Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.1#328
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#325
Pace69.7#181
Improvement+1.0#114

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#292
First Shot-4.9#309
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#143
Layup/Dunks-0.8#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#251
Freethrows-3.5#340
Improvement+2.0#48

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#341
First Shot-3.2#286
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#322
Layups/Dunks-2.2#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#195
Freethrows-1.7#292
Improvement-1.1#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 7.8% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.2% 5.8% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 49.0% 59.2% 47.1%
Conference Champion 5.1% 7.7% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 7.4% 13.4%
First Four5.5% 7.1% 5.2%
First Round2.7% 3.8% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Away) - 15.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 5
Quad 30 - 60 - 12
Quad 48 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 88 @Marquette L 53-80 5%     0 - 1 -18.1 -19.0 +3.2
  Sat, Nov 8 152 @Massachusetts L 62-83 11%     0 - 2 -17.5 -11.4 -5.0
  Fri, Nov 14 115 @Rhode Island L 61-80 7%     0 - 3 -12.7 -3.8 -10.0
  Fri, Nov 21 165 @Siena L 63-73 12%     0 - 4 -7.3 +2.8 -11.6
  Fri, Nov 28 180 Colgate L 67-69 20%     0 - 5 -3.4 -1.4 -2.1
  Sat, Nov 29 196 Fordham L 68-88 23%     0 - 6 -22.4 -2.8 -20.3
  Sat, Dec 6 137 @Columbia L 65-93 9%     0 - 7 -23.4 -4.6 -19.3
  Wed, Dec 10 79 Yale L 82-93 6%     0 - 8 -3.6 +4.4 -7.6
  Sat, Dec 13 117 @Florida Atlantic L 79-105 7%     0 - 9 -19.7 -3.7 -12.4
  Wed, Dec 17 197 @Stony Brook L 66-77 16%    
  Sun, Dec 21 164 Cornell L 81-88 25%    
  Tue, Dec 30 87 @South Carolina L 63-82 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 302 @Umass Lowell L 74-79 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 297 Bryant W 72-71 51%    
  Thu, Jan 15 356 Binghamton W 76-69 74%    
  Mon, Jan 19 186 Vermont L 70-75 31%    
  Thu, Jan 22 336 @Maine L 66-68 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 335 @New Hampshire L 71-73 41%    
  Thu, Jan 29 352 NJIT W 75-69 70%    
  Sat, Jan 31 285 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 73-74 49%    
  Thu, Feb 5 297 @Bryant L 69-75 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 302 Umass Lowell W 77-76 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 356 @Binghamton W 73-72 54%    
  Thu, Feb 19 352 @NJIT L 71-72 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 285 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71-77 28%    
  Thu, Feb 26 336 Maine W 69-65 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 335 New Hampshire W 74-70 63%    
  Tue, Mar 3 186 @Vermont L 67-78 15%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 3.6 3.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 5.4 4.6 1.3 0.1 13.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 6.4 5.0 1.1 0.1 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 6.2 6.0 1.0 0.0 14.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.4 6.2 1.1 0.0 13.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.7 5.5 1.4 0.0 12.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 3.7 4.2 1.1 0.0 10.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 2.0 0.6 0.0 6.9 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.6 6.8 10.4 13.0 15.1 15.0 12.5 9.6 6.4 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 98.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
13-3 78.9% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
12-4 51.5% 1.7    0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0
11-5 19.8% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 27.0% 27.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 29.8% 29.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
13-3 1.5% 21.4% 21.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 1.2
12-4 3.3% 17.0% 17.0% 16.0 0.6 2.7
11-5 6.4% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 0.8 5.6
10-6 9.6% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 1.0 8.6
9-7 12.5% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 1.0 11.5
8-8 15.0% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.8 14.2
7-9 15.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.6 14.5
6-10 13.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 12.7
5-11 10.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.3
4-12 6.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.8
3-13 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-14 1.5% 1.5
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 5.7 94.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%