New Hampshire
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.3 #314
Expected Predictive Rating -9.0 #314
Pace 68.3 #198
Improvement +3.2 #56

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #342 D D D+ D- B-
Defense #245 C C D+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #152 1.01 #334 -2.2 #263
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #290 0.66 #326 -2.7 #306
Three Pointers 45% #104 0.92 #302 -0.3 #192
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #323 -5.1 #324
Freethrows 0.25 #323 69% #276 0.17 #334
Second Chance 26.0% #302 0.98 #264 0.25 #309
Turnovers 18.3% #298
Total Offense -7.2 #342

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #29 1.17 #190 -3.7 #302
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #132 0.77 #194 -0.6 #233
Three Pointers 34% #352 0.98 #124 +4.5 #25
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #175 +0.2 #176
Freethrows 0.33 #281 75% #317 0.25 #302
Second Chance 30.9% #197 1.01 #125 0.31 #161
Turnovers 14.5% #297
Total Defense -2.1 #245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #87 0.5% #218
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.3% #338 -0.8% #167
Possession Length 17.9 #234 17.0 #118
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #213 0.14 #84
Improvement +2.8 #51 +0.4 #162

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 8.6% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 7.8% 12.7% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 75.2% 87.2% 63.0%
Conference Champion 2.7% 4.6% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four7.0% 7.3% 6.7%
First Round4.3% 4.8% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Away) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 411 - 911 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 32 @Clemson L 38 - 88 2% -26  0 - 1 -33 -24 F D- D+ -9 C B F
 Sun, Nov 9 178 @Harvard L 75 - 86 15% +6  0 - 2 -9 +3 B- D F+ -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 86 @George Mason L 44 - 61 5% -7  0 - 3 -7 -22 F C+ F +14 A+ C B+
 Tue, Nov 18 66 @Providence L 66 - 98 4% -13  0 - 4 -21 -5 F+ A- F -16 F A D
 Wed, Nov 26 265 Brown L 47 - 59 48% -5  0 - 5 -21 -22 F F+ F +1 D A- C+
 Sun, Nov 30 272 @Fairfield L 68 - 72 28% -0  0 - 6 -7 -2 F+ F A- -5 D- C C+
 Wed, Dec 3 235 @Dartmouth L 68 - 69 22% +2  0 - 7 -2 -5 D- F+ C +3 C A B-
 Sat, Dec 6 286 Boston University W 88 - 82 OT 53% -6  1 - 7 -4 -1 C C- C- -4 A- F D+
 Wed, Dec 17 337 Stonehill W 59 - 58 68% +1  2 - 7 -13 -14 F D- D +1 C+ B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 26 @Saint Louis L 79 - 93 1% -3  2 - 8 +4 +11 A+ F+ A- -6 B+ B- F
 Tue, Dec 30 13 @Nebraska L 55 - 86 1% -10  2 - 9 -9 -6 D+ C- F -4 A+ F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 200 Vermont L 61 - 80 35% -9  2 - 10 0 - 1 -24 -10 C- D+ F -17 D- F D
 Thu, Jan 8 332 @NJIT L 76 - 80 44% +1  2 - 11 0 - 2 -12 -0 C D- F -11 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 260 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 75 26% +3  2 - 12 0 - 3 -4 +8 B B D- -11 F A+ F
 Mon, Jan 19 336 @Maine W 65 - 48 45% +12  3 - 12 1 - 3 +9 -1 C F A- +11 A+ A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 22 362 Binghamton W 88 - 82 3OT 82% -6  4 - 12 2 - 3 -13 -9 F D C- -5 C- F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 316 Albany W 80 - 72 62% +3  5 - 12 3 - 3 -4 +7 A C- D- -11 F D+ A
 Thu, Jan 29 321 Umass Lowell W 66 - 61 63% +3  6 - 12 4 - 3 -8 -12 F F D+ +4 B C+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 348 @Bryant L 66 - 67 50%
 Sat, Feb 7 200 @Vermont L 63 - 73 17%
 Thu, Feb 12 332 NJIT W 72 - 68 65%
 Sat, Feb 14 260 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 70 - 71 48%
 Thu, Feb 19 321 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 74 41%
 Sat, Feb 21 336 Maine W 66 - 61 68%
 Thu, Feb 26 362 @Binghamton W 71 - 67 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 316 @Albany L 69 - 72 38%
 Tue, Mar 3 348 Bryant W 69 - 63 71%
Totals 11 - 16 9 - 7 -9 -7 D D D+ -2 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 1.1 0.4 2.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 6.6 6.0 1.5 0.0 16.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.6 13.0 8.9 1.9 0.0 26.5 3rd
4th 1.1 9.8 9.2 1.3 0.1 21.4 4th
5th 0.3 5.9 7.8 1.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 6.8 1.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.7 3.5 1.3 0.0 5.5 7th
8th 0.3 1.5 0.8 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 9th
Total 0.4 2.4 6.9 15.2 21.3 25.0 16.8 9.1 2.6 0.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 95.9% 0.4    0.3 0.1
12-4 41.3% 1.1    0.3 0.7 0.1
11-5 13.2% 1.2    0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1
10-6 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 0.7 1.4 0.5 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.4% 30.1% 30.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-4 2.6% 12.8% 12.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.3
11-5 9.1% 15.5% 15.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4 7.7
10-6 16.8% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6 15.2
9-7 25.0% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 2.2 22.8
8-8 21.3% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 1.2 20.0
7-9 15.2% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.6 14.6
6-10 6.9% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.3 6.6
5-11 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.3
4-12 0.4% 0.4
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 16.0 92.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.0 22.7 50.0 27.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Lose Out 0.4%