Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#140
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#187
Pace75.1#45
Improvement-0.5#233

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#106
First Shot-2.5#247
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#6
Layup/Dunks-0.3#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#134
Freethrows-2.0#287
Improvement-0.3#211

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#191
First Shot-1.2#212
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#158
Layups/Dunks+6.5#20
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#47
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#353
Freethrows-2.7#314
Improvement-0.3#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.6% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.9
.500 or above 64.8% 72.6% 49.7%
.500 or above in Conference 48.9% 53.2% 40.7%
Conference Champion 4.6% 5.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 10.0% 8.1% 13.6%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round3.8% 4.5% 2.5%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Florida (Home) - 65.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 42 - 5
Quad 36 - 78 - 12
Quad 47 - 115 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 268   Albany W 92-71 83%     1 - 0 +12.3 +5.9 +4.4
  Nov 13, 2023 253   Quinnipiac W 102-81 81%     2 - 0 +13.1 +17.4 -5.7
  Nov 17, 2023 138   Harvard L 75-78 OT 61%     2 - 1 -4.3 -4.4 +0.3
  Nov 22, 2023 335   Central Connecticut St. W 89-60 92%     3 - 1 +14.5 +13.8 +2.1
  Dec 02, 2023 163   South Florida W 76-72 66%    
  Dec 06, 2023 196   @ Towson W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 09, 2023 105   Umass Lowell W 77-76 51%    
  Dec 16, 2023 102   West Virginia L 72-75 39%    
  Dec 21, 2023 137   Georgia Tech L 77-78 49%    
  Dec 30, 2023 352   Siena W 81-63 95%    
  Jan 03, 2024 84   Duquesne L 79-81 44%    
  Jan 07, 2024 70   @ Dayton L 66-75 20%    
  Jan 10, 2024 204   La Salle W 82-75 72%    
  Jan 13, 2024 176   @ Rhode Island L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 17, 2024 130   @ Loyola Chicago L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 20, 2024 147   George Washington W 84-81 61%    
  Jan 23, 2024 126   Saint Joseph's W 76-74 56%    
  Jan 27, 2024 148   @ Saint Louis L 78-81 41%    
  Feb 03, 2024 111   George Mason W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 07, 2024 109   @ St. Bonaventure L 71-77 32%    
  Feb 11, 2024 176   Rhode Island W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 14, 2024 85   @ Richmond L 69-77 26%    
  Feb 17, 2024 204   @ La Salle W 79-78 51%    
  Feb 20, 2024 82   Virginia Commonwealth L 72-74 43%    
  Feb 24, 2024 109   St. Bonaventure W 74-73 51%    
  Feb 27, 2024 147   @ George Washington L 81-84 41%    
  Mar 02, 2024 141   @ Davidson L 71-74 40%    
  Mar 06, 2024 172   Fordham W 77-72 66%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.3 1.6 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 2.8 0.3 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 3.8 0.7 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.5 1.9 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 3.4 3.3 0.3 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.6 1.1 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 2.7 0.1 7.1 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 3.8 0.7 7.1 11th
12th 0.2 1.5 3.9 1.6 0.0 7.2 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 3.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 6.8 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.3 14th
15th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.0 5.7 15th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.1 5.0 7.5 9.8 11.1 12.6 11.9 11.1 9.6 6.9 4.5 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 95.2% 0.5    0.5 0.1
15-3 80.8% 1.2    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 54.1% 1.4    0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.9% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 83.3% 50.0% 33.3% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7%
17-1 0.2% 52.2% 33.3% 18.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 28.3%
16-2 0.5% 29.0% 19.0% 10.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 12.4%
15-3 1.4% 18.6% 17.8% 0.8% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 1.0%
14-4 2.7% 13.5% 13.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.3 0.3%
13-5 4.5% 10.8% 10.8% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.1
12-6 6.9% 7.8% 7.8% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.3
11-7 9.6% 4.6% 4.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 9.2
10-8 11.1% 4.1% 4.1% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 10.6
9-9 11.9% 3.5% 3.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.5
8-10 12.6% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.4
7-11 11.1% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 10.9
6-12 9.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.7
5-13 7.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.4
4-14 5.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.0
3-15 3.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.1
2-16 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.0% 3.8% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 96.0 0.1%