UT Rio Grande Valley
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.8#325
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#320
Pace77.9#17
Improvement-0.7#218

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#322
First Shot-6.3#332
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#160
Layup/Dunks+1.8#106
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#335
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#350
Freethrows+2.4#44
Improvement-0.6#221

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#287
First Shot-1.7#236
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#323
Layups/Dunks-3.1#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#100
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#73
Freethrows-2.4#314
Improvement-0.1#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 98.6% 89.9% 100.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California Baptist (Away) - 14.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 33 - 93 - 16
Quad 42 - 85 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2023 310   @ South Dakota L 79-100 34%     0 - 1 -26.6 -10.5 -13.0
  Nov 14, 2023 24   @ TCU L 55-88 2%     0 - 2 -17.2 -14.6 -0.1
  Nov 17, 2023 35   @ Oklahoma L 66-90 2%     0 - 3 -9.6 -3.1 -4.8
  Nov 24, 2023 164   Hawaii L 57-76 18%     0 - 4 -19.0 -19.0 +1.3
  Nov 25, 2023 142   Arkansas St. L 58-75 15%     0 - 5 -15.5 -14.7 -1.7
  Nov 29, 2023 67   Grand Canyon L 69-79 8%     0 - 6 -4.5 -4.2 +0.1
  Dec 02, 2023 130   @ Tarleton St. L 75-77 9%     0 - 7 0 - 1 +3.3 +1.3 +2.0
  Dec 06, 2023 184   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-74 15%     1 - 7 +3.4 +4.4 -1.0
  Dec 15, 2023 184   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 76-86 29%     1 - 8 -14.0 -2.5 -10.7
  Dec 18, 2023 300   @ Chicago St. L 68-78 31%     1 - 9 -14.9 -10.5 -3.7
  Dec 30, 2023 344   Incarnate Word W 77-74 71%     2 - 9 -12.5 -6.2 -6.4
  Jan 04, 2024 162   Stephen F. Austin L 78-85 25%     2 - 10 0 - 2 -9.6 -0.6 -8.3
  Jan 06, 2024 203   @ Abilene Christian L 89-91 OT 17%     2 - 11 0 - 3 -1.7 +1.1 -2.4
  Jan 11, 2024 124   Seattle W 81-80 OT 17%     3 - 11 1 - 3 +1.3 -1.1 +2.2
  Jan 13, 2024 158   Utah Valley W 76-68 24%     4 - 11 2 - 3 +5.6 +2.2 +3.0
  Jan 18, 2024 135   @ Texas Arlington L 73-91 9%     4 - 12 2 - 4 -13.3 -3.1 -8.5
  Jan 20, 2024 130   Tarleton St. L 73-77 18%     4 - 13 2 - 5 -4.2 -3.0 -1.0
  Jan 25, 2024 186   California Baptist L 54-63 29%     4 - 14 2 - 6 -13.2 -13.3 -1.1
  Feb 01, 2024 277   @ Utah Tech L 64-81 26%     4 - 15 2 - 7 -20.1 -7.6 -12.3
  Feb 03, 2024 237   @ Southern Utah L 59-79 20%     4 - 16 2 - 8 -21.0 -22.2 +3.1
  Feb 08, 2024 162   @ Stephen F. Austin L 84-92 12%     4 - 17 2 - 9 -5.2 +4.7 -8.9
  Feb 15, 2024 203   Abilene Christian L 79-87 32%     4 - 18 2 - 10 -13.1 +0.1 -12.7
  Feb 17, 2024 135   Texas Arlington L 70-89 19%     4 - 19 2 - 11 -19.7 -7.6 -10.7
  Feb 22, 2024 158   @ Utah Valley L 59-70 12%     4 - 20 2 - 12 -7.9 -7.3 -0.8
  Feb 24, 2024 124   @ Seattle L 56-84 8%     4 - 21 2 - 13 -22.3 -12.8 -8.9
  Feb 29, 2024 67   @ Grand Canyon L 43-72 4%     4 - 22 2 - 14 -18.1 -17.5 -5.5
  Mar 02, 2024 186   @ California Baptist L 65-76 14%    
  Mar 07, 2024 277   Utah Tech L 74-75 46%    
  Mar 09, 2024 237   Southern Utah L 79-82 38%    
Projected Record 5 - 24 3 - 16





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 8.9 2.7 11.6 10th
11th 29.4 45.2 13.5 0.3 88.4 11th
Total 29.4 45.2 22.4 3.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
4-16 22.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 22.4
3-17 45.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 45.1
2-18 29.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 29.4
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.0% 0.3% 16.0 0.3
Lose Out 29.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.0