Pacific
West Coast
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#342
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#345
Pace70.0#139
Improvement-1.5#255

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#318
First Shot-3.6#281
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#314
Layup/Dunks+1.1#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#287
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#245
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement+3.6#29

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#352
First Shot-6.2#351
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#241
Layups/Dunks-3.0#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#259
Freethrows-1.9#303
Improvement-5.1#353
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Away) - 14.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 21 - 7
Quad 30 - 51 - 12
Quad 43 - 124 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 151   Sam Houston St. L 57-64 15%     0 - 1 -8.8 -22.5 +14.6
  Nov 10, 2023 100   @ California W 87-79 4%     1 - 1 +15.9 +16.1 -0.4
  Nov 15, 2023 44   @ Nevada L 39-88 2%     1 - 2 -35.6 -28.9 -5.0
  Nov 18, 2023 240   Lamar W 77-76 28%     2 - 2 -5.6 -9.0 +3.2
  Nov 20, 2023 245   North Dakota L 71-73 28%     2 - 3 -8.8 -6.2 -2.6
  Nov 24, 2023 319   Le Moyne W 73-71 48%     3 - 3 -10.2 -8.0 -2.3
  Nov 26, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 68-65 OT 87%     4 - 3 -21.7 -18.5 -3.4
  Nov 29, 2023 236   Cal St. Northridge L 69-80 27%     4 - 4 -17.4 -10.5 -6.1
  Dec 02, 2023 299   @ Northern Arizona L 58-78 22%     4 - 5 -24.8 -9.7 -17.5
  Dec 05, 2023 311   @ Idaho L 53-83 25%     4 - 6 -35.6 -24.0 -10.8
  Dec 09, 2023 178   @ Fresno St. L 56-89 10%     4 - 7 -31.3 -8.1 -28.0
  Dec 16, 2023 181   UC Davis L 61-82 20%     4 - 8 -24.9 -10.1 -15.2
  Dec 20, 2023 223   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 56-67 13%     4 - 9 -11.5 -9.8 -2.5
  Jan 04, 2024 69   San Francisco L 88-92 OT 6%     4 - 10 0 - 1 +1.3 +10.5 -8.9
  Jan 06, 2024 297   @ Portland L 64-78 22%     4 - 11 0 - 2 -18.6 -11.3 -7.6
  Jan 11, 2024 219   @ Pepperdine L 78-93 13%     4 - 12 0 - 3 -15.4 +4.5 -20.3
  Jan 13, 2024 157   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-81 8%     4 - 13 0 - 4 -13.9 -6.5 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2024 113   Santa Clara L 69-88 10%     4 - 14 0 - 5 -17.8 -3.9 -13.8
  Jan 25, 2024 20   @ St. Mary's L 28-76 1%     4 - 15 0 - 6 -31.8 -31.5 -7.7
  Jan 27, 2024 16   Gonzaga L 73-82 2%     4 - 16 0 - 7 +3.4 +5.0 -1.7
  Feb 01, 2024 297   Portland L 60-65 40%     4 - 17 0 - 8 -15.0 -16.1 +0.8
  Feb 03, 2024 69   @ San Francisco L 73-79 2%     4 - 18 0 - 9 +4.7 +5.2 -0.4
  Feb 06, 2024 20   St. Mary's L 43-84 2%     4 - 19 0 - 10 -30.2 -17.3 -19.0
  Feb 10, 2024 257   San Diego L 84-89 30%     4 - 20 0 - 11 -12.5 +11.9 -24.6
  Feb 15, 2024 113   @ Santa Clara L 53-79 5%     4 - 21 0 - 12 -19.4 -15.4 -4.7
  Feb 17, 2024 16   @ Gonzaga L 76-102 1%     4 - 22 0 - 13 -8.1 +7.8 -15.3
  Feb 21, 2024 219   Pepperdine L 70-89 25%     4 - 23 0 - 14 -24.8 -10.0 -14.3
  Feb 24, 2024 157   Loyola Marymount L 63-86 16%     4 - 24 0 - 15 -25.3 -2.9 -26.0
  Mar 02, 2024 257   @ San Diego L 71-82 15%    
Projected Record 4 - 25 0 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 85.1 14.9 100.0 9th
Total 85.1 14.9 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15 14.9% 14.9
0-16 85.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 85.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.9%
Lose Out 85.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0