, 2020 230   American L 69-76 28%    
Projected Record 4 - 25 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.0 0.6 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 3.3 1.1 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 3.9 6.6 5.5 1.8 0.2 19.2 9th
10th 7.1 15.2 16.8 13.9 6.7 2.0 0.4 62.0 10th
Total 7.1 15.2 18.1 17.9 14.4 10.7 7.1 4.3 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 24.5% 24.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-8 0.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7
9-9 1.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.4
8-10 2.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
7-11 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
6-12 7.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.1
5-13 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.7
4-14 14.4% 14.4
3-15 17.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.9
2-16 18.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.1
1-17 15.2% 15.2
0-18 7.1% 7.1
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.8%