North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#241
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#242
Pace68.1#192
Improvement+2.3#88

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#173
First Shot+2.0#126
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#288
Layup/Dunks-8.3#361
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+14.5#1
Freethrows-2.5#331
Improvement+0.9#129

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#303
First Shot-5.9#349
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#49
Layups/Dunks-3.3#301
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#71
Freethrows-2.8#326
Improvement+1.3#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.3% n/a n/a
First Round3.9% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 412 - 713 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 317   @ Charleston Southern W 81-70 60%     1 - 0 +4.5 +9.0 -4.2
  Nov 13, 2023 306   @ South Carolina St. L 77-87 55%     1 - 1 -15.1 -4.8 -9.4
  Nov 16, 2023 279   Presbyterian L 69-81 68%     1 - 2 -20.7 -13.1 -6.9
  Nov 17, 2023 321   Northwestern St. W 80-74 79%     2 - 2 -6.3 +1.2 -7.5
  Nov 18, 2023 244   Maine W 67-58 61%     3 - 2 +2.2 +7.1 -3.3
  Nov 24, 2023 80   @ LSU L 63-75 10%     3 - 3 -2.2 -5.1 +3.0
  Nov 29, 2023 45   @ Iowa L 78-103 6%     3 - 4 -11.6 -1.0 -7.9
  Dec 02, 2023 125   High Point L 79-86 35%     3 - 5 -6.9 +1.1 -7.9
  Dec 09, 2023 268   Georgia Southern W 64-56 66%     4 - 5 -0.1 -14.8 +14.8
  Dec 19, 2023 74   @ Florida St. L 75-91 10%     4 - 6 -5.8 +6.3 -11.8
  Dec 22, 2023 79   @ Georgia L 60-78 10%     4 - 7 -8.2 -3.0 -6.8
  Dec 29, 2023 72   @ Miami (FL) L 55-95 10%     4 - 8 -29.7 -20.5 -4.5
  Jan 04, 2024 205   @ Stetson L 74-75 34%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -0.8 +5.7 -6.6
  Jan 06, 2024 210   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 78-58 35%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +20.0 +21.1 +3.1
  Jan 12, 2024 284   Jacksonville W 82-74 69%     6 - 9 2 - 1 -1.1 +14.2 -14.6
  Jan 18, 2024 255   Kennesaw St. W 84-75 63%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +1.6 +2.9 -1.7
  Jan 20, 2024 259   Queens W 91-75 64%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +8.3 +11.5 -3.4
  Jan 25, 2024 309   @ Bellarmine W 71-63 56%     9 - 9 5 - 1 +2.5 +1.1 +2.0
  Jan 27, 2024 189   @ Eastern Kentucky L 76-89 32%     9 - 10 5 - 2 -12.0 -0.1 -11.6
  Jan 31, 2024 160   Lipscomb W 85-76 44%     10 - 10 6 - 2 +6.5 +8.4 -1.7
  Feb 03, 2024 221   @ Austin Peay L 91-95 2OT 37%     10 - 11 6 - 3 -4.4 +13.4 -17.7
  Feb 08, 2024 247   North Alabama L 74-79 62%     10 - 12 6 - 4 -12.1 -2.9 -9.3
  Feb 10, 2024 337   Central Arkansas L 77-79 84%     10 - 13 6 - 5 -16.6 -3.6 -12.9
  Feb 14, 2024 259   @ Queens W 93-79 43%     11 - 13 7 - 5 +11.8 +12.2 -1.2
  Feb 16, 2024 255   @ Kennesaw St. W 82-81 42%     12 - 13 8 - 5 -1.0 +1.0 -2.0
  Feb 23, 2024 284   @ Jacksonville L 50-62 49%     12 - 14 8 - 6 -15.7 -21.7 +5.9
  Feb 28, 2024 210   Florida Gulf Coast L 60-79 56%     12 - 15 8 - 7 -24.4 -9.8 -16.6
  Mar 01, 2024 205   Stetson W 78-59 55%     13 - 15 9 - 7 +13.8 +7.5 +8.4
  Mar 05, 2024 221   @ Austin Peay L 71-75 37%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.1 6.3 93.6
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.4% 6.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 6.3 93.6 0.0%