St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.0#354
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#348
Pace65.1#281
Improvement-2.0#279

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#343
First Shot-8.1#349
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#147
Layup/Dunks-4.6#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#146
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#243
Freethrows-2.2#319
Improvement+0.9#130

Defense
Total Defense-7.2#354
First Shot-5.6#342
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#309
Layups/Dunks-6.8#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#155
Freethrows-0.1#199
Improvement-3.0#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 0.0% 9.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 41.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 46 - 156 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 88   @ UCLA L 44-75 2%     0 - 1 -21.9 -18.1 -6.5
  Nov 09, 2023 69   @ San Francisco L 52-84 2%     0 - 2 -21.3 -13.8 -8.1
  Nov 11, 2023 113   @ Santa Clara L 59-82 3%     0 - 3 -16.4 -10.7 -5.7
  Nov 14, 2023 85   @ Penn St. L 53-83 2%     0 - 4 -20.4 -14.4 -6.7
  Nov 25, 2023 251   Niagara L 61-69 23%     0 - 5 -15.2 -7.7 -8.5
  Nov 29, 2023 271   @ Lehigh W 62-61 13%     1 - 5 -1.8 -11.3 +9.5
  Dec 02, 2023 261   @ American W 75-73 12%     2 - 5 -0.4 +4.9 -5.2
  Dec 10, 2023 214   @ Iona L 54-61 9%     2 - 6 -7.2 -16.0 +8.4
  Dec 15, 2023 249   Mount St. Mary's L 65-72 23%     2 - 7 -14.2 -7.8 -6.7
  Dec 20, 2023 305   Robert Morris L 73-75 33%     2 - 8 -12.5 -4.4 -8.1
  Dec 30, 2023 294   Campbell W 78-76 31%     3 - 8 -7.9 -2.6 -5.4
  Jan 04, 2024 303   @ Sacred Heart L 67-79 17%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -16.9 -4.8 -12.8
  Jan 06, 2024 316   @ Wagner L 56-71 20%     3 - 10 0 - 2 -21.2 -10.0 -13.1
  Jan 13, 2024 267   Central Connecticut St. L 61-75 25%     3 - 11 0 - 3 -22.0 -9.2 -14.0
  Jan 15, 2024 329   Fairleigh Dickinson L 71-81 44%     3 - 12 0 - 4 -23.5 -9.1 -14.4
  Jan 19, 2024 351   LIU Brooklyn W 72-66 58%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -11.0 -0.3 -10.1
  Jan 21, 2024 319   @ Le Moyne L 57-94 22%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -43.8 -15.1 -31.3
  Jan 25, 2024 303   Sacred Heart W 75-71 33%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -6.4 +0.2 -6.3
  Jan 27, 2024 222   Merrimack L 55-74 19%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -24.8 -14.8 -10.1
  Feb 01, 2024 267   @ Central Connecticut St. L 62-63 13%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -3.6 -4.9 +1.2
  Feb 03, 2024 351   @ LIU Brooklyn L 67-70 37%     5 - 16 2 - 8 -14.5 -8.9 -5.7
  Feb 10, 2024 360   Stonehill W 72-63 66%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -10.2 -4.6 -5.1
  Feb 15, 2024 316   Wagner L 63-65 OT 37%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -13.6 -10.7 -3.0
  Feb 17, 2024 329   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 74-93 25%     6 - 18 3 - 10 -27.1 -7.6 -18.2
  Feb 22, 2024 222   @ Merrimack L 60-71 9%     6 - 19 3 - 11 -11.4 -2.8 -9.5
  Feb 24, 2024 360   @ Stonehill L 63-72 45%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -22.7 -5.8 -18.2
  Mar 02, 2024 319   Le Moyne L 68-71 41%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 3 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 59.0 41.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 59.0 41.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 41.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 41.0
3-13 59.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 58.9
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 41.0% 0.1% 16.0 0.1
Lose Out 59.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0