South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#306
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#299
Pace72.1#80
Improvement+6.4#6

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#289
First Shot-8.2#350
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#14
Layup/Dunks-1.4#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.0#345
Freethrows-1.1#261
Improvement+1.2#116

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#278
First Shot-2.9#275
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#249
Layups/Dunks-2.5#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows-3.2#341
Improvement+5.2#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 9.5% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 2.6% 4.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.1% 9.3% 6.6%
First Round3.6% 4.2% 2.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Away) - 53.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 411 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 94   @ South Florida L 52-96 7%     0 - 1 -35.3 -19.8 -12.2
  Nov 13, 2023 241   North Florida W 87-77 45%     1 - 1 +3.3 +1.0 +1.5
  Nov 17, 2023 95   @ Samford L 72-89 7%     1 - 2 -8.3 -5.4 -1.2
  Nov 20, 2023 195   @ Tulsa L 70-90 21%     1 - 3 -19.4 -11.9 -4.4
  Nov 22, 2023 129   @ Missouri L 59-82 11%     1 - 4 -17.7 -7.1 -12.6
  Nov 25, 2023 163   @ Missouri St. L 74-92 16%     1 - 5 -15.2 -2.8 -11.1
  Nov 28, 2023 138   @ Furman L 78-86 13%     1 - 6 -3.4 +0.1 -2.9
  Dec 02, 2023 317   @ Charleston Southern L 64-66 45%     1 - 7 -8.5 -8.2 -0.3
  Dec 09, 2023 322   Bethune-Cookman L 71-80 67%     1 - 8 -21.3 -12.0 -8.8
  Dec 11, 2023 284   Jacksonville W 86-85 OT 55%     2 - 8 -8.1 +5.7 -13.8
  Dec 16, 2023 49   @ Pittsburgh L 50-86 4%     2 - 9 -23.3 -16.0 -7.9
  Dec 18, 2023 159   @ UNC Asheville L 75-79 15%     2 - 10 -0.9 +5.0 -6.1
  Dec 29, 2023 33   @ Nebraska L 62-91 3%     2 - 11 -14.5 -15.5 +6.5
  Dec 31, 2023 98   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-86 7%     2 - 12 -7.4 -4.1 -2.1
  Jan 06, 2024 248   Norfolk St. L 72-79 47%     2 - 13 0 - 1 -14.1 +1.8 -16.4
  Jan 08, 2024 285   Howard L 78-82 55%     2 - 14 0 - 2 -13.1 +3.3 -16.7
  Jan 20, 2024 253   NC Central W 71-68 48%     3 - 14 1 - 2 -4.3 -0.9 -3.2
  Jan 27, 2024 312   @ Delaware St. W 66-64 41%     4 - 14 2 - 2 -3.7 -5.1 +1.5
  Jan 29, 2024 350   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 63-53 63%     5 - 14 3 - 2 -1.2 -4.2 +3.9
  Feb 03, 2024 336   Morgan St. L 70-72 74%     5 - 15 3 - 3 -16.4 -7.6 -8.9
  Feb 05, 2024 359   Coppin St. W 77-65 85%     6 - 15 4 - 3 -6.9 +4.7 -10.7
  Feb 10, 2024 300   Chicago St. W 78-55 59%     7 - 15 +12.7 +14.0 +2.4
  Feb 17, 2024 248   @ Norfolk St. L 67-71 OT 27%     7 - 16 4 - 4 -5.6 -14.7 +9.5
  Feb 19, 2024 285   @ Howard W 75-68 34%     8 - 16 5 - 4 +3.3 -1.2 +4.5
  Feb 24, 2024 312   Delaware St. W 69-62 62%     9 - 16 6 - 4 -4.1 -2.6 -1.2
  Feb 26, 2024 350   Maryland Eastern Shore W 64-56 80%     10 - 16 7 - 4 -8.6 -5.0 -2.8
  Mar 02, 2024 336   @ Morgan St. W 78-77 53%    
  Mar 04, 2024 359   @ Coppin St. W 71-65 69%    
  Mar 07, 2024 253   @ NC Central L 69-75 28%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.3 2.3 2.6 1st
2nd 1.9 21.2 8.9 32.0 2nd
3rd 0.4 16.6 15.8 32.8 3rd
4th 7.3 19.6 2.1 29.0 4th
5th 3.3 3.3 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 11.3 38.1 39.4 11.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 20.8% 2.3    0.1 1.5 0.7
9-5 0.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.2
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 0.1 1.5 0.8 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 11.2% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 1.5 9.7
9-5 39.4% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 3.7 35.7
8-6 38.1% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 2.5 35.6
7-7 11.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 10.8
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.2 91.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 11.2% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 13.6
Lose Out 11.3% 4.3% 16.0 4.3