Holy Cross
Patriot League
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.9#339
Expected Predictive Rating-13.8#336
Pace68.2#216
Improvement-1.3#239

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#283
First Shot-4.2#302
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#135
Layup/Dunks+1.2#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#304
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#132
Freethrows-3.7#349
Improvement-1.9#272

Defense
Total Defense-9.2#347
First Shot-7.6#345
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#305
Layups/Dunks-7.5#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#134
Freethrows-0.6#223
Improvement+0.6#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 80.5% 68.0% 87.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 36.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 120 - 14
Quad 44 - 135 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 7   @ Maryland L 71-95 1%     0 - 1 -4.9 +4.5 -7.5
  Nov 09, 2019 298   @ New Hampshire L 83-87 23%     0 - 2 -9.2 +6.4 -15.4
  Nov 12, 2019 253   Fairfield L 63-68 OT 32%     0 - 3 -13.0 -7.6 -5.6
  Nov 19, 2019 140   Northeastern L 44-101 14%     0 - 4 -58.1 -32.3 -24.6
  Nov 22, 2019 94   Harvard L 74-82 8%     0 - 5 -5.4 +3.7 -9.2
  Nov 29, 2019 184   @ Florida Atlantic L 69-87 9%     0 - 6 -16.0 +0.4 -17.0
  Dec 01, 2019 146   Hofstra L 69-91 10%     0 - 7 -20.7 -12.5 -6.0
  Dec 02, 2019 238   Mercer W 81-67 21%     1 - 7 +9.8 +8.9 +1.4
  Dec 07, 2019 193   @ San Diego L 51-68 10%     1 - 8 -16.1 -20.4 +4.7
  Dec 14, 2019 234   @ Canisius L 72-80 14%     1 - 9 -9.3 -5.7 -3.0
  Dec 22, 2019 208   Sacred Heart L 68-89 25%     1 - 10 -26.8 -10.4 -16.1
  Dec 29, 2019 231   @ Siena L 62-74 14%     1 - 11 -13.1 -7.7 -6.3
  Jan 02, 2020 271   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-80 18%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -13.3 -5.0 -8.6
  Jan 05, 2020 218   Navy W 63-61 26%     2 - 12 1 - 1 -4.2 -3.0 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2020 194   @ Lafayette L 64-82 10%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -17.1 -6.6 -11.5
  Jan 11, 2020 219   @ Bucknell L 60-75 13%     2 - 14 1 - 3 -15.6 -11.6 -4.3
  Jan 16, 2020 295   Army L 67-79 41%     2 - 15 1 - 4 -22.5 -7.9 -15.1
  Jan 18, 2020 217   @ American L 69-81 13%     2 - 16 1 - 5 -12.6 -1.3 -11.9
  Jan 22, 2020 269   Lehigh L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 25, 2020 180   Boston University L 67-76 19%    
  Jan 29, 2020 218   @ Navy L 59-71 12%    
  Feb 01, 2020 129   Colgate L 67-79 13%    
  Feb 05, 2020 271   Loyola Maryland L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 08, 2020 180   @ Boston University L 64-79 8%    
  Feb 12, 2020 269   @ Lehigh L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 15, 2020 194   Lafayette L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 17, 2020 219   Bucknell L 70-77 27%    
  Feb 23, 2020 129   @ Colgate L 64-82 5%    
  Feb 26, 2020 295   @ Army L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 29, 2020 217   American L 68-75 28%    
Projected Record 4 - 26 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.2 0.8 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.4 3.4 8.1 7.1 1.8 0.1 20.8 9th
10th 8.3 20.0 22.2 12.6 3.3 0.2 66.6 10th
Total 8.3 20.3 25.7 21.6 13.9 6.4 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.2% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
8-10 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8
7-11 2.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.7
6-12 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
4-14 21.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.5
3-15 25.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 25.7
2-16 20.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.3
1-17 8.3% 8.3
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.0%