IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.3	#285
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.6	#27
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.2	#295

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#274

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.4%	28.2%	13.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.6	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	47.0%	78.5%	42.4%
.500 or above in Conference	84.2%	95.2%	82.6%
Conference Champion	18.0%	33.3%	15.8%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.1%	0.6%

First Four	8.1%	9.3%	8.0%
First Round	10.9%	23.3%	9.1%
Second Round	0.3%	1.0%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 12.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 7	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 15, 2022	71	Washington St.	L	65-78	13%
Nov 20, 2022	352	@ Tennessee Martin	W	80-75	68%
Nov 22, 2022	249	@ Texas San Antonio	L	72-78	29%
Nov 25, 2022	230	@ Arkansas St.	L	71-78	26%
Nov 27, 2022	38	@ Oklahoma St.	L	63-85	3%
Nov 30, 2022	206	@ Rice	L	72-81	23%
Dec 11, 2022	85	@ Northwestern	L	65-82	8%
Dec 13, 2022	247	@ Illinois-Chicago	L	73-80	30%
Dec 17, 2022	170	Montana	L	68-75	27%
Dec 20, 2022	110	@ New Mexico	L	75-89	12%
Dec 30, 2022	39	@ Texas A&M	L	61-83	4%
Jan 02, 2023	318	Grambling St.	W	77-72	66%
Jan 04, 2023	279	Southern	W	76-74	56%
Jan 07, 2023	363	@ Mississippi Valley	W	85-71	87%
Jan 09, 2023	360	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	77-67	79%
Jan 14, 2023	308	Jackson St.	W	69-65	64%
Jan 16, 2023	350	Alcorn St.	W	79-69	79%
Jan 21, 2023	354	@ Alabama St.	W	77-71	68%
Jan 23, 2023	341	@ Alabama A&M	W	70-68	57%
Jan 28, 2023	241	@ Texas Southern	L	70-77	29%
Feb 04, 2023	353	Bethune-Cookman	W	78-66	83%
Feb 06, 2023	351	Florida A&M	W	75-64	81%
Feb 11, 2023	279	@ Southern	L	73-77	38%
Feb 13, 2023	318	@ Grambling St.	L	74-75	47%
Feb 18, 2023	360	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	80-64	90%
Feb 20, 2023	363	Mississippi Valley	W	88-68	94%
Feb 25, 2023	350	@ Alcorn St.	W	76-72	63%
Feb 27, 2023	308	@ Jackson St.	L	66-68	45%
Mar 04, 2023	241	Texas Southern	L	73-74	47%
Projected Record						14 - 15	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	2.4	4.9	5.4	3.5	1.1		18.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.4	4.3	6.4	3.8	0.8	0.0			16.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.6	5.1	5.5	2.3	0.2					14.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.8	5.0	4.6	1.4	0.1						13.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.6	4.5	3.8	1.1	0.1							11.2	5th
6th								0.1	1.3	3.4	3.1	0.8	0.0								8.7	6th
7th							0.1	1.2	2.9	2.2	0.5	0.0									7.0	7th
8th						0.1	0.8	1.9	1.4	0.3	0.0										4.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	0.8	0.2	0.0											2.8	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0												1.8	10th
11th			0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1														0.8	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0															0.3	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.6	2.7	4.1	6.0	7.8	10.1	11.3	12.3	11.8	11.2	9.0	6.2	3.5	1.1			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.1		1.1
17-1	99.8%	3.5		3.2	0.2
16-2	86.7%	5.4		4.0	1.4	0.1
15-3	55.0%	4.9		2.5	2.0	0.4	0.0
14-4	21.9%	2.4		0.7	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.8%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.0%	18.0		11.6	5.0	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.1%		70.6%	70.6%		14.6											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.3
17-1	3.5%		59.9%	59.9%		15.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.9	1.4
16-2	6.2%		44.9%	44.9%		15.5													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.8	1.7	3.4
15-3	9.0%		32.8%	32.8%		15.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	2.3	6.0
14-4	11.2%		22.3%	22.3%		15.9															0.0	0.3	2.2	8.7
13-5	11.8%		15.2%	15.2%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.7	10.0
12-6	12.3%		10.0%	10.0%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.2	11.0
11-7	11.3%		6.0%	6.0%		16.0																	0.7	10.7
10-8	10.1%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.3	9.7
9-9	7.8%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	7.6
8-10	6.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	5.9
7-11	4.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
6-12	2.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
5-13	1.6%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.6
4-14	0.8%																							0.8
3-15	0.4%																							0.4
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		15.4%	15.4%	0.0%	15.6											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	2.6	11.4	84.6		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%