Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#200
Expected Predictive Rating-5.3#246
Pace64.2#314
Improvement-0.7#222

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#214
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#339
Layup/Dunks-0.6#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#149
Freethrows-2.8#323
Improvement-1.8#308

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#197
First Shot-4.1#309
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#18
Layups/Dunks-3.3#292
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#253
Freethrows+1.0#123
Improvement+1.1#100
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 5.6% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 23.9% 28.2% 10.6%
.500 or above in Conference 49.8% 52.4% 41.7%
Conference Champion 4.5% 5.0% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 12.4% 17.6%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 1.2%
First Round4.8% 5.4% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 75.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 335 New Hampshire W 86-75 85%     1 - 0 -2.7 +8.3 -11.0
  Tue, Nov 11 209 Northeastern L 60-77 64%     1 - 1 -23.2 -10.7 -13.3
  Sat, Nov 15 332 @Army W 75-52 68%     2 - 1 +15.5 +6.6 +11.3
  Sun, Nov 16 156 @Marist W 56-54 29%     3 - 1 +5.2 -3.8 +9.2
  Wed, Nov 19 103 @Penn St. L 80-84 18%     3 - 2 +3.2 +15.6 -12.8
  Sat, Nov 22 288 Boston University L 74-75 66%     3 - 3 -8.0 +0.9 -9.0
  Wed, Nov 26 148 @Boston College L 60-73 27%     3 - 4 -9.3 -3.3 -7.0
  Sat, Nov 29 297 Bryant W 56-53 77%     4 - 4 -7.4 -9.1 +2.3
  Wed, Dec 3 152 @Massachusetts L 71-78 28%     4 - 5 -3.5 -1.9 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 6 151 @Furman L 69-79 28%     4 - 6 -6.4 -1.3 -5.4
  Sat, Dec 20 289 Holy Cross W 72-65 76%    
  Tue, Dec 23 16 @St. John's L 62-85 2%    
  Sun, Dec 28 180 @Colgate L 68-72 35%    
  Mon, Jan 5 245 Dartmouth W 75-70 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 137 @Columbia L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 261 Princeton W 71-65 70%    
  Mon, Jan 19 256 Penn W 76-70 70%    
  Sat, Jan 24 164 Cornell W 80-79 52%    
  Fri, Jan 30 218 @Brown L 64-66 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 79 @Yale L 67-80 12%    
  Sat, Feb 7 245 @Dartmouth L 72-73 47%    
  Fri, Feb 13 218 Brown W 67-63 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 79 Yale L 70-77 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 164 @Cornell L 77-82 31%    
  Fri, Feb 27 261 @Princeton L 67-68 50%    
  Sat, Feb 28 256 @Penn L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Mar 7 137 Columbia L 71-72 46%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.3 2.4 5.2 3.7 1.2 0.1 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.3 7.8 4.0 0.6 0.0 17.1 3rd
4th 0.3 4.9 8.9 3.4 0.3 0.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.3 4.2 8.6 2.9 0.2 16.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.0 7.3 2.8 0.1 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.5 2.3 0.1 10.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.9 1.3 0.1 7.2 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.8 10.1 14.3 16.8 16.4 13.8 10.0 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
12-2 85.5% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
11-3 54.7% 1.4    0.7 0.7 0.1
10-4 24.7% 1.4    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0
9-5 5.2% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 31.7% 31.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.9% 25.4% 25.4% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-3 2.6% 21.3% 21.3% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
10-4 5.8% 16.1% 16.1% 14.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 4.9
9-5 10.0% 12.9% 12.9% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.1 8.7
8-6 13.8% 9.3% 9.3% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 12.5
7-7 16.4% 4.0% 4.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 15.7
6-8 16.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 16.8
5-9 14.3% 14.3
4-10 10.1% 10.1
3-11 5.8% 5.8
2-12 2.5% 2.5
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 14.8 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 1.2 94.9 0.0%