Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#284
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#273
Pace65.3#273
Improvement+0.9#150

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#309
First Shot-6.3#330
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#118
Layup/Dunks-1.5#235
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#121
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#331
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement-3.7#337

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#199
First Shot+0.1#170
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#271
Layups/Dunks+2.5#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#237
Freethrows-2.2#310
Improvement+4.5#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.4% n/a n/a
First Round1.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 8
Quad 411 - 811 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 50   @ Xavier L 56-79 5%     0 - 1 -10.3 -11.7 +1.9
  Nov 14, 2023 268   Georgia Southern W 85-68 57%     1 - 1 +8.9 +5.7 +3.2
  Nov 17, 2023 49   @ Pittsburgh L 56-107 5%     1 - 2 -38.3 -14.8 -19.9
  Nov 24, 2023 305   @ Robert Morris W 74-65 45%     2 - 2 +3.9 -6.8 +10.2
  Nov 25, 2023 329   Fairleigh Dickinson W 91-90 67%     3 - 2 -9.8 +9.8 -19.6
  Nov 29, 2023 294   Campbell W 62-48 63%     4 - 2 +4.1 -10.6 +16.0
  Dec 02, 2023 268   @ Georgia Southern W 81-79 36%     5 - 2 -0.7 +14.5 -14.9
  Dec 06, 2023 58   @ Central Florida L 52-94 5%     5 - 3 -30.2 -12.0 -17.7
  Dec 11, 2023 306   @ South Carolina St. L 85-86 OT 45%     5 - 4 -6.1 +4.9 -10.9
  Dec 18, 2023 288   Louisiana Monroe W 75-65 62%     6 - 4 +0.5 -6.7 +6.6
  Dec 21, 2023 2   @ Purdue L 57-100 1%     6 - 5 -19.7 -13.0 -2.6
  Jan 04, 2024 210   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 70-80 27%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -10.0 -2.3 -7.9
  Jan 06, 2024 205   @ Stetson L 55-71 26%     6 - 7 0 - 2 -15.8 -13.8 -4.1
  Jan 12, 2024 241   @ North Florida L 74-82 31%     6 - 8 0 - 3 -9.2 +5.1 -15.0
  Jan 18, 2024 259   Queens W 79-77 55%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -5.7 -9.2 +3.3
  Jan 20, 2024 255   Kennesaw St. L 79-83 54%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -11.4 +3.8 -15.4
  Jan 25, 2024 189   @ Eastern Kentucky L 59-75 24%     7 - 10 1 - 5 -15.0 -15.8 +0.8
  Jan 27, 2024 309   @ Bellarmine L 63-69 47%     7 - 11 1 - 6 -11.5 -6.0 -6.2
  Jan 31, 2024 221   Austin Peay W 63-43 48%     8 - 11 2 - 6 +14.2 +2.9 +17.2
  Feb 03, 2024 160   @ Lipscomb L 82-84 19%     8 - 12 2 - 7 +0.9 +8.3 -7.4
  Feb 08, 2024 337   Central Arkansas W 59-55 78%     9 - 12 3 - 7 -10.6 -16.0 +5.8
  Feb 10, 2024 247   North Alabama W 67-63 53%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -3.1 -2.9 +0.3
  Feb 14, 2024 255   @ Kennesaw St. L 61-66 33%     10 - 13 4 - 8 -7.0 -14.5 +7.6
  Feb 16, 2024 259   @ Queens L 65-74 34%     10 - 14 4 - 9 -11.2 -9.2 -2.3
  Feb 23, 2024 241   North Florida W 62-50 51%     11 - 14 5 - 9 +5.3 -15.4 +20.9
  Feb 28, 2024 205   Stetson L 73-86 45%     11 - 15 5 - 10 -18.2 +4.2 -24.3
  Mar 01, 2024 210   Florida Gulf Coast L 57-59 46%     11 - 16 5 - 11 -7.4 -9.1 +1.3
  Mar 04, 2024 255   @ Kennesaw St. L 74-78 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 5 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 2.4 97.6
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 16.0 2.4 97.6 0.0%