St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#111
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#69
Pace65.8#282
Improvement-1.5#284

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#124
First Shot+0.8#151
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#124
Layup/Dunks+0.9#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#259
Freethrows-0.3#204
Improvement-2.2#329

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#111
First Shot+2.5#97
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#248
Layups/Dunks+1.6#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#291
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#147
Freethrows+1.4#96
Improvement+0.7#130
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.0% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.6 11.5 12.0
.500 or above 95.0% 95.9% 85.6%
.500 or above in Conference 61.7% 62.8% 50.1%
Conference Champion 2.8% 2.9% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.3% 2.1%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round2.8% 2.9% 1.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 33 - 7
Quad 38 - 411 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 116 Bradley W 69-63 51%     1 - 0 +9.3 +3.0 +6.6
  Sat, Nov 8 340 Canisius W 89-70 94%     2 - 0 +4.8 +20.0 -13.4
  Wed, Nov 12 165 Siena W 75-66 74%     3 - 0 +5.7 +8.6 -2.1
  Sat, Nov 15 166 Youngstown St. W 84-80 75%     4 - 0 +0.5 +11.4 -10.9
  Thu, Nov 20 184 Robert Morris W 75-61 78%     5 - 0 +9.4 +2.3 +7.4
  Tue, Nov 25 23 North Carolina L 70-85 14%     5 - 1 +0.2 +3.4 -3.0
  Thu, Nov 27 280 East Carolina W 67-58 82%     6 - 1 +2.5 -7.7 +10.1
  Sun, Nov 30 117 @Florida Atlantic W 70-65 39%     7 - 1 +11.3 +3.5 +8.1
  Sat, Dec 6 216 @Buffalo W 77-69 64%     8 - 1 +7.6 +5.0 +3.0
  Wed, Dec 10 180 Colgate W 85-77 77%     9 - 1 +3.6 +9.6 -5.9
  Sat, Dec 13 175 Ohio L 83-88 OT 67%     9 - 2 -6.0 +0.6 -6.2
  Sat, Dec 20 307 Le Moyne W 83-68 91%    
  Wed, Dec 31 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67-77 16%    
  Wed, Jan 7 102 Richmond W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 196 Fordham W 72-63 80%    
  Wed, Jan 14 173 @Saint Joseph's W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 239 @La Salle W 70-65 66%    
  Tue, Jan 20 287 Loyola Chicago W 77-64 89%    
  Fri, Jan 23 43 Saint Louis L 73-78 31%    
  Wed, Jan 28 138 @Duquesne L 76-77 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 77 George Mason L 68-69 45%    
  Tue, Feb 3 73 @Dayton L 68-75 25%    
  Sat, Feb 7 196 @Fordham W 69-66 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 138 Duquesne W 79-74 68%    
  Wed, Feb 18 173 Saint Joseph's W 74-67 75%    
  Sat, Feb 21 102 @Richmond L 71-75 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 115 Rhode Island W 72-69 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 77 @George Mason L 65-72 26%    
  Wed, Mar 4 82 @George Washington L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Mar 7 127 Davidson W 72-68 65%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.0 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.6 0.6 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.8 5.2 1.1 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.9 2.0 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 6.3 3.1 0.2 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.3 4.3 0.6 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.5 1.0 0.0 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.0 1.2 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.2 1.3 0.1 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 0.9 0.1 3.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 4.2 7.3 10.6 13.2 15.4 14.4 12.6 9.1 5.8 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 90.8% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 65.2% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 34.3% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.8% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 64.0% 24.0% 40.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 52.6%
16-2 0.4% 24.4% 9.9% 14.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 16.1%
15-3 1.2% 16.9% 13.3% 3.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 4.1%
14-4 2.8% 11.4% 10.1% 1.3% 11.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.5 1.5%
13-5 5.8% 8.5% 8.2% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.3 0.4%
12-6 9.1% 5.5% 5.4% 0.0% 11.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 8.6 0.0%
11-7 12.6% 4.1% 4.1% 11.8 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.1
10-8 14.4% 1.9% 1.9% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 14.2
9-9 15.4% 1.2% 1.2% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.2
8-10 13.2% 0.7% 0.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
7-11 10.6% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 7.3% 0.6% 0.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.2
5-13 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 4.2
4-14 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 1.9
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.6% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 97.2 0.2%