Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.0#146
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#207
Pace60.9#344
Improvement-0.1#190

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#273
First Shot-5.3#315
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#76
Layup/Dunks+3.7#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.1#359
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement-0.9#278

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#63
First Shot+4.8#59
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#216
Layups/Dunks+0.7#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#48
Freethrows+0.3#172
Improvement+0.8#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 13.6% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.5
.500 or above 79.2% 84.8% 63.6%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 89.2% 82.2%
Conference Champion 14.9% 16.5% 10.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.8% 0.6% 1.1%
First Round12.1% 13.3% 8.5%
Second Round1.3% 1.5% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Away) - 73.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 412 - 317 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 204   @ La Salle L 61-67 51%     0 - 1 -5.1 -10.1 +4.6
  Nov 11, 2023 175   @ Winthrop W 74-72 45%     1 - 1 +4.4 +5.2 -0.6
  Nov 14, 2023 145   Temple L 64-66 61%     1 - 2 -3.9 -8.6 +4.6
  Nov 17, 2023 302   Fairfield W 65-47 86%     2 - 2 +7.2 -8.2 +16.5
  Nov 19, 2023 267   Queens W 62-52 82%     3 - 2 +1.4 -8.2 +10.6
  Nov 26, 2023 181   @ Old Dominion L 61-68 OT 46%     3 - 3 -5.0 -11.1 +6.2
  Nov 29, 2023 320   @ Lafayette W 63-56 74%    
  Dec 05, 2023 60   @ Princeton L 57-68 16%    
  Dec 09, 2023 102   @ West Virginia L 58-64 27%    
  Dec 16, 2023 268   Albany W 71-61 82%    
  Dec 22, 2023 206   @ Bryant W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 01, 2024 328   Hampton W 75-61 90%    
  Jan 04, 2024 135   UNC Wilmington W 62-60 58%    
  Jan 06, 2024 285   @ William & Mary W 67-62 66%    
  Jan 11, 2024 360   @ N.C. A&T W 75-61 89%    
  Jan 13, 2024 294   @ Elon W 69-64 68%    
  Jan 18, 2024 246   Monmouth W 68-60 77%    
  Jan 20, 2024 169   Delaware W 65-61 66%    
  Jan 25, 2024 196   @ Towson L 57-58 49%    
  Jan 27, 2024 360   N.C. A&T W 78-58 96%    
  Feb 01, 2024 246   @ Monmouth W 65-63 58%    
  Feb 08, 2024 135   @ UNC Wilmington L 59-63 37%    
  Feb 10, 2024 122   @ College of Charleston L 64-69 33%    
  Feb 15, 2024 106   Hofstra L 64-65 49%    
  Feb 17, 2024 311   Campbell W 65-53 86%    
  Feb 22, 2024 106   @ Hofstra L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 26, 2024 169   @ Delaware L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 29, 2024 258   Stony Brook W 64-55 79%    
  Mar 02, 2024 223   Northeastern W 67-60 73%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 3.7 5.1 3.4 1.2 0.2 14.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.4 5.4 1.9 0.2 14.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 5.9 5.5 1.3 0.1 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.5 5.7 1.3 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.4 5.1 1.7 0.1 11.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 4.8 1.7 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.7 2.2 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.2 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.6 6.0 9.2 12.8 14.2 15.2 13.5 10.5 7.0 3.6 1.2 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
16-2 94.3% 3.4    2.7 0.6 0.0
15-3 72.3% 5.1    3.0 1.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 35.3% 3.7    1.2 1.7 0.7 0.1
13-5 8.9% 1.2    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.9% 14.9 8.5 4.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 59.4% 53.8% 5.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.2%
17-1 1.2% 43.1% 43.1% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7
16-2 3.6% 37.9% 37.9% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.2
15-3 7.0% 27.9% 27.9% 13.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.1 5.0
14-4 10.5% 19.1% 19.1% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.3 8.5
13-5 13.5% 15.4% 15.4% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.0 11.4
12-6 15.2% 11.9% 11.9% 14.4 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 13.4
11-7 14.2% 7.7% 7.7% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 13.1
10-8 12.8% 5.5% 5.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 12.1
9-9 9.2% 3.6% 3.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.8
8-10 6.0% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.8
7-11 3.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.5
6-12 1.9% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9
5-13 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.0 4.2 2.6 1.3 87.7 0.0%