Georgetown
Big East
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#145
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#226
Pace71.4#126
Improvement+1.3#97

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#69
First Shot+1.5#133
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#47
Layup/Dunks-3.8#300
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#55
Freethrows+3.0#41
Improvement+2.2#30

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#276
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#332
Layups/Dunks-2.0#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#157
Freethrows+1.2#117
Improvement-0.9#268
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.3 14.8
.500 or above 5.2% 8.8% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 2.0% 2.8% 1.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.3% 31.7% 39.8%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Home) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 12
Quad 22 - 53 - 17
Quad 32 - 24 - 19
Quad 47 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2023 360   Le Moyne W 94-57 95%     1 - 0 +18.9 +4.8 +11.3
  Nov 11, 2023 346   Holy Cross L 67-68 93%     1 - 1 -16.6 -1.7 -15.1
  Nov 15, 2023 63   @ Rutgers L 60-71 17%     1 - 2 +0.2 -2.5 +2.7
  Nov 18, 2023 265   Mount St. Mary's W 83-72 82%     2 - 2 +2.4 +1.8 -0.3
  Nov 19, 2023 279   American W 88-83 OT 84%     3 - 2 -4.4 +3.7 -8.4
  Nov 25, 2023 262   Jackson St. W 88-81 82%     4 - 2 -1.4 +15.7 -16.7
  Nov 29, 2023 259   Merrimack W 69-67 81%     5 - 2 -6.2 -2.6 -3.6
  Dec 02, 2023 29   TCU L 83-84 22%     5 - 3 +8.4 +14.3 -5.9
  Dec 09, 2023 87   Syracuse L 78-80 43%    
  Dec 12, 2023 356   Coppin St. W 81-63 95%    
  Dec 16, 2023 153   @ Notre Dame L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 19, 2023 47   @ Butler L 73-85 13%    
  Dec 22, 2023 6   @ Marquette L 69-88 4%    
  Jan 02, 2024 11   Creighton L 71-83 13%    
  Jan 06, 2024 192   DePaul W 81-75 69%    
  Jan 09, 2024 75   Seton Hall L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 14, 2024 4   @ Connecticut L 67-87 3%    
  Jan 19, 2024 45   @ Xavier L 73-85 13%    
  Jan 23, 2024 47   Butler L 76-82 29%    
  Jan 27, 2024 44   @ Providence L 70-82 13%    
  Feb 03, 2024 6   Marquette L 72-85 12%    
  Feb 07, 2024 75   @ Seton Hall L 70-79 20%    
  Feb 10, 2024 4   Connecticut L 70-84 10%    
  Feb 13, 2024 11   @ Creighton L 68-86 6%    
  Feb 16, 2024 31   Villanova L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 21, 2024 53   St. John's L 82-87 32%    
  Feb 24, 2024 192   @ DePaul L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 27, 2024 31   @ Villanova L 66-80 11%    
  Mar 02, 2024 45   Xavier L 76-82 29%    
  Mar 05, 2024 44   Providence L 73-79 29%    
  Mar 09, 2024 53   @ St. John's L 79-90 16%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.3 5.5 2.8 0.7 0.0 17.0 9th
10th 0.5 5.1 11.2 13.3 9.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 43.0 10th
11th 1.9 6.0 7.9 5.9 2.5 0.4 0.1 24.7 11th
Total 1.9 6.6 13.0 17.5 18.0 15.4 10.7 7.5 4.8 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
12-8 0.2% 14.6% 14.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 14.6%
11-9 0.6% 13.6% 6.8% 6.8% 11.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 7.3%
10-10 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 1.1
9-11 2.6% 1.0% 1.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
8-12 4.8% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.1 4.8
7-13 7.5% 0.5% 0.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 7.5
6-14 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.7
5-15 15.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.4
4-16 18.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 17.9
3-17 17.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.4
2-18 13.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 13.0
1-19 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.6
0-20 1.9% 1.9
Total 100% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.4 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%