Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#135
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#62
Pace73.5#66
Improvement-2.5#325

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#97
First Shot+2.1#116
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#147
Layup/Dunks+6.0#26
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#131
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#236
Freethrows-3.2#335
Improvement+0.1#169

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#190
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#155
Layups/Dunks+2.0#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#282
Freethrows+0.1#183
Improvement-2.6#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 4.5% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Average Seed 12.5 11.8 12.9
.500 or above 66.0% 83.0% 61.8%
.500 or above in Conference 52.9% 61.1% 50.8%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.7% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 2.5% 3.8%
First Four0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round2.7% 4.0% 2.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico (Neutral) - 19.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 44 - 9
Quad 34 - 48 - 13
Quad 48 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 218   Utah Tech W 77-69 76%     1 - 0 +2.6 +4.1 -2.4
  Nov 11, 2023 349   St. Francis (PA) W 82-59 94%     2 - 0 +7.1 +2.1 +5.0
  Nov 14, 2023 101   @ Stanford W 89-77 29%     3 - 0 +19.7 +12.1 +6.6
  Nov 18, 2023 277   SE Louisiana W 65-63 85%     4 - 0 -7.3 -10.5 +3.3
  Nov 20, 2023 362   Mississippi Valley W 81-39 98%     5 - 0 +19.3 +8.1 +15.6
  Nov 24, 2023 49   Oregon W 88-82 23%     6 - 0 +15.9 +14.6 +1.1
  Nov 25, 2023 26   Ohio St. L 56-86 16%     6 - 1 -17.3 -5.8 -15.1
  Dec 02, 2023 140   @ California L 69-84 41%     6 - 2 -10.5 -0.2 -10.8
  Dec 09, 2023 42   New Mexico L 77-86 20%    
  Dec 13, 2023 56   Utah St. L 74-78 35%    
  Dec 16, 2023 62   Washington St. L 70-76 29%    
  Dec 20, 2023 146   @ San Jose St. L 69-71 41%    
  Dec 23, 2023 85   Duquesne L 76-80 35%    
  Dec 30, 2023 91   Yale L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 04, 2024 125   @ Loyola Marymount L 74-78 38%    
  Jan 06, 2024 182   @ Pepperdine L 79-80 49%    
  Jan 11, 2024 10   Gonzaga L 75-86 15%    
  Jan 13, 2024 59   St. Mary's L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 18, 2024 311   @ Pacific W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 20, 2024 171   Portland W 82-77 69%    
  Jan 25, 2024 182   Pepperdine W 82-76 70%    
  Jan 31, 2024 59   @ St. Mary's L 64-73 20%    
  Feb 03, 2024 215   San Diego W 80-73 74%    
  Feb 10, 2024 69   @ San Francisco L 70-79 22%    
  Feb 15, 2024 311   Pacific W 83-70 89%    
  Feb 17, 2024 215   @ San Diego W 77-76 55%    
  Feb 22, 2024 125   Loyola Marymount W 77-75 58%    
  Feb 24, 2024 10   @ Gonzaga L 72-89 7%    
  Feb 29, 2024 171   @ Portland L 79-80 48%    
  Mar 02, 2024 69   San Francisco L 73-76 40%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.7 2.2 0.8 0.1 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.7 5.6 3.6 0.5 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 7.4 8.3 3.5 0.3 21.6 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 8.4 7.3 1.8 0.1 20.2 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 7.1 5.5 1.1 0.0 16.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.1 3.5 0.6 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.8 1.4 0.2 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.0 8.9 13.3 16.5 16.8 14.2 10.5 6.6 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 64.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 31.7% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 13.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 31.5% 7.9% 23.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 25.7%
13-3 1.2% 19.9% 7.6% 12.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 13.2%
12-4 3.2% 9.5% 7.3% 2.1% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.9 2.3%
11-5 6.6% 6.8% 5.8% 1.0% 11.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.2 1.1%
10-6 10.5% 4.0% 3.7% 0.3% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.1 0.3%
9-7 14.2% 3.3% 3.3% 12.6 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.8
8-8 16.8% 1.9% 1.9% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 16.4
7-9 16.5% 1.7% 1.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.2
6-10 13.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.0
5-11 8.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.8
4-12 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 5.0
3-13 2.4% 2.4
2-14 0.9% 0.9
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.5% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 97.1 0.4%