Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#76
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#159
Pace71.6#128
Improvement-1.3#296

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#32
First Shot+6.9#29
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#209
Layup/Dunks-1.7#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#18
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#107
Freethrows+1.7#82
Improvement-2.0#345

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#152
First Shot+1.8#115
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#265
Layups/Dunks+1.4#124
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#46
Freethrows+1.3#107
Improvement+0.8#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 1.6% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.7% 16.5% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.2% 13.6% 4.9%
Average Seed 9.7 9.4 10.2
.500 or above 50.8% 66.2% 41.3%
.500 or above in Conference 40.6% 48.2% 36.0%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 3.4% 5.6%
First Four2.5% 3.6% 1.8%
First Round9.5% 14.8% 6.3%
Second Round4.1% 6.8% 2.5%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 2.0% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Home) - 38.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 8
Quad 24 - 66 - 14
Quad 34 - 29 - 15
Quad 46 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 294   Elon W 101-78 93%     1 - 0 +12.9 +13.4 -2.2
  Nov 10, 2023 94   @ Georgia L 77-80 45%     1 - 1 +5.2 +7.7 -2.4
  Nov 16, 2023 40   Utah L 70-77 35%     1 - 2 +3.9 +5.8 -2.3
  Nov 17, 2023 196   Towson W 71-61 79%     2 - 2 +8.2 +11.2 -1.1
  Nov 19, 2023 71   LSU L 80-86 OT 47%     2 - 3 +1.7 +2.5 -0.1
  Nov 24, 2023 344   Charleston Southern W 71-56 97%     3 - 3 +0.0 -5.5 +6.7
  Nov 29, 2023 25   Florida L 79-82 38%    
  Dec 06, 2023 54   Rutgers W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 09, 2023 353   NJIT W 88-65 98%    
  Dec 18, 2023 337   Delaware St. W 85-64 98%    
  Dec 21, 2023 297   Presbyterian W 84-67 94%    
  Dec 30, 2023 63   Virginia Tech W 78-77 55%    
  Jan 02, 2024 107   @ Boston College L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 06, 2024 29   Miami (FL) L 79-82 40%    
  Jan 09, 2024 66   @ Florida St. L 77-81 35%    
  Jan 13, 2024 45   Virginia L 65-66 48%    
  Jan 16, 2024 58   @ North Carolina St. L 77-82 32%    
  Jan 20, 2024 155   Louisville W 81-72 80%    
  Jan 22, 2024 12   @ North Carolina L 73-85 15%    
  Jan 31, 2024 39   @ Pittsburgh L 75-82 26%    
  Feb 03, 2024 95   Syracuse W 81-76 66%    
  Feb 06, 2024 137   @ Georgia Tech W 78-76 58%    
  Feb 10, 2024 58   North Carolina St. W 80-79 53%    
  Feb 12, 2024 7   @ Duke L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 17, 2024 45   @ Virginia L 62-69 28%    
  Feb 20, 2024 39   Pittsburgh L 78-79 46%    
  Feb 24, 2024 7   Duke L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 27, 2024 156   @ Notre Dame W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 02, 2024 63   @ Virginia Tech L 75-80 34%    
  Mar 05, 2024 137   Georgia Tech W 81-73 76%    
  Mar 09, 2024 46   Clemson L 76-77 48%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.0 0.8 0.1 5.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 3.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.7 2.1 0.3 7.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.9 4.0 1.0 0.1 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.9 1.6 0.1 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.9 2.2 0.4 0.1 7.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.3 15th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.6 6.4 9.4 11.1 12.8 12.9 11.3 9.9 7.7 5.1 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 75.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 36.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 14.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 13.4% 86.6% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 98.3% 19.1% 79.2% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.9%
16-4 0.8% 91.6% 11.0% 80.6% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 90.6%
15-5 1.9% 82.9% 10.1% 72.7% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 80.9%
14-6 3.3% 66.4% 8.9% 57.6% 9.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.1 63.2%
13-7 5.1% 40.1% 5.5% 34.6% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 3.1 36.6%
12-8 7.7% 19.1% 3.9% 15.2% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.2 15.9%
11-9 9.9% 8.7% 3.7% 5.0% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.1 5.2%
10-10 11.3% 4.0% 2.5% 1.4% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9 1.5%
9-11 12.9% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.6 0.0%
8-12 12.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.6
7-13 11.1% 1.5% 1.5% 15.6 0.1 0.1 10.9
6-14 9.4% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.3
5-15 6.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.4
4-16 3.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.6
3-17 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.7% 2.7% 8.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.5 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 89.3 8.2%