Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.8 #265
Expected Predictive Rating -8.4 #305
Pace 65.6 #267
Improvement +0.1 #180

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #344 D C- D- D C+
Defense #119 B- C- C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #92 1.05 #299 -0.3 #189
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #215 0.58 #355 -2.5 #299
Three Pointers 40% #205 0.91 #310 -2.7 #280
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #327 -5.5 #328
Freethrows 0.24 #334 72% #195 0.18 #328
Second Chance 27.5% #267 1.04 #189 0.29 #250
Turnovers 19.5% #341
Total Offense -7.4 #344

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #137 1.10 #101 +0.2 #167
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #120 0.80 #263 -1.1 #277
Three Pointers 38% #271 0.91 #57 +3.6 #50
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #89 +2.6 #93
Freethrows 0.29 #143 74% #264 0.21 #159
Second Chance 33.0% #283 1.01 #131 0.33 #220
Turnovers 16.1% #203
Total Defense +1.6 #119

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #115 -0.1% #156
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.7% #347 -5.1% #80
Possession Length 17.8 #219 17.5 #206
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #262 0.21 #303
Improvement -0.7 #223 +0.8 #137

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.9% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.6
.500 or above 0.4% 0.8% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.9% 13.3% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 68.7% 52.7% 81.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 44.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 47 - 78 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 172 Siena L 46 - 62 43% -12  0 - 1 -20 -26 F F F +5 A- C+ A-
 Sun, Nov 9 200 Vermont L 84 - 89 2OT 48% +3  0 - 2 -10 -4 C+ F+ D- -6 A D- D
 Wed, Nov 12 286 @Boston University L 77 - 90 43% -14  0 - 3 -17 +6 D- A- D+ -25 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 237 Hampton L 63 - 72 56% -4  0 - 4 -16 -5 A- C+ F -12 B- F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 323 Holy Cross W 68 - 49 75% +12  1 - 4 +6 -2 C- A- F +10 B+ B+ B+
 Thu, Nov 20 223 @Stony Brook L 70 - 80 31% -9  1 - 5 -11 -0 C+ B- F+ -11 D+ F D-
 Sun, Nov 23 336 @Maine W 58 - 53 59% +8  2 - 5 -3 -10 F C+ F +7 D+ A- A-
 Wed, Nov 26 314 @New Hampshire W 59 - 47 52% +5  3 - 5 +6 -10 C F+ F +17 A+ B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 109 @Rhode Island L 56 - 66 13% -4  3 - 6 -3 -8 F C- C +4 A+ D C
 Fri, Dec 5 348 Bryant W 75 - 56 81% +12  4 - 6 +4 -1 C C- C +5 C- A+ C+
 Tue, Dec 9 66 @Providence L 79 - 86 6% -6  4 - 7 +4 +1 D+ C- B +4 B A- A-
 Mon, Jan 5 71 Yale L 53 - 70 16% -3  4 - 8 0 - 1 -12 -21 F D- F+ +9 B+ C+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 192 @Penn L 73 - 81 26% -1  4 - 9 0 - 2 -7 +3 C- C+ C- -10 D- A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 169 Columbia W 86 - 80 OT 43% -1  5 - 9 1 - 2 +2 +7 B D C -5 A F D-
 Mon, Jan 19 174 Cornell L 67 - 89 44% -13  5 - 10 1 - 3 -26 -15 D F F -11 D- C D-
 Sat, Jan 24 213 @Princeton L 53 - 63 29% -1  5 - 11 1 - 4 -10 -14 F B+ D+ +2 A+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 30 178 Harvard L 64 - 65 45%
 Sat, Jan 31 235 Dartmouth W 71 - 70 55%
 Fri, Feb 6 71 @Yale L 62 - 79 5%
 Fri, Feb 13 178 @Harvard L 61 - 68 25%
 Sat, Feb 14 235 @Dartmouth L 68 - 73 34%
 Fri, Feb 20 213 Princeton W 65 - 64 50%
 Fri, Feb 27 169 @Columbia L 65 - 73 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 174 @Cornell L 76 - 84 25%
 Fri, Mar 6 192 Penn L 69 - 70 47%
Totals 8 - 17 4 - 10 -6 -7 D C- D- +2 B- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.7 0.7 0.2 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.6 0.4 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 3.5 1.9 5.5 4th
5th 1.9 5.5 0.4 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 8.5 2.3 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 10.5 7.5 0.1 19.5 7th
8th 3.6 12.0 20.7 13.2 1.1 50.5 8th
Total 3.6 12.0 22.1 24.7 19.0 11.7 5.6 1.1 0.3 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 10.9% 0.0    0.0
8-6 2.8% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.3% 10.9% 10.9% 14.0 0.0 0.2
8-6 1.1% 8.8% 8.8% 15.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
7-7 5.6% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.3
6-8 11.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-9 19.0% 19.0
4-10 24.7% 24.7
3-11 22.1% 22.1
2-12 12.0% 12.0
1-13 3.6% 3.6
0-14
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.7 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.6%