Seattle
Western Athletic
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.4#132
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#192
Pace71.6#126
Improvement+1.2#73

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#211
First Shot-1.9#230
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#143
Layup/Dunks-0.6#196
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#171
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement+2.1#20

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#82
First Shot+4.9#56
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#271
Layups/Dunks+1.3#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#78
Freethrows+1.8#81
Improvement-0.9#282
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 14.7% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.2 13.8
.500 or above 81.2% 89.4% 73.5%
.500 or above in Conference 79.4% 88.5% 70.8%
Conference Champion 13.9% 20.1% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.3% 1.8%
First Four0.6% 0.3% 0.8%
First Round12.0% 14.5% 9.7%
Second Round1.6% 2.2% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 48.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 36 - 57 - 10
Quad 410 - 318 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2023 233   Prairie View W 71-60 80%     1 - 0 +4.4 -8.3 +11.7
  Nov 11, 2023 229   Montana St. W 71-68 80%     2 - 0 -3.4 -4.4 +0.9
  Nov 15, 2023 248   Northern Arizona L 60-62 82%     2 - 1 -9.5 -17.9 +8.4
  Nov 18, 2023 82   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-60 25%     2 - 2 +5.3 -5.5 +10.5
  Nov 22, 2023 349   Idaho W 92-55 95%     3 - 2 +21.1 +17.3 +6.3
  Nov 26, 2023 245   UC San Diego W 79-67 82%     4 - 2 +4.7 +10.2 -4.0
  Nov 29, 2023 171   @ Utah Valley L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 02, 2023 211   Southern Utah W 80-72 77%    
  Dec 13, 2023 72   @ San Francisco L 65-73 22%    
  Dec 17, 2023 65   Washington L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 20, 2023 104   Louisiana Tech W 69-68 54%    
  Dec 30, 2023 150   @ UTEP L 68-69 44%    
  Jan 04, 2024 232   Utah Tech W 64-55 79%    
  Jan 06, 2024 198   California Baptist W 70-63 74%    
  Jan 11, 2024 326   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-71 80%    
  Jan 13, 2024 191   @ Texas Arlington W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 18, 2024 97   @ Stephen F. Austin L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 20, 2024 78   Grand Canyon L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 27, 2024 171   Utah Valley W 72-66 70%    
  Feb 01, 2024 78   @ Grand Canyon L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 03, 2024 198   @ California Baptist W 67-66 54%    
  Feb 08, 2024 151   Abilene Christian W 74-69 66%    
  Feb 10, 2024 173   Tarleton St. W 71-65 69%    
  Feb 15, 2024 211   @ Southern Utah W 77-75 55%    
  Feb 17, 2024 232   @ Utah Tech W 61-58 60%    
  Feb 22, 2024 97   Stephen F. Austin W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 24, 2024 326   UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-68 91%    
  Feb 29, 2024 191   Texas Arlington W 73-66 73%    
  Mar 07, 2024 151   @ Abilene Christian L 71-72 45%    
  Mar 09, 2024 173   @ Tarleton St. L 67-68 49%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.2 3.7 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 13.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 3.3 5.5 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 4.2 6.2 3.9 1.2 0.1 16.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.4 2.7 0.6 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.2 1.6 0.1 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.2 1.0 0.1 4.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.4 5.7 7.7 10.0 12.1 12.5 12.7 11.3 9.1 5.7 3.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
18-2 97.2% 1.6    1.5 0.1
17-3 86.1% 3.1    2.5 0.5 0.0
16-4 65.0% 3.7    2.4 1.2 0.2
15-5 34.8% 3.2    1.4 1.4 0.4 0.0
14-6 12.2% 1.4    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.9% 13.9 8.8 4.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 71.4% 66.1% 5.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.8%
19-1 0.6% 58.9% 51.1% 7.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 15.9%
18-2 1.6% 36.9% 36.2% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 1.2%
17-3 3.6% 33.5% 33.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 2.4
16-4 5.7% 24.5% 24.4% 0.1% 12.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.3 0.1%
15-5 9.1% 20.6% 20.6% 13.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 7.2
14-6 11.3% 16.8% 16.8% 13.4 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.4
13-7 12.7% 12.6% 12.6% 13.7 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 11.1
12-8 12.5% 9.6% 9.6% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 11.3
11-9 12.1% 7.5% 7.5% 14.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 11.2
10-10 10.0% 5.3% 5.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 9.5
9-11 7.7% 3.8% 3.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.4
8-12 5.7% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.5
7-13 3.4% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.1 3.3
6-14 2.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 2.2
5-15 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 12.3% 12.2% 0.1% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.1 3.1 1.5 0.8 87.7 0.1%