Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#218
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#280
Pace65.4#289
Improvement+5.1#2

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#320
First Shot-5.5#326
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#186
Layup/Dunks-4.0#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#132
Freethrows-3.6#343
Improvement+1.9#58

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#105
First Shot+2.3#103
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#203
Layups/Dunks-0.7#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#223
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#86
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement+3.2#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 6.6% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.4 15.3
.500 or above 11.1% 29.6% 10.4%
.500 or above in Conference 41.7% 53.4% 41.2%
Conference Champion 3.2% 6.6% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.8% 11.6% 18.1%
First Four1.2% 0.2% 1.2%
First Round3.5% 6.5% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 3.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 48 - 610 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 165 Siena L 46-62 49%     0 - 1 -19.3 -24.7 +4.7
  Sun, Nov 9 186 Vermont L 84-89 2OT 55%     0 - 2 -9.7 -5.6 -3.4
  Wed, Nov 12 288 @Boston University L 77-90 52%     0 - 3 -17.0 +5.8 -24.0
  Fri, Nov 14 229 Hampton L 63-72 63%     0 - 4 -16.0 -6.0 -10.9
  Tue, Nov 18 289 Holy Cross W 68-49 74%     1 - 4 +9.0 -0.5 +12.2
  Thu, Nov 20 197 @Stony Brook L 70-80 35%     1 - 5 -9.4 +0.6 -10.5
  Sun, Nov 23 336 @Maine W 58-53 66%     2 - 5 -2.8 -10.4 +8.0
  Wed, Nov 26 335 @New Hampshire W 59-47 66%     3 - 5 +4.3 -11.5 +16.6
  Tue, Dec 2 115 @Rhode Island L 56-66 18%     3 - 6 -3.7 -9.0 +4.6
  Fri, Dec 5 297 Bryant W 75-56 75%     4 - 6 +8.6 +1.3 +8.0
  Tue, Dec 9 69 @Providence L 79-86 10%     4 - 7 +3.9 +1.6 +2.9
  Sun, Dec 21 37 @USC L 61-80 4%    
  Mon, Jan 5 79 Yale L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Jan 10 256 @Penn L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Jan 17 137 Columbia L 68-70 42%    
  Mon, Jan 19 164 Cornell L 77-78 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 261 @Princeton L 64-65 47%    
  Fri, Jan 30 200 Harvard W 66-64 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 245 Dartmouth W 72-68 65%    
  Fri, Feb 6 79 @Yale L 64-78 10%    
  Fri, Feb 13 200 @Harvard L 63-67 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 245 @Dartmouth L 69-71 44%    
  Fri, Feb 20 261 Princeton W 67-62 67%    
  Fri, Feb 27 137 @Columbia L 65-73 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 164 @Cornell L 74-80 29%    
  Fri, Mar 6 256 Penn W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.3 2.2 4.0 2.7 0.8 0.1 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.2 6.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.3 5.0 8.2 3.1 0.2 16.7 4th
5th 0.3 4.7 9.0 2.7 0.2 16.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.9 8.3 2.8 0.1 15.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.5 2.6 0.1 13.3 7th
8th 0.2 1.2 3.1 3.9 1.5 0.1 10.1 8th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.7 7.8 12.2 15.9 17.3 15.6 11.9 7.6 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 87.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1
11-3 57.9% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
10-4 25.8% 1.1    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
9-5 4.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 20.5% 20.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.6% 25.5% 25.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
11-3 1.8% 20.4% 20.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
10-4 4.1% 16.9% 16.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 3.4
9-5 7.6% 12.0% 12.0% 15.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 6.7
8-6 11.9% 8.6% 8.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 10.9
7-7 15.6% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7 14.8
6-8 17.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 17.2
5-9 15.9% 15.9
4-10 12.2% 12.2
3-11 7.8% 7.8
2-12 3.7% 3.7
1-13 1.2% 1.2
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.9 96.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%