Le Moyne
Northeast
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#319
Expected Predictive Rating-9.9#318
Pace68.1#194
Improvement+3.5#44

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#298
First Shot-3.4#275
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#269
Layup/Dunks-3.8#317
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#50
Freethrows-1.9#302
Improvement-0.2#196

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#322
First Shot-4.4#318
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#216
Layups/Dunks-1.3#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#341
Freethrows+1.5#75
Improvement+3.7#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.8% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.3% 3.8% 2.5%
First Round1.2% 1.4% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Away) - 59.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 31 - 5
Quad 49 - 1111 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 175   @ Georgetown L 57-94 14%     0 - 1 -34.9 -22.8 -9.2
  Nov 10, 2023 29   @ Villanova L 57-83 2%     0 - 2 -10.7 -1.2 -12.0
  Nov 17, 2023 257   @ San Diego L 71-80 24%     0 - 3 -11.0 -4.5 -6.3
  Nov 19, 2023 177   @ UC Santa Barbara L 72-96 15%     0 - 4 -22.1 -1.1 -21.2
  Nov 21, 2023 236   @ Cal St. Northridge W 80-70 21%     1 - 4 +9.0 +5.9 +2.8
  Nov 24, 2023 342   @ Pacific L 71-73 52%     1 - 5 -12.0 -9.4 -2.6
  Dec 05, 2023 330   @ Army L 51-68 46%     1 - 6 -25.4 -19.7 -6.3
  Dec 09, 2023 290   @ Binghamton L 79-91 30%     1 - 7 -16.2 +6.6 -23.2
  Dec 16, 2023 331   Dartmouth W 80-54 67%     2 - 7 +12.1 +6.4 +6.8
  Dec 21, 2023 85   @ Penn St. L 55-72 5%     2 - 8 -7.4 -12.0 +4.1
  Dec 30, 2023 180   @ Fairfield L 72-78 15%     2 - 9 -4.4 -5.7 +1.6
  Jan 06, 2024 329   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-63 45%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +2.9 -5.5 +8.1
  Jan 13, 2024 222   Merrimack L 62-66 36%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -9.8 -3.9 -6.2
  Jan 15, 2024 303   Sacred Heart L 73-80 53%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -17.4 -1.4 -16.4
  Jan 19, 2024 267   @ Central Connecticut St. W 75-73 25%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -0.6 +4.6 -5.1
  Jan 21, 2024 354   St. Francis (PA) W 94-57 78%     5 - 11 3 - 2 +19.3 +19.2 +2.7
  Jan 27, 2024 351   LIU Brooklyn W 87-74 76%     6 - 11 4 - 2 -4.0 +12.3 -15.6
  Feb 01, 2024 316   @ Wagner L 57-80 37%     6 - 12 4 - 3 -29.2 -10.0 -21.8
  Feb 03, 2024 303   @ Sacred Heart L 81-87 33%     6 - 13 4 - 4 -10.9 +3.9 -14.7
  Feb 08, 2024 360   @ Stonehill W 88-57 66%     7 - 13 5 - 4 +17.3 +18.7 +1.4
  Feb 10, 2024 222   @ Merrimack L 50-66 19%     7 - 14 5 - 5 -16.4 -16.3 -0.6
  Feb 15, 2024 267   Central Connecticut St. W 69-64 OT 44%     8 - 14 6 - 5 -3.0 -3.6 +0.8
  Feb 17, 2024 360   Stonehill W 75-67 82%     9 - 14 7 - 5 -11.2 -8.2 -3.3
  Feb 22, 2024 351   @ LIU Brooklyn L 64-76 58%     9 - 15 7 - 6 -23.5 -12.5 -11.0
  Feb 24, 2024 329   Fairleigh Dickinson L 58-68 65%     9 - 16 7 - 7 -23.5 -21.4 -2.1
  Feb 29, 2024 316   Wagner W 70-56 58%     10 - 16 8 - 7 +2.4 -3.3 +6.2
  Mar 02, 2024 354   @ St. Francis (PA) W 71-68 59%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 32.7 32.7 3rd
4th 27.9 26.3 54.2 4th
5th 13.1 13.1 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 41.0 59.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 59.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 2.3 56.7
8-8 41.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 1.0 40.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 16.0 3.3 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 59.0% 3.8% 16.0 3.8
Lose Out 41.0% 2.5% 16.0 2.5