Bryant
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.9 #344
Expected Predictive Rating -10.8 #330
Pace 63.1 #325
Improvement -4.0 #327

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #348 D- D D- D- C+
Defense #290 C- D+ D- C+ F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #322 1.04 #315 -5.7 #344
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #325 0.68 #298 -3.5 #337
Three Pointers 55% #3 0.86 #339 +2.6 #96
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #343 -6.6 #347
Freethrows 0.22 #360 78% #18 0.17 #338
Second Chance 26.6% #289 0.96 #299 0.26 #309
Turnovers 19.7% #343
Total Offense -8.0 #348

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #7 1.10 #104 -3.7 #302
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #332 0.70 #96 +2.4 #21
Three Pointers 38% #275 1.10 #289 +0.2 #169
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #213 -1.1 #215
Freethrows 0.28 #111 74% #244 0.21 #139
Second Chance 36.5% #349 0.98 #95 0.36 #276
Turnovers 13.3% #335
Total Defense -3.9 #290

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.1% #113 2.6% #358
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -13.2% #355 -0.4% #178
Possession Length 19.2 #338 17.1 #140
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #330 0.20 #287
Improvement -2.1 #294 -1.9 #293

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.0% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.7% 36.9% 12.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.6% 1.4% 15.1%
First Four3.3% 4.0% 2.5%
First Round1.5% 1.9% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Away) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 49 - 119 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 173 @Siena L 66 - 82 10% -10  0 - 1 -14 -2 B B F -13 C+ F F
 Fri, Nov 7 111 @Georgia Tech L 45 - 74 5% -19  0 - 2 -22 -25 F F F +4 C A+ C
 Wed, Nov 12 237 Dartmouth W 82 - 75 33% +1  1 - 2 -0 +1 C+ F B- -1 C+ A D
 Sun, Nov 16 167 @Valparaiso L 50 - 68 10% -4  1 - 3 -16 -15 F C+ F+ -3 B+ D F+
 Wed, Nov 19 59 @Virginia Tech L 61 - 78 2% -5  1 - 4 -5 -5 C+ F+ D+ -0 B- F C
 Sun, Nov 23 10 @Connecticut L 49 - 72 0% -14  1 - 5 +0 -8 D+ C- F +6 A+ B- F+
 Sat, Nov 29 177 @Harvard L 53 - 56 11% -2  1 - 6 -1 -8 F C C- +6 B A- C-
 Tue, Dec 2 334 Stonehill W 77 - 65 58% +4  2 - 6 -2 +12 B- A+ F+ -13 D C F
 Fri, Dec 5 264 @Brown L 56 - 75 19% -12  2 - 7 -22 -12 C- F F -11 D- C- F
 Wed, Dec 10 225 @Iona L 63 - 69 15% -5  2 - 8 -7 -5 B F F -2 B- D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 159 Marist L 74 - 82 20% -6  2 - 9 -11 +6 A+ F F -18 F C- C-
 Mon, Dec 22 96 @High Point L 47 - 93 4% -27  2 - 10 -37 -21 F D F -21 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 336 @Maine W 56 - 51 36% +5  3 - 10 1 - 0 -3 -14 F D- F +11 A+ D+ B-
 Thu, Jan 8 319 Umass Lowell L 63 - 77 52% -6  3 - 11 1 - 1 -26 -11 F+ F+ C- -17 F+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 309 @Albany L 46 - 71 27% -13  3 - 12 1 - 2 -31 -19 F D- D+ -17 F A F
 Thu, Jan 15 258 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79 - 74 OT 37% +1  4 - 12 2 - 2 -3 +2 A- B F -6 D- A- C
 Mon, Jan 19 339 @NJIT L 55 - 79 36% -9  4 - 13 2 - 3 -32 -13 F F F -22 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 198 Vermont L 52 - 62 27% -8  4 - 14 2 - 4 -16 -8 F A- D -11 B D- D-
 Thu, Jan 29 362 @Binghamton W 67 - 66 55%
 Sat, Jan 31 320 New Hampshire W 67 - 66 52%
 Thu, Feb 5 309 Albany L 67 - 68 49%
 Sat, Feb 7 336 Maine W 62 - 60 58%
 Thu, Feb 12 319 @Umass Lowell L 68 - 73 30%
 Sat, Feb 14 198 @Vermont L 61 - 73 13%
 Thu, Feb 19 362 Binghamton W 70 - 63 75%
 Thu, Feb 26 258 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 64 - 73 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 339 NJIT W 69 - 67 59%
 Tue, Mar 3 320 @New Hampshire L 64 - 69 31%
Totals 8 - 20 6 - 10 -12 -8 D- D D- -4 C- D+ D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 4.0 1.2 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 1.0 6.6 2.6 0.1 10.2 4th
5th 0.4 6.8 6.0 0.3 13.5 5th
6th 0.3 5.0 10.3 1.3 0.0 16.9 6th
7th 0.4 4.9 12.2 3.6 0.0 21.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 7.3 11.8 5.3 0.2 26.1 8th
9th 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.3 9th
Total 0.5 3.0 8.8 17.2 22.9 22.0 15.4 7.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 18.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.4% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-6 2.4% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.2 2.2
9-7 7.4% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.4 7.0
8-8 15.4% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.8 14.6
7-9 22.0% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.9 21.1
6-10 22.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.6 22.3
5-11 17.2% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 16.9
4-12 8.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.7
3-13 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-14 0.5% 0.5
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 16.0 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%