St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#118
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#123
Pace63.2#321
Improvement+2.0#98

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#140
First Shot+0.5#155
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#115
Layup/Dunks+0.9#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#222
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement+2.8#46

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#120
First Shot+1.4#118
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#145
Layups/Dunks+1.5#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#214
Freethrows-1.6#274
Improvement-0.8#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.3 12.3
.500 or above 90.5% 94.7% 80.7%
.500 or above in Conference 86.0% 91.8% 72.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.3% 1.5% 0.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 69.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 3
Quad 22 - 43 - 6
Quad 38 - 510 - 11
Quad 48 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 207   Ohio L 53-65 80%     0 - 1 -17.7 -18.1 -1.0
  Nov 08, 2019 86   Vermont L 59-61 48%     0 - 2 +1.6 -10.0 +11.5
  Nov 12, 2019 231   @ Siena L 65-78 66%     0 - 3 -14.0 -8.8 -5.3
  Nov 16, 2019 33   Rutgers W 80-74 21%     1 - 3 +17.7 +23.5 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2019 228   @ Canisius L 57-61 65%     1 - 4 -4.9 -9.9 +4.6
  Nov 26, 2019 219   Mercer W 56-51 82%     2 - 4 -1.5 -12.9 +12.1
  Dec 01, 2019 199   San Diego W 70-61 70%     3 - 4 +6.5 +5.5 +1.9
  Dec 02, 2019 186   @ Florida Atlantic W 71-64 55%     4 - 4 +8.8 +1.7 +7.2
  Dec 07, 2019 148   Hofstra W 73-45 68%     5 - 4 +26.2 +1.9 +26.1
  Dec 18, 2019 299   Niagara W 87-70 90%     6 - 4 +6.3 +7.2 -0.4
  Dec 21, 2019 287   @ Middle Tennessee W 66-65 75%     7 - 4 -3.0 -5.2 +2.3
  Dec 30, 2019 135   @ Buffalo L 79-84 43%     7 - 5 -0.2 -1.7 +2.1
  Jan 05, 2020 191   @ George Washington W 71-66 58%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +6.1 +5.6 +0.9
  Jan 08, 2020 153   @ George Mason W 61-49 48%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +15.5 -6.4 +22.6
  Jan 11, 2020 259   Fordham W 64-44 86%     10 - 5 3 - 0 +11.6 +1.8 +12.9
  Jan 15, 2020 194   Massachusetts W 74-61 69%     11 - 5 4 - 0 +10.8 +6.6 +5.4
  Jan 18, 2020 42   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-91 16%     11 - 6 4 - 1 -14.4 -2.9 -10.4
  Jan 22, 2020 9   @ Dayton L 60-86 8%     11 - 7 4 - 2 -7.0 -1.3 -7.8
  Jan 25, 2020 58   Rhode Island L 75-81 41%     11 - 8 4 - 3 -0.5 +9.4 -10.1
  Jan 29, 2020 259   @ Fordham W 61-55 70%    
  Feb 01, 2020 153   George Mason W 68-63 69%    
  Feb 05, 2020 191   George Washington W 69-61 78%    
  Feb 08, 2020 110   @ Duquesne L 63-67 34%    
  Feb 11, 2020 249   @ Saint Joseph's W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 14, 2020 92   Davidson W 65-64 51%    
  Feb 22, 2020 76   Richmond L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 26, 2020 110   Duquesne W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 29, 2020 180   @ La Salle W 66-65 54%    
  Mar 04, 2020 249   Saint Joseph's W 77-66 85%    
  Mar 07, 2020 95   @ Saint Louis L 61-66 31%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 2.7 2.1 0.3 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.8 4.3 0.8 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 5.5 7.4 1.3 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.3 4.3 9.3 2.9 0.0 16.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 8.7 4.8 0.2 16.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 6.8 6.4 0.6 15.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.2 5.8 1.3 0.0 13.7 8th
9th 0.3 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.2 1.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 4.1 8.7 15.6 21.4 21.0 16.2 8.4 3.1 0.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 28.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 4.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.5% 7.7% 5.8% 1.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0%
14-4 3.1% 4.5% 4.5% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.9
13-5 8.4% 2.6% 2.6% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.1
12-6 16.2% 2.5% 2.5% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 15.8
11-7 21.0% 1.4% 1.4% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 20.7
10-8 21.4% 0.7% 0.7% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 21.2
9-9 15.6% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5
8-10 8.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 8.7
7-11 4.1% 4.1
6-12 0.9% 0.9
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%