UC Santa Barbara
Big West
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.2#159
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#205
Pace69.6#174
Improvement+1.2#69

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#126
First Shot+2.0#125
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#191
Layup/Dunks+4.7#39
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#138
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#290
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement-1.1#297

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#218
First Shot-2.9#272
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#89
Layups/Dunks-7.5#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#90
Freethrows+0.6#151
Improvement+2.3#15
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 8.7% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 73.8% 79.2% 55.8%
.500 or above in Conference 75.6% 78.5% 66.0%
Conference Champion 8.1% 8.9% 5.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 2.1%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.8%
First Round7.5% 8.4% 4.6%
Second Round0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Arizona (Home) - 77.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 9
Quad 411 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 167   Portland St. L 76-82 63%     0 - 1 -9.2 -2.0 -6.9
  Nov 13, 2023 150   @ UTEP L 76-89 36%     0 - 2 -9.2 +4.1 -12.5
  Nov 19, 2023 357   Le Moyne W 96-72 95%     1 - 2 +6.0 +14.5 -8.4
  Nov 27, 2023 166   @ Fresno St. W 69-65 40%     2 - 2 +6.9 -1.6 +8.4
  Nov 29, 2023 248   Northern Arizona W 77-69 77%    
  Dec 06, 2023 49   @ New Mexico L 73-86 12%    
  Dec 16, 2023 127   Loyola Marymount L 73-75 40%    
  Dec 20, 2023 234   Howard W 80-73 73%    
  Dec 28, 2023 199   @ UC Davis L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 30, 2023 227   @ UC Riverside W 73-72 52%    
  Jan 04, 2024 245   UC San Diego W 78-70 75%    
  Jan 06, 2024 331   @ Cal Poly W 72-64 77%    
  Jan 11, 2024 288   Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-62 82%    
  Jan 13, 2024 136   Long Beach St. W 81-80 55%    
  Jan 18, 2024 299   @ Cal St. Northridge W 78-73 66%    
  Jan 20, 2024 203   Cal St. Fullerton W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 26, 2024 118   @ Hawaii L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 01, 2024 199   UC Davis W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 03, 2024 288   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-65 64%    
  Feb 08, 2024 69   UC Irvine L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 10, 2024 299   Cal St. Northridge W 81-70 82%    
  Feb 15, 2024 245   @ UC San Diego W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 17, 2024 118   Hawaii L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 22, 2024 69   @ UC Irvine L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 29, 2024 331   Cal Poly W 75-61 89%    
  Mar 02, 2024 203   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 71-72 47%    
  Mar 07, 2024 136   @ Long Beach St. L 78-83 35%    
  Mar 09, 2024 227   UC Riverside W 75-69 71%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.1 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 8.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.3 4.5 2.8 0.8 0.1 15.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.1 4.5 1.7 0.3 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.3 6.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 15.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 3.9 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.0 3.0 1.1 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.9 2.1 0.8 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.5 4.1 6.6 8.7 10.4 12.3 13.0 12.0 10.2 7.8 5.2 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
18-2 91.4% 1.3    1.2 0.1
17-3 71.9% 2.2    1.4 0.7 0.1
16-4 40.6% 2.1    1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
15-5 19.7% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0
14-6 4.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.1% 8.1 4.7 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 62.2% 48.9% 13.3% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.1%
19-1 0.4% 49.4% 45.5% 3.9% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7.2%
18-2 1.4% 37.0% 37.0% 12.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9
17-3 3.0% 23.9% 23.9% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3
16-4 5.2% 20.4% 20.4% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.1
15-5 7.8% 15.4% 15.4% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 6.6
14-6 10.2% 10.7% 10.7% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.1
13-7 12.0% 7.6% 7.6% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 11.1
12-8 13.0% 6.3% 6.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 12.2
11-9 12.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.7
10-10 10.4% 3.7% 3.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 10.0
9-11 8.7% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.5
8-12 6.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 6.5
7-13 4.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 4.0
6-14 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-15 1.4% 1.4
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 2.1 1.5 0.9 92.2 0.0%