Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#119
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#119
Pace68.1#211
Improvement+0.6#134

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#186
First Shot+4.1#77
After Offensive Rebound-4.5#355
Layup/Dunks-0.7#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.2#17
Freethrows+1.2#112
Improvement-1.4#291

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#76
First Shot+1.0#142
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#36
Layups/Dunks+3.8#61
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#285
Freethrows-1.3#266
Improvement+2.0#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 6.7% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.8 12.5 13.4
.500 or above 78.0% 85.9% 67.4%
.500 or above in Conference 56.3% 60.9% 50.1%
Conference Champion 5.8% 7.1% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 4.4% 6.9%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.5%
First Round5.6% 6.5% 4.4%
Second Round1.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 57.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 43 - 7
Quad 37 - 59 - 12
Quad 48 - 117 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 13   Florida Atlantic L 62-75 12%     0 - 1 +2.5 -5.4 +7.9
  Nov 11, 2023 324   Eastern Illinois W 89-65 91%     1 - 1 +12.0 +12.4 -0.2
  Nov 14, 2023 137   Illinois-Chicago L 67-72 66%     1 - 2 -6.2 -6.1 +0.1
  Nov 18, 2023 303   New Orleans W 73-70 90%     2 - 2 -7.7 -6.6 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2023 11   Creighton L 65-88 12%     2 - 3 -7.0 +0.5 -7.9
  Nov 23, 2023 97   Boston College W 71-68 43%     3 - 3 +7.8 +0.3 +7.6
  Nov 28, 2023 338   Chicago St. W 62-53 94%     4 - 3 -5.8 -7.8 +3.4
  Dec 02, 2023 150   Harvard W 75-53 70%     5 - 3 +19.7 -1.9 +20.6
  Dec 05, 2023 202   @ Tulsa W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 17, 2023 191   @ South Florida W 67-66 55%    
  Dec 19, 2023 353   Charleston Southern W 77-58 97%    
  Dec 30, 2023 319   Central Michigan W 76-61 92%    
  Jan 03, 2024 188   @ Saint Louis W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 06, 2024 85   Duquesne L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 09, 2024 90   Richmond W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 13, 2024 96   @ Saint Joseph's L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 17, 2024 133   Massachusetts W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 20, 2024 170   @ Fordham W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 23, 2024 93   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-68 31%    
  Jan 30, 2024 188   Saint Louis W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 04, 2024 123   Davidson W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 07, 2024 98   @ George Mason L 65-70 33%    
  Feb 10, 2024 162   @ George Washington L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 14, 2024 96   Saint Joseph's W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 18, 2024 173   @ Rhode Island W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 24, 2024 98   George Mason W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 27, 2024 99   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-69 34%    
  Mar 01, 2024 60   Dayton L 64-66 41%    
  Mar 06, 2024 123   @ Davidson L 67-70 40%    
  Mar 09, 2024 200   La Salle W 76-68 75%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 3.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 4.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.8 4th
5th 0.5 4.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 4.5 0.9 0.1 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.0 1.9 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.3 3.4 3.6 0.5 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.6 1.5 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.7 3.5 2.9 0.2 7.3 10th
11th 0.2 2.3 3.9 0.7 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.3 1.5 0.1 6.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.0 0.3 5.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.3 2.6 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.1 5.5 8.7 11.1 12.9 13.0 12.5 11.0 8.0 6.0 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 90.4% 0.1    0.1
16-2 98.2% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 76.9% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 56.3% 1.8    0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
13-5 26.6% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 2.8 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 67.3% 32.7% 34.6% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 51.4%
16-2 0.7% 39.2% 26.3% 12.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 17.5%
15-3 1.8% 24.6% 21.0% 3.6% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.3 4.5%
14-4 3.1% 14.7% 14.3% 0.4% 11.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.7 0.5%
13-5 6.0% 12.4% 12.4% 12.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 5.2
12-6 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 12.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.4
11-7 11.0% 7.6% 7.6% 12.9 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 10.2
10-8 12.5% 5.7% 5.7% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 11.8
9-9 13.0% 4.4% 4.4% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 12.4
8-10 12.9% 2.7% 2.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.5
7-11 11.1% 2.3% 2.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.8
6-12 8.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.5
5-13 5.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 5.4
4-14 3.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.1
3-15 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-16 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.8% 5.5% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.5 94.2 0.3%