Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#322
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#308
Pace72.2#79
Improvement+1.0#143

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#301
First Shot-2.6#258
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#322
Layup/Dunks+0.8#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#59
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#333
Freethrows+0.0#174
Improvement+2.3#59

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#318
First Shot-4.8#329
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#156
Layups/Dunks+1.6#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#338
Freethrows-4.8#359
Improvement-1.3#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 5.4% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.0% 16.8% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.5% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.6% 5.0% 3.1%
First Round1.4% 2.1% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Away) - 24.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 20 - 5
Quad 413 - 1113 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 62   @ Minnesota L 60-80 4%     0 - 1 -8.4 -8.6 +0.1
  Nov 20, 2023 317   Charleston Southern W 79-73 59%     1 - 1 -5.9 +7.1 -12.6
  Nov 24, 2023 240   Lamar L 65-83 29%     1 - 2 -21.9 -16.2 -4.0
  Nov 25, 2023 312   Delaware St. L 64-72 45%     1 - 3 -16.4 -8.9 -7.5
  Nov 26, 2023 194   @ Longwood L 48-69 17%     1 - 4 -20.3 -25.0 +4.9
  Dec 01, 2023 344   Incarnate Word W 96-82 71%     2 - 4 -1.5 -1.7 -2.2
  Dec 09, 2023 306   @ South Carolina St. W 80-71 33%     3 - 4 +3.9 +0.1 +3.2
  Dec 16, 2023 171   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 63-86 14%     3 - 5 -20.8 -11.5 -8.1
  Dec 20, 2023 300   @ Chicago St. L 54-55 32%     3 - 6 -5.9 -14.1 +8.2
  Dec 29, 2023 58   @ Central Florida L 54-98 3%     3 - 7 -32.2 -16.8 -9.4
  Dec 31, 2023 28   @ Mississippi St. L 62-85 2%     3 - 8 -7.6 -4.1 -2.7
  Jan 06, 2024 347   Florida A&M W 98-86 73%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -4.0 +7.1 -12.5
  Jan 13, 2024 287   Grambling St. L 69-79 49%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -19.5 -6.9 -12.5
  Jan 15, 2024 263   Southern W 83-81 OT 43%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -5.9 +3.0 -9.1
  Jan 20, 2024 362   @ Mississippi Valley W 80-64 82%     6 - 9 3 - 1 -3.3 -4.3 -0.1
  Jan 22, 2024 339   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 72-76 50%     6 - 10 3 - 2 -13.7 -5.8 -8.0
  Jan 27, 2024 301   Jackson St. W 82-71 53%     7 - 10 4 - 2 +0.7 -2.3 +2.0
  Jan 29, 2024 298   Alcorn St. L 67-70 52%     7 - 11 4 - 3 -13.2 -9.1 -4.2
  Feb 03, 2024 324   @ Alabama St. W 79-68 40%     8 - 11 5 - 3 +4.0 +0.3 +2.8
  Feb 05, 2024 340   @ Alabama A&M L 68-72 51%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -13.9 -5.8 -8.1
  Feb 10, 2024 338   Prairie View W 84-78 70%     9 - 12 6 - 4 -9.0 +5.9 -14.9
  Feb 12, 2024 281   Texas Southern W 83-79 46%     10 - 12 7 - 4 -4.7 +8.4 -13.1
  Feb 17, 2024 298   @ Alcorn St. L 54-69 32%     10 - 13 7 - 5 -19.7 -17.0 -4.5
  Feb 19, 2024 301   @ Jackson St. L 60-61 32%     10 - 14 7 - 6 -5.9 -6.8 +0.8
  Feb 24, 2024 340   Alabama A&M W 63-61 71%     11 - 14 8 - 6 -13.3 -10.2 -3.0
  Feb 26, 2024 324   Alabama St. W 90-84 OT 61%     12 - 14 9 - 6 -6.4 +7.5 -14.5
  Mar 02, 2024 263   @ Southern L 69-76 24%    
  Mar 04, 2024 287   @ Grambling St. L 66-72 29%    
  Mar 09, 2024 347   @ Florida A&M W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 10 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 0.6 1st
2nd 0.4 1.8 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 4.7 1.4 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 8.6 15.4 0.3 24.3 4th
5th 2.8 22.2 3.6 28.7 5th
6th 18.9 14.3 33.2 6th
7th 4.8 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 26.7 45.2 24.1 4.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 14.8% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 4.0% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.8
11-7 24.1% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.0 1.3 22.8
10-8 45.2% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 1.6 43.6
9-9 26.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.6 26.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.7 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.0% 7.2% 16.0 0.1 7.1
Lose Out 26.7% 2.1% 16.0 2.1