South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#80
Expected Predictive Rating+16.9#21
Pace64.0#306
Improvement-0.1#186

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#81
First Shot+2.7#97
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#146
Layup/Dunks+0.0#169
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#70
Freethrows-0.4#207
Improvement-0.6#251

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#89
First Shot+1.0#138
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#50
Layups/Dunks-0.9#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#249
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#28
Freethrows-2.6#313
Improvement+0.5#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.7% 3.1% 1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.4% 21.8% 10.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.7% 20.0% 8.9%
Average Seed 9.0 9.0 9.5
.500 or above 78.6% 83.3% 60.2%
.500 or above in Conference 27.4% 29.8% 18.1%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 8.4% 13.7%
First Four5.1% 5.6% 3.1%
First Round16.6% 18.7% 8.4%
Second Round7.3% 8.3% 3.1%
Sweet Sixteen2.0% 2.3% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Home) - 79.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 8
Quad 23 - 36 - 11
Quad 35 - 211 - 12
Quad 47 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 286   South Carolina Upstate W 82-53 92%     1 - 0 +19.4 +4.6 +14.9
  Nov 10, 2023 63   Virginia Tech W 79-77 42%     2 - 0 +10.5 +20.2 -9.5
  Nov 13, 2023 332   VMI W 74-64 96%     3 - 0 -4.0 -7.1 +2.9
  Nov 17, 2023 182   DePaul W 73-68 76%     4 - 0 +3.9 -4.6 +8.2
  Nov 19, 2023 78   Grand Canyon W 75-68 49%     5 - 0 +13.7 +10.2 +4.1
  Nov 28, 2023 156   Notre Dame W 70-61 80%    
  Dec 01, 2023 147   George Washington W 78-70 78%    
  Dec 06, 2023 46   @ Clemson L 67-74 25%    
  Dec 09, 2023 208   @ East Carolina W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 16, 2023 344   Charleston Southern W 79-58 97%    
  Dec 19, 2023 175   Winthrop W 76-66 82%    
  Dec 22, 2023 294   Elon W 81-64 94%    
  Dec 30, 2023 338   Florida A&M W 75-54 97%    
  Jan 06, 2024 20   Mississippi St. L 64-68 35%    
  Jan 09, 2024 9   @ Alabama L 72-85 11%    
  Jan 13, 2024 93   @ Missouri L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 16, 2024 94   Georgia W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 20, 2024 53   @ Arkansas L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 23, 2024 14   Kentucky L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 27, 2024 93   Missouri W 72-68 64%    
  Jan 30, 2024 8   @ Tennessee L 58-72 11%    
  Feb 03, 2024 94   @ Georgia L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 06, 2024 96   Mississippi W 70-66 65%    
  Feb 10, 2024 154   Vanderbilt W 74-65 78%    
  Feb 14, 2024 21   @ Auburn L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 17, 2024 71   LSU W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 24, 2024 96   @ Mississippi L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 28, 2024 19   @ Texas A&M L 65-76 18%    
  Mar 02, 2024 25   Florida L 71-75 37%    
  Mar 06, 2024 8   Tennessee L 61-69 26%    
  Mar 09, 2024 20   @ Mississippi St. L 61-71 19%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.0 0.1 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 4.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.8 2.8 0.9 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 4.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 4.8 3.3 0.4 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 5.2 4.6 0.7 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.0 5.4 1.3 0.1 13.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.0 4.6 5.5 1.8 0.1 13.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.0 4.9 1.8 0.2 11.9 12th
13th 0.2 1.2 3.5 3.6 1.4 0.2 9.9 13th
14th 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 5.0 14th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.9 6.0 9.3 12.1 13.8 14.4 12.9 10.3 7.4 4.8 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 76.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 34.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 23.9% 76.1% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 15.4% 84.6% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 12.0% 88.0% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.4% 98.3% 7.7% 90.6% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.1%
12-6 2.6% 92.4% 6.2% 86.2% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 91.9%
11-7 4.8% 79.3% 3.8% 75.5% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.0 78.5%
10-8 7.4% 62.8% 4.2% 58.7% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.1 2.8 61.2%
9-9 10.3% 37.0% 2.7% 34.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 0.2 6.5 35.2%
8-10 12.9% 13.1% 2.2% 10.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 11.3 11.1%
7-11 14.4% 2.9% 1.4% 1.5% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 14.0 1.5%
6-12 13.8% 1.3% 1.2% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.6 0.1%
5-13 12.1% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.0 0.0%
4-14 9.3% 0.7% 0.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2
3-15 6.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 6.0
2-16 2.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.9
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 19.4% 2.0% 17.4% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.6 3.0 4.1 4.2 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 80.6 17.7%