Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#74
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#135
Pace66.3#262
Improvement-1.2#290

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#94
First Shot+2.7#98
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#172
Layup/Dunks+5.7#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#264
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement-1.8#332

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot+1.8#117
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#30
Layups/Dunks+2.5#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#269
Freethrows+2.0#70
Improvement+0.6#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.7% 1.7% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.2% 14.5% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.9% 12.2% 3.7%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 10.5
.500 or above 41.6% 42.7% 16.5%
.500 or above in Conference 27.7% 28.2% 15.6%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 5.6% 10.7%
First Four3.0% 3.0% 1.7%
First Round12.7% 13.1% 4.4%
Second Round5.9% 6.1% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 96.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 43 - 11
Quad 23 - 35 - 15
Quad 32 - 18 - 16
Quad 47 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 255   St. Peter's W 70-59 91%     1 - 0 +3.0 +7.4 -2.7
  Nov 11, 2023 317   Fairleigh Dickinson W 83-64 96%    
  Nov 15, 2023 268   Albany W 96-71 92%     2 - 0 +16.3 +16.3 -0.6
  Nov 18, 2023 295   Wagner W 72-51 94%     3 - 0 +10.8 +6.1 +7.3
  Nov 23, 2023 32   USC L 63-71 30%     3 - 1 +4.5 -4.4 +9.1
  Nov 24, 2023 37   Iowa L 72-85 33%     3 - 2 -1.4 -0.5 -0.7
  Nov 29, 2023 223   Northeastern W 76-63 89%    
  Dec 05, 2023 13   @ Baylor L 71-82 14%    
  Dec 09, 2023 54   Rutgers W 64-63 52%    
  Dec 12, 2023 246   Monmouth W 77-62 91%    
  Dec 17, 2023 93   Missouri W 71-69 57%    
  Dec 20, 2023 5   Connecticut L 65-74 21%    
  Dec 23, 2023 43   @ Xavier L 69-75 28%    
  Jan 03, 2024 47   @ Providence L 64-70 30%    
  Jan 06, 2024 6   Marquette L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 09, 2024 142   @ Georgetown W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 13, 2024 50   @ Butler L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 16, 2024 57   St. John's W 78-77 54%    
  Jan 20, 2024 15   Creighton L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 24, 2024 47   Providence W 68-67 50%    
  Jan 27, 2024 6   @ Marquette L 65-79 10%    
  Jan 30, 2024 182   DePaul W 75-64 84%    
  Feb 07, 2024 142   Georgetown W 78-69 78%    
  Feb 11, 2024 16   @ Villanova L 61-72 16%    
  Feb 14, 2024 43   Xavier L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 18, 2024 57   @ St. John's L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 24, 2024 50   Butler W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 28, 2024 15   @ Creighton L 65-76 16%    
  Mar 03, 2024 5   @ Connecticut L 62-77 10%    
  Mar 06, 2024 16   Villanova L 64-69 32%    
  Mar 09, 2024 182   DePaul W 75-64 84%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.8 0.1 3.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 2.6 3.8 1.5 0.2 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.9 4.3 1.9 0.2 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.6 5.8 1.9 0.2 15.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.5 7.0 5.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 19.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.7 6.8 4.3 1.2 0.1 20.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 2.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.3 5.9 9.6 11.8 13.6 13.9 12.3 9.4 7.7 4.9 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 82.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 53.2% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 26.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 7.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 100.0% 19.4% 80.6% 4.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.7% 100.0% 8.7% 91.3% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.7% 97.0% 6.3% 90.6% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.8%
13-7 2.8% 82.4% 5.9% 76.5% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.5 81.3%
12-8 4.9% 65.1% 5.8% 59.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.7 63.0%
11-9 7.7% 37.5% 4.1% 33.4% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.8 34.8%
10-10 9.4% 14.7% 2.9% 11.9% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 8.0 12.2%
9-11 12.3% 5.1% 3.0% 2.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 11.7 2.1%
8-12 13.9% 2.4% 2.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.6 0.2%
7-13 13.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.4
6-14 11.8% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.6
5-15 9.6% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.4
4-16 5.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.9
3-17 3.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.3
2-18 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 14.2% 2.6% 11.6% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 85.8 11.9%