Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#295
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#289
Pace64.6#292
Improvement+1.5#122

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#321
First Shot-2.3#246
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#352
Layup/Dunks-2.0#265
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#123
Freethrows-1.0#251
Improvement+2.4#51

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot-3.0#280
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#48
Layups/Dunks+2.4#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#347
Freethrows-0.6#234
Improvement-0.9#231
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 2.9% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.7% 2.8% 2.3%
First Round1.2% 1.3% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 80.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 414 - 1114 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 242   @ Northeastern L 58-67 28%     0 - 1 -10.3 -14.2 +3.5
  Nov 10, 2023 73   @ Rutgers L 45-69 6%     0 - 2 -13.8 -14.1 -0.6
  Nov 14, 2023 285   @ Howard L 53-64 36%     0 - 3 -14.7 -23.8 +9.2
  Nov 16, 2023 190   Bryant W 95-79 39%     1 - 3 +11.5 +18.9 -8.2
  Nov 21, 2023 110   @ Davidson L 45-69 10%     1 - 4 -17.1 -17.5 -2.3
  Nov 29, 2023 262   @ Albany L 72-86 32%     1 - 5 -16.4 -8.3 -7.1
  Dec 02, 2023 303   @ Sacred Heart W 70-49 41%     2 - 5 +16.1 -1.4 +18.7
  Dec 06, 2023 244   Maine L 65-74 48%     2 - 6 -15.8 -3.3 -13.0
  Dec 10, 2023 316   @ Wagner W 73-59 46%     3 - 6 +7.8 +9.1 +0.5
  Dec 13, 2023 331   @ Dartmouth L 56-63 55%     3 - 7 -15.5 -12.7 -3.5
  Dec 22, 2023 149   Umass Lowell L 63-71 30%     3 - 8 -9.7 -9.7 -0.2
  Dec 30, 2023 222   Merrimack W 74-63 44%     4 - 8 +5.2 +5.8 -0.3
  Jan 03, 2024 323   @ Navy L 60-62 49%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -8.9 -11.1 +2.0
  Jan 06, 2024 307   Lafayette L 51-59 64%     4 - 10 0 - 2 -18.8 -21.6 +2.5
  Jan 10, 2024 261   American W 72-68 52%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -3.8 +1.8 -5.2
  Jan 13, 2024 343   @ Loyola Maryland W 60-58 61%     6 - 10 2 - 2 -8.0 -13.9 +5.9
  Jan 17, 2024 292   Bucknell L 57-73 60%     6 - 11 2 - 3 -25.8 -16.5 -10.1
  Jan 20, 2024 141   @ Colgate L 59-75 14%     6 - 12 2 - 4 -11.8 -7.9 -4.6
  Jan 24, 2024 330   Army L 59-69 74%     6 - 13 2 - 5 -23.9 -7.1 -18.2
  Jan 27, 2024 307   @ Lafayette W 62-48 43%     7 - 13 3 - 5 +8.6 -3.2 +13.3
  Jan 29, 2024 348   @ Holy Cross L 63-65 63%     7 - 14 3 - 6 -12.7 -11.3 -1.6
  Feb 03, 2024 271   Lehigh W 72-71 54%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -7.2 +3.0 -10.2
  Feb 07, 2024 141   Colgate L 64-74 28%     8 - 15 4 - 7 -11.2 -3.7 -8.2
  Feb 10, 2024 292   @ Bucknell W 77-62 39%     9 - 15 5 - 7 +10.7 +10.7 +1.5
  Feb 14, 2024 330   @ Army L 50-65 55%     9 - 16 5 - 8 -23.4 -18.4 -6.2
  Feb 17, 2024 323   Navy W 74-65 69%     10 - 16 6 - 8 -3.4 +9.6 -11.3
  Feb 21, 2024 261   @ American W 67-52 32%     11 - 16 7 - 8 +12.6 +9.2 +7.3
  Feb 25, 2024 343   Loyola Maryland W 82-79 OT 78%     12 - 16 8 - 8 -12.5 -2.7 -10.0
  Feb 28, 2024 271   @ Lehigh W 64-62 OT 33%     13 - 16 9 - 8 -0.8 -10.6 +9.8
  Mar 02, 2024 348   Holy Cross W 72-63 81%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 12.4 12.4 2nd
3rd 46.7 46.7 3rd
4th 4.3 21.7 26.1 4th
5th 10.5 10.5 5th
6th 4.3 4.3 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 19.2 80.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 80.8% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 2.4 78.5
9-9 19.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.5 18.7
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 80.8% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 2.9
Lose Out 19.2% 2.4% 16.0 2.4