Gardner-Webb
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -18.1 361
Results Rating -17.8 358
Consistency 0.14 119
Pace 72.6 68
Improvement +3.3 67

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 357 D D- D- D- B-
Defense F+ 356 F+ F+ D+ C+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 74 D 53% 305 +0.0 178
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 239 F+ 30% 361 -3.0 320
Three Pointers 41% 167 D 31% 304 -1.5 230
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.9 77 D- -5.3 342
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 323
Second Chance F+ 22.8% 348 D+ 0.96 282 D- 0.22 350
Opponents' Steals D- 11.4% 332
Other Turnovers D+ 8.2% 299
Turnovers D- 19.5% 334
Freethrows D 0.26 316 D 69% 307 D- 0.18 333
Total Offense F+ -9.6 357

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 29% 362 C- 12.0% 239
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 198 D 7.3% 317
Three Pointers C- 81% 252 B+ 0.2% 17
Total F+ 45% 348 D+ 6.3% 266


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 96 F+ 67% 359 +5.6 348
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 299 B- 36% 85 -1.5 63
Three Pointers 41% 157 D- 37% 318 +2.2 294
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 302 F+ +5.1 351
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.14 349
Second Chance F+ 36.0% 349 D+ 1.09 281 F+ 0.39 344
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.8% 228
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 278
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 262
Freethrows C+ 0.29 132 C- 73% 247 C+ 0.21 144
Total Defense F+ -8.5 356

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 267 D 7.0% 328
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 183 D+ 3.3% 281
Three Pointers D- 90% 340 D 0.2% 318
Total D+ 61% 292 D 3.6% 331

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 126 16.9 96
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 157 0.19 249
Consistency 0.12 145 0.10 18
Improvement +0.2 179 +3.1 49

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 361 361 361
Results Rating Rank 358 358 358
Conference Record 1 - 15 1 - 15 1 - 15
Conference Finish 9 9 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 9
Quad 30 - 60 - 15
Quad 42 - 132 - 28


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 68 @Minnesota L 60 - 87 1% -25  0% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -11 F F C- C- -3 F D B+
 Fri, Nov 7 40 @Clemson L 59 - 97 0% -21  0% 0 - 2 F -21 D- -6 C- D+ F F -15 C+ F F
 Sat, Nov 15 242 @Elon L 84 - 95 7% -16  1% 0 - 3 D- -13 C- -1 C D- D+ F -11 F F B+
 Tue, Nov 18 93 @DePaul L 62 - 93 1% -21  0% 0 - 4 F -22 F -13 F+ D+ D D -6 F A C+
 Sat, Nov 22 142 @Richmond L 67 - 102 3% -28  1% 0 - 5 F -31 F -12 C+ F F F -17 F F D
 Wed, Nov 26 157 Navy L 51 - 84 5% -16  0% 0 - 6 F -33 F -20 F F+ F F -14 D F B+
 Fri, Nov 28 286 SE Louisiana L 68 - 76 16% +2  63% 0 - 7 F+ -15 F+ -9 D+ C+ F D -6 C B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 115 @UNC Wilmington L 62 - 88 2% -12  18% 0 - 8 F -20 F+ -9 C- F F F -11 F C+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 192 @Queens L 74 - 107 5% -14  0% 0 - 9 F -32 F+ -9 F A B- F -21 F F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 230 Georgia Southern L 84 - 88 15% -3  33% 0 - 10 D -11 D+ -3 C+ D- D+ D- -8 D C- F
 Mon, Dec 15 243 Wofford L 57 - 83 17% -11  7% 0 - 11 F -34 F -24 F F F F -10 C F B-
 Sun, Dec 21 17 @Tennessee L 52 - 94 0% -26  11% 0 - 12 F -21 F -12 D D C- F+ -9 F C+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 247 Charleston Southern L 79 - 89 17% +1  47% 0 - 13 0 - 1 F+ -18 D+ -4 F B D+ F -13 D- F D
 Sat, Jan 3 156 @Winthrop L 77 - 88 3% +5  72% 0 - 14 0 - 2 D+ -8 B- +5 A- F A+ F -13 F A D-
 Wed, Jan 7 92 @High Point L 49 - 104 1% -38  0% 0 - 15 0 - 3 F -46 F -30 F F+ F F+ -9 C- F D
 Wed, Jan 14 253 Radford L 80 - 89 18% -5  28% 0 - 16 0 - 4 F+ -17 C- -1 D+ C- A- F -16 D C- F
 Sat, Jan 17 266 Presbyterian L 55 - 92 19% -20  0% 0 - 17 0 - 5 F -46 F -24 F F+ F F -22 F D- F
 Wed, Jan 21 264 @Longwood L 56 - 91 8% -17  2% 0 - 18 0 - 6 F -38 F -20 F D F F -18 F F D
 Fri, Jan 23 306 South Carolina Upstate W 67 - 65 28% -3  20% 1 - 18 1 - 6 D -10 D- -8 D- D+ D- C- -2 C+ B+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 236 @UNC Asheville L 50 - 69 7% -12  0% 1 - 19 1 - 7 F -21 F -17 F D+ F D- -7 F C D
 Wed, Feb 4 264 Longwood L 66 - 86 19% -9  0% 1 - 20 1 - 8 F -29 F -14 D+ F F F -15 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 266 @Presbyterian L 62 - 68 9% +0  51% 1 - 21 1 - 9 D -9 D- -7 B- F D+ C- -2 D- B- B-
 Thu, Feb 12 156 Winthrop L 85 - 103 8% -13  3% 1 - 22 1 - 10 F -21 C +0 A D+ F F -19 F F C+
 Sat, Feb 14 92 High Point L 87 - 112 4% -15  1% 1 - 23 1 - 11 F -22 C+ +2 A+ F A+ F -21 F F A+
 Tue, Feb 17 247 @Charleston Southern L 66 - 75 8% -10  0% 1 - 24 1 - 12 D -11 F -14 C F D+ B- +4 A D- F
 Thu, Feb 19 253 @Radford L 70 - 82 8% -12  8% 1 - 25 1 - 13 D- -14 D- -6 C- C+ D D- -8 C- F B-
 Thu, Feb 26 236 UNC Asheville L 71 - 77 16% -1  39% 1 - 26 1 - 14 D- -14 C +2 C C- A+ F -16 F+ F C-
 Sat, Feb 28 306 @South Carolina Upstate L 61 - 71 13% -7  10% 1 - 27 1 - 15 F+ -16 F -15 F+ D- D- C -1 C D- F+
 Wed, Mar 4 306 South Carolina Upstate W 65 - 64 19% -1  34% 2 - 27 D+ -8 D- -6 D- B F C -1 C- F A+
 Fri, Mar 6 92 High Point L 59 - 81 2% -15  0% 2 - 28 F+ -16 F -16 F F B C -0 C+ B- B-
Totals 2 - 28 1 - 15 -18 F+ -10 F D- B- F+ -8 D D D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ D F+ D D- 42% 33% 41% B- D F+ D+ D- D- D D D- F+ F+ B- D- F+ 42% 17% 41% D F+ F+ D+ F+ D+ C+ C- C+
0.95 53% 30% 31% -5 +1 0.93 23% 1.0 .22 20% .26 69% .18 1.21 67% 36% 37% +5 +1 1.14 36% 1.1 .39 15% .29 73% .19
Nov
3		 Minnesota F D F B- F 37% 29% 33% C- F D+ F F C- A+ F A+ C- F A+ C- F 52% 13% 35% D- F F B+ D B+ F B F
0.83 53% 7% 35% -11 -1 0.78 25% 0.5 .11 19% .47 59% .28 1.21 84% 17% 35% +12 +2 1.29 38% 0.9 .34 19% .52 67% .34
Nov
7		 Clemson D- F A+ C- D- 48% 9% 43% A+ C- D C+ D+ F A+ F A+ F F A A+ B- 41% 5% 55% F+ C+ F D- F F B+ A A
0.84 38% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 18% 1.0 .18 23% .48 65% .32 1.39 81% 33% 26% +2 +2 1.11 46% 1.1 .51 4% .30 65% .19
Nov
15		 Elon C- A B- F+ C 42% 20% 38% C+ C B+ F D- D+ D F F F D- C+ F F 33% 12% 55% B F C- F F B+ F+ A- D+
1.11 68% 42% 30% +3 0 1.08 40% 0.7 .29 17% .24 60% .14 1.26 65% 33% 50% +15 +1 1.33 33% 1.4 .47 20% .38 65% .25
Nov
18		 DePaul F F F C- F 35% 23% 42% C+ F+ C+ F+ D+ D F+ F F D F F B F 43% 18% 38% D+ F A+ D+ A C+ A F B-
0.78 40% 23% 33% -10 -1 0.81 30% 0.8 .23 23% .24 53% .13 1.17 73% 64% 30% +9 +1 1.22 20% 1.2 .23 18% .24 81% .20
Nov
22		 Richmond F B+ F A+ B+ 11% 36% 53% F C+ F F+ F F F F F F F A F F 32% 29% 39% C F F C+ F D B+ B B+
0.89 67% 21% 46% +5 -4 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 23% .19 64% .12 1.36 84% 29% 48% +14 -1 1.27 39% 1.0 .39 12% .27 72% .20
Nov
26		 Navy F C+ A- F F 27% 23% 50% C F F C+ F+ F C- C C- F F B D- F+ 28% 26% 46% B D F F F B+ C F D
0.77 62% 45% 17% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 24% .24 75% .18 1.26 69% 33% 38% +5 -1 1.09 43% 1.6 .70 21% .34 83% .29
Nov
28		 SE Louisiana F+ C F C+ D 38% 20% 43% C+ D+ F A+ C+ F A+ D+ A D F C A+ C 29% 22% 49% C C D A B- D F F F
0.95 60% 25% 35% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.8 .38 29% .49 72% .36 1.06 79% 36% 21% -4 -1 0.92 31% 0.7 .22 15% .53 78% .41
Nov
29		 UNC Wilmington F+ F+ F A D+ 35% 14% 51% A- C- D- F F F D+ C+ C- F F C+ F F 32% 21% 47% C- F A+ F C+ F A+ D A+
0.90 50% 0% 38% -5 +1 0.94 20% 0.5 .10 20% .24 77% .18 1.27 72% 33% 44% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.4 .34 10% .18 73% .13
Dec
3		 Queens F+ F F+ F+ F 40% 24% 36% D F B A A B- D- A+ C F F F F F 36% 19% 45% B- F D+ F F D+ B A+ A
1.01 27% 31% 30% -16 0 0.69 38% 1.3 .49 14% .28 89% .25 1.46 71% 64% 50% +20 0 1.43 31% 1.7 .52 14% .27 59% .16
Dec
6		 Georgia Southern D+ D+ F A+ C- 60% 6% 33% A+ C+ F B D- D+ A+ A A+ D- B F F D+ 51% 7% 42% F D B+ F C- F F A D-
1.12 55% 0% 44% +1 +3 1.10 24% 1.1 .28 20% .47 82% .38 1.18 50% 50% 39% 0 +3 1.07 23% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .28
Dec
15		 Wofford F D- A F F 48% 22% 30% C- F F D- F F C+ A+ B+ F B- D+ C- C- 39% 20% 41% B C F F F B- D+ A- C
0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28 1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22
Dec
21		 Tennessee F B+ F F D 30% 19% 52% B- D F B D C- F F F F+ F C- F F 46% 9% 45% F F B- C C+ F+ A+ B- A+
0.74 63% 10% 25% -11 0 0.80 15% 1.0 .15 19% .16 56% .09 1.34 73% 40% 40% +11 +2 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 13% .20 67% .13
Dec
31		 Charleston Southern D+ F B C+ F 48% 13% 38% A F C- A+ B D+ A+ A+ A+ F B- F F+ D- 48% 12% 40% D+ D- C- F F D F D+ F
1.07 28% 43% 35% -13 +2 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 14% .52 88% .46 1.21 54% 67% 40% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.4 .41 16% .50 68% .34
Jan
3		 Winthrop B- C A+ B+ A 27% 17% 56% C- A- F D F A+ C- F F F F A+ B- F 46% 13% 41% D+ F F A+ A D- F F F
1.14 57% 67% 38% +8 0 1.17 14% 1.0 .14 10% .31 58% .18 1.30 86% 0% 32% +6 +2 1.17 47% 0.5 .24 12% .54 81% .44
Jan
7		 High Point F F B F F 36% 13% 52% C+ F F A F+ F F F F F+ C+ F B+ C- 48% 12% 40% D C- F D- F D C- C- C-
0.62 40% 43% 17% -19 +1 0.66 18% 1.3 .23 30% .11 33% .04 1.31 59% 71% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.3 .50 11% .37 77% .28
Jan
14		 Radford C- A F F D- 52% 8% 40% A D+ F A+ C- A- A+ A A+ F C A+ F D+ 49% 13% 38% F D F A+ C- F F D F
1.13 69% 0% 25% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 14% .43 81% .35 1.26 56% 14% 43% +1 +2 1.07 43% 0.7 .31 11% .46 76% .35
Jan
17		 Presbyterian F F F D- F 34% 20% 45% D F F A- F+ F A F B- F D- F F F 53% 26% 21% D F C F D- F D+ F F+
0.79 47% 22% 30% -10 0 0.82 18% 1.2 .21 24% .38 60% .23 1.31 64% 50% 45% +10 0 1.23 32% 1.2 .39 13% .36 77% .28
Jan
21		 Longwood F F A+ F F 46% 17% 38% C+ F B F D F F F F F F F B+ F 37% 23% 40% C F F F F D A- F+ B
0.80 41% 50% 28% -9 +1 0.85 33% 0.6 .21 30% .25 58% .14 1.30 79% 58% 29% +9 0 1.19 48% 1.3 .61 17% .26 80% .21
Jan
23		 South Carolina Upstate D- F+ F C- F 60% 12% 29% A D- B- F D+ D- D- A- D+ C- A+ A F C+ 43% 23% 34% C C+ C A+ B+ D+ F D F
1.01 48% 17% 33% -9 +3 0.90 34% 0.9 .31 18% .24 77% .18 0.98 40% 27% 44% -5 0 0.91 28% 0.7 .21 17% .40 73% .29
Jan
29		 UNC Asheville F F+ A+ F F 53% 6% 40% A F D- B- D+ F F F F D- F A+ F F 26% 24% 50% F+ F F A+ C D F A- D
0.84 48% 67% 21% -11 +3 0.85 24% 1.0 .24 22% .15 57% .09 1.16 73% 10% 48% +7 -1 1.14 37% 0.8 .29 15% .41 62% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Longwood F C- D D D- 53% 6% 40% A D+ D+ F F F B- F D+ F F C D F 58% 15% 26% F F A A+ A+ F C A+ B+
0.93 60% 33% 32% -1 +3 1.06 25% 0.5 .13 25% .38 60% .23 1.21 77% 38% 36% +12 +2 1.30 25% 0.7 .18 15% .33 60% .20
Feb
7		 Presbyterian D- C D+ A+ B- 54% 17% 29% B B- D- F F D+ F+ F F C- F B A+ D- 51% 27% 22% D D- F A+ B- B- F C- F
0.98 58% 38% 43% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.5 .12 17% .23 33% .08 1.07 74% 33% 20% +2 0 1.07 41% 0.7 .28 21% .46 70% .32
Feb
12		 Winthrop C C+ C- A+ A- 49% 9% 42% A A D C+ D+ F C- F D- F C F F F 44% 2% 55% F F F F F C+ F+ C- F+
1.11 59% 40% 43% +7 +2 1.20 23% 1.1 .26 21% .31 63% .20 1.34 54% 100% 47% +10 +3 1.27 42% 1.3 .53 16% .43 75% .32
Feb
14		 High Point C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 56% 11% 33% A- A+ F F F A+ A- F C+ F F F F F 33% 10% 57% C+ F F A F A+ F F F
1.11 60% 67% 50% +12 +2 1.31 0% 0.0 .00 13% .38 62% .24 1.43 79% 67% 39% +14 +1 1.33 52% 0.9 .48 20% .47 90% .42
Feb
17		 Charleston Southern F A- F+ F C- 43% 17% 40% B+ C F F F D+ F C+ F B- B+ A+ B+ A+ 59% 7% 34% F A C F D- F D- C+ D
0.89 65% 30% 25% -4 +1 0.97 18% 0.1 .02 13% .17 73% .12 1.01 50% 0% 30% -9 +3 0.90 28% 1.2 .33 13% .31 65% .20
Feb
19		 Radford D- B- B+ F D+ 53% 18% 29% B- C- F+ A+ C+ D F+ F F D- F A+ C+ C- 31% 10% 58% D+ C- D F F B- F F F
1.01 63% 44% 27% 0 +1 1.06 24% 1.6 .38 20% .25 57% .15 1.19 73% 0% 32% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 19% .43 92% .39
Feb
26		 UNC Asheville C C A D D+ 49% 4% 47% A C F A+ C- A+ C B+ C+ F C- F D D 36% 19% 45% F F+ F F F C- F A- F
1.15 58% 50% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.6 .28 10% .32 72% .23 1.24 60% 50% 37% +5 0 1.12 45% 1.3 .61 16% .46 63% .29
Feb
28		 South Carolina Upstate F D F D- F 53% 11% 36% A- F+ F A+ D- D- F F F C D B- A+ B- 54% 11% 35% F C B+ F D- F+ A+ F B+
0.87 52% 0% 30% -10 +2 0.87 17% 1.7 .28 18% .14 38% .05 1.01 61% 33% 20% -6 +2 0.95 24% 1.4 .33 14% .17 90% .15
Mar
4		 South Carolina Upstate D- F+ F C- F+ 50% 17% 33% B- D- B+ C B F A A+ A+ C C- A- C C- 31% 16% 53% C- C- D- F F A+ C- B+ C
1.01 48% 25% 33% -8 +1 0.89 38% 1.2 .44 20% .39 80% .31 0.99 57% 29% 33% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 26% .29 64% .19
Mar
6		 High Point F D+ F F F 37% 10% 53% B- F D- F F B C- B+ C C C- A+ B- B- 48% 11% 41% D C+ F A+ B- B- C- A C+
0.84 56% 20% 23% -11 +1 0.82 26% 0.5 .14 19% .30 76% .23 1.15 62% 17% 32% -2 +2 1.02 40% 0.8 .31 16% .37 68% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15 100.0% 100.0
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%