Army
Patriot League
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.1#330
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#337
Pace60.1#354
Improvement+0.2#179

Offense
Total Offense-10.3#357
First Shot-7.9#348
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#315
Layup/Dunks-2.3#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#92
Freethrows-4.0#358
Improvement-0.4#206

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#197
First Shot-3.2#290
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#28
Layups/Dunks-3.1#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#164
Freethrows-0.6#233
Improvement+0.7#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Away) - 45.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 30 - 20 - 4
Quad 48 - 168 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 224   Marist L 55-71 31%     0 - 1 -21.9 -12.8 -10.0
  Nov 09, 2023 360   @ Stonehill L 44-57 60%     0 - 2 -26.7 -30.1 +2.4
  Nov 12, 2023 96   @ Indiana L 64-72 4%     0 - 3 +0.7 -0.9 +1.2
  Nov 17, 2023 191   Quinnipiac L 58-67 27%     0 - 4 -13.6 -12.4 -2.0
  Nov 21, 2023 262   @ Albany L 59-62 20%     0 - 5 -5.4 -10.9 +5.3
  Nov 25, 2023 290   @ Binghamton L 68-75 25%     0 - 6 -11.2 -8.6 -2.5
  Nov 29, 2023 267   Central Connecticut St. L 51-79 38%     0 - 7 -36.0 -18.2 -21.2
  Dec 05, 2023 319   Le Moyne W 68-51 54%     1 - 7 +4.8 -8.6 +13.9
  Dec 08, 2023 216   @ Harvard L 64-70 15%     1 - 8 -6.2 -3.0 -3.6
  Dec 17, 2023 208   Stony Brook L 74-78 OT 29%     1 - 9 -9.4 -5.7 -3.5
  Dec 21, 2023 254   @ Texas San Antonio W 63-53 19%     2 - 9 +8.0 -9.4 +18.2
  Jan 03, 2024 307   @ Lafayette L 47-52 29%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -10.4 -13.3 +1.7
  Jan 06, 2024 348   Holy Cross W 70-57 69%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -3.1 -4.3 +2.7
  Jan 10, 2024 343   Loyola Maryland L 65-71 66%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -21.5 +2.1 -25.0
  Jan 13, 2024 261   @ American L 60-79 20%     3 - 12 1 - 3 -21.4 -9.5 -13.6
  Jan 17, 2024 141   Colgate L 56-64 18%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -9.2 -11.3 +1.4
  Jan 20, 2024 323   @ Navy L 53-57 34%     3 - 14 1 - 5 -10.9 -14.5 +3.0
  Jan 24, 2024 295   @ Boston University W 69-59 26%     4 - 14 2 - 5 +5.5 +6.7 +0.2
  Jan 27, 2024 292   Bucknell L 56-66 45%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -19.8 -13.6 -7.4
  Jan 31, 2024 141   @ Colgate L 55-74 8%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -14.8 -8.5 -8.4
  Feb 03, 2024 307   Lafayette L 56-64 OT 49%     4 - 17 2 - 8 -18.8 -13.4 -6.1
  Feb 07, 2024 271   @ Lehigh W 68-57 21%     5 - 17 3 - 8 +8.2 +1.9 +7.3
  Feb 10, 2024 323   Navy W 69-67 OT 55%     6 - 17 4 - 8 -10.4 -11.3 +0.9
  Feb 14, 2024 295   Boston University W 65-50 45%     7 - 17 5 - 8 +5.0 -5.3 +11.5
  Feb 17, 2024 348   @ Holy Cross W 59-53 48%     8 - 17 6 - 8 -4.7 -13.9 +9.8
  Feb 21, 2024 271   Lehigh L 54-85 39%     8 - 18 6 - 9 -39.2 -16.6 -25.3
  Feb 25, 2024 292   @ Bucknell L 41-54 26%     8 - 19 6 - 10 -17.3 -28.0 +9.2
  Feb 28, 2024 261   American L 51-73 37%     8 - 20 6 - 11 -29.8 -14.7 -20.4
  Mar 02, 2024 343   @ Loyola Maryland L 60-61 45%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 34.4 34.4 7th
8th 44.5 10.6 55.1 8th
9th 10.5 10.5 9th
10th 10th
Total 55.0 45.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 45.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.2 44.8
6-12 55.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.2 54.8
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 45.0% 0.4% 16.0 0.4
Lose Out 55.0% 0.3% 16.0 0.3