NJIT
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.7 #332
Expected Predictive Rating -6.6 #274
Pace 70.7 #135
Improvement +3.3 #52

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #343 D- D D+ C+ D
Defense #284 C C- D D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #353 0.97 #353 -8.2 #362
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #96 0.74 #189 +1.4 #103
Three Pointers 46% #78 0.90 #321 -0.1 #184
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #351 -6.9 #350
Freethrows 0.31 #147 72% #192 0.23 #151
Second Chance 25.9% #305 0.99 #251 0.26 #306
Turnovers 18.2% #294
Total Offense -7.3 #343

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #118 1.19 #227 -2.0 #248
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #237 0.66 #40 +1.6 #73
Three Pointers 41% #199 1.04 #219 -0.2 #192
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #198 -0.7 #201
Freethrows 0.34 #305 72% #150 0.25 #295
Second Chance 33.2% #292 1.06 #200 0.35 #264
Turnovers 13.5% #331
Total Defense -3.4 #284

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.3% #316 0.8% #244
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.4% #340 0.4% #192
Possession Length 17.5 #190 16.3 #33
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #284 0.18 #218
Improvement +4.9 #8 -1.6 #273

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 8.1% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 13.5% 32.2% 10.5%
.500 or above in Conference 83.7% 95.9% 81.7%
Conference Champion 4.9% 19.0% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Four4.9% 6.8% 4.6%
First Round2.3% 4.2% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 14.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 413 - 914 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 193 @Fordham W 72 - 61 14% +5  1 - 0 +12 +8 A D- D +5 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Nov 8 272 Fairfield L 53 - 74 44% -6  1 - 1 -30 -30 F F F +1 A- D- A+
 Tue, Nov 11 318 @Loyola Maryland W 66 - 64 34% -1  2 - 1 -4 -9 F B F +4 B F B
 Sat, Nov 15 344 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 81 66% +11  3 - 1 -3 +4 A+ C F -8 C+ C F+
 Tue, Nov 18 201 @Drexel L 43 - 75 15% -13  3 - 2 -31 -27 F F F -5 C+ C- F
 Sat, Nov 22 175 @Navy L 70 - 86 13% -10  3 - 3 -14 +2 F C+ B -17 F C F
 Mon, Nov 24 52 @Cincinnati L 80 - 104 2% -16  3 - 4 -11 +6 C- A+ F -12 F+ D+ D
 Wed, Nov 26 18 @Louisville L 47 - 104 1% -31  3 - 5 -36 -17 F F+ B- -21 D F D
 Fri, Nov 28 241 @Eastern Michigan L 55 - 73 19% -3  3 - 6 -19 -14 F A- F -7 F C- B
 Fri, Dec 5 100 @High Point L 72 - 89 5% -12  3 - 7 -9 -4 C D- F -4 A- F D
 Wed, Dec 10 339 New Haven W 70 - 64 65% +4  4 - 7 -9 -4 C F C- -5 A F F
 Sat, Dec 13 277 Sacred Heart L 49 - 65 46% -4  4 - 8 -26 -26 F F D- -2 B F+ D-
 Mon, Dec 22 61 @Butler L 52 - 101 3% -29  4 - 9 -37 -18 D- F D -17 F+ D- D-
 Wed, Dec 31 192 @Penn L 61 - 80 14% -6  4 - 10 -18 -12 F F F -6 F B C
 Sat, Jan 3 362 @Binghamton W 73 - 65 59% -1  5 - 10 1 - 0 -5 +3 F B+ F -7 F B+ B-
 Thu, Jan 8 314 New Hampshire W 80 - 76 56% -1  6 - 10 2 - 0 -8 +2 D- A+ B+ -10 D- C B
 Sat, Jan 10 336 Maine L 70 - 74 63% -3  6 - 11 2 - 1 -18 +1 F+ D- A+ -20 F D+ C-
 Thu, Jan 15 321 @Umass Lowell W 73 - 64 35% +10  7 - 11 3 - 1 +2 -3 F+ F B+ +5 A- C+ D
 Mon, Jan 19 348 Bryant W 79 - 55 67% +9  8 - 11 4 - 1 +9 +10 B+ F C +2 B B- C
 Thu, Jan 22 260 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 74 - 87 22% -14  8 - 12 4 - 2 -16 -1 D+ C- C- -15 D- D F
 Thu, Jan 29 316 @Albany W 77 - 68 34% +5  9 - 12 5 - 2 +3 +3 C- C C -0 B+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 200 @Vermont L 64 - 75 14%
 Thu, Feb 5 321 Umass Lowell W 75 - 73 57%
 Sat, Feb 7 362 Binghamton W 74 - 66 78%
 Thu, Feb 12 314 @New Hampshire L 68 - 72 35%
 Sat, Feb 14 336 @Maine L 63 - 66 41%
 Thu, Feb 19 316 Albany W 73 - 71 55%
 Sat, Feb 21 200 Vermont L 67 - 72 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 348 @Bryant L 67 - 68 45%
 Tue, Mar 3 260 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 71 - 73 43%
Totals 13 - 17 9 - 7 -11 -7 D- D D+ -3 C C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.7 2.0 0.9 0.1 4.9 1st
2nd 0.1 2.1 7.7 6.9 2.1 0.1 18.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.1 12.9 10.8 2.7 0.0 29.7 3rd
4th 1.0 10.2 8.9 1.3 0.1 21.4 4th
5th 0.2 4.7 7.4 1.0 0.1 13.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 4.5 1.4 7.6 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 0.8 3.1 7th
8th 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.8 4.5 11.1 22.2 24.9 20.0 11.4 4.1 1.0 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-3 92.1% 0.9    0.5 0.4
12-4 48.8% 2.0    0.8 0.9 0.3
11-5 14.8% 1.7    0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1
10-6 0.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 1.6 2.1 1.0 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.1% 0.1
13-3 1.0% 13.9% 13.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.9
12-4 4.1% 11.8% 11.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 3.6
11-5 11.4% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9 10.5
10-6 20.0% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 1.4 18.6
9-7 24.9% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 1.3 23.6
8-8 22.2% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.8 21.4
7-9 11.1% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.3 10.8
6-10 4.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.5
5-11 0.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 16.0 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%