St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#330
Expected Predictive Rating-20.9#351
Pace60.5#346
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-9.9#350
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#199
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 6.8% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 8.1% 27.8% 8.0%
.500 or above in Conference 18.2% 36.8% 18.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 0.8% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 30.0% 12.8% 30.1%
First Four1.0% 3.0% 0.9%
First Round0.8% 6.8% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 48 - 139 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2019 259   Bryant L 44-69 37%     0 - 1 -32.9 -33.4 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2019 36   @ Providence L 49-75 1%    
  Nov 20, 2019 333   Wagner W 66-63 61%    
  Nov 30, 2019 299   St. Francis Brooklyn L 62-63 49%    
  Dec 03, 2019 87   @ St. John's L 58-78 3%    
  Dec 11, 2019 251   Fairleigh Dickinson L 59-63 38%    
  Dec 18, 2019 95   @ Connecticut L 56-76 4%    
  Dec 22, 2019 246   @ LIU Brooklyn L 60-70 19%    
  Dec 28, 2019 250   @ Hampton L 62-72 21%    
  Jan 03, 2020 196   @ Iona L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 05, 2020 328   Marist W 59-56 60%    
  Jan 09, 2020 195   @ Siena L 59-71 14%    
  Jan 12, 2020 305   Canisius W 63-62 51%    
  Jan 15, 2020 280   @ Fairfield L 53-61 24%    
  Jan 18, 2020 252   @ Quinnipiac L 58-68 21%    
  Jan 24, 2020 166   @ Rider L 62-76 12%    
  Jan 26, 2020 320   Niagara W 67-65 58%    
  Jan 29, 2020 255   Monmouth L 59-62 38%    
  Jan 31, 2020 272   Manhattan L 60-63 41%    
  Feb 02, 2020 195   Siena L 62-68 29%    
  Feb 07, 2020 328   @ Marist L 56-59 39%    
  Feb 09, 2020 255   @ Monmouth L 56-65 21%    
  Feb 14, 2020 252   Quinnipiac L 61-65 37%    
  Feb 16, 2020 280   Fairfield L 56-58 44%    
  Feb 21, 2020 272   @ Manhattan L 57-66 24%    
  Feb 23, 2020 166   Rider L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 27, 2020 320   @ Niagara L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 29, 2020 305   @ Canisius L 59-65 32%    
  Mar 06, 2020 196   Iona L 63-69 30%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.2 2.4 0.7 0.1 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 3.1 0.8 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.7 3.9 0.7 0.0 12.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.8 3.6 1.1 0.1 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.4 5.3 6.3 3.3 0.9 0.0 18.8 10th
11th 1.0 2.8 5.5 5.6 4.3 1.9 0.4 0.0 21.5 11th
Total 1.0 2.9 6.0 8.2 10.7 12.1 12.2 10.8 10.1 7.9 6.0 4.5 3.2 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 96.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 60.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 43.9% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-6 20.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.3% 18.0% 18.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 14.4% 14.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.6
14-6 1.2% 14.0% 14.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.0
13-7 2.1% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.0
12-8 3.2% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 3.0
11-9 4.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 4.4
10-10 6.0% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 5.9
9-11 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.8
8-12 10.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.0
7-13 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.8
6-14 12.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-15 12.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.1
4-16 10.7% 10.7
3-17 8.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.2
2-18 6.0% 6.0
1-19 2.9% 2.9
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%