Drake
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#136
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#230
Pace64.4#308
Improvement+1.4#88

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#118
First Shot+3.7#80
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#280
Layup/Dunks+0.1#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#67
Freethrows+0.2#162
Improvement+4.0#4

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#178
First Shot-3.8#303
After Offensive Rebounds+3.4#13
Layups/Dunks+0.0#170
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#355
Freethrows+2.8#36
Improvement-2.6#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.8% 8.1% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 12.8 13.4
.500 or above 46.8% 65.5% 39.6%
.500 or above in Conference 56.7% 75.6% 49.4%
Conference Champion 5.3% 10.9% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 1.1% 5.2%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round5.7% 8.0% 4.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Away) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 37 - 78 - 13
Quad 46 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 270 Northern Arizona W 77-71 76%     1 - 0 +0.2 +3.0 -2.7
  Thu, Nov 6 184 Robert Morris L 79-81 OT 73%     1 - 1 -6.6 +0.0 -6.5
  Fri, Nov 14 232 SIU Edwardsville L 59-61 79%     1 - 2 -9.0 -6.4 -3.0
  Mon, Nov 17 170 @College of Charleston W 71-62 48%     2 - 2 +11.2 -0.1 +11.5
  Fri, Nov 28 34 LSU L 62-71 15%     2 - 3 +3.8 -3.8 +7.4
  Sat, Nov 29 130 Georgia Tech W 84-74 49%     3 - 3 +11.8 +21.9 -9.4
  Tue, Dec 2 354 Western Illinois W 108-57 95%     4 - 3 +34.3 +37.8 +1.4
  Fri, Dec 5 119 UAB L 69-74 56%     4 - 4 -4.8 -3.1 -1.9
  Sat, Dec 13 146 North Dakota St. L 94-99 64%     4 - 5 -7.1 +17.7 -24.7
  Thu, Dec 18 99 @Murray St. L 76-82 28%    
  Sun, Dec 21 275 @Evansville W 72-67 67%    
  Mon, Dec 29 90 Illinois St. L 71-72 45%    
  Sun, Jan 4 181 Indiana St. W 76-70 71%    
  Wed, Jan 7 116 @Bradley L 68-73 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 85 Belmont L 75-77 43%    
  Wed, Jan 14 129 @Southern Illinois L 72-75 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 189 @Illinois-Chicago W 73-72 52%    
  Wed, Jan 21 99 Murray St. L 78-79 49%    
  Sat, Jan 24 181 @Indiana St. W 74-73 50%    
  Wed, Jan 28 275 Evansville W 75-64 83%    
  Sat, Jan 31 116 Bradley W 71-70 55%    
  Tue, Feb 3 85 @Belmont L 72-80 23%    
  Fri, Feb 6 90 @Illinois St. L 68-75 26%    
  Mon, Feb 9 213 Valparaiso W 73-65 76%    
  Thu, Feb 12 189 Illinois-Chicago W 76-70 72%    
  Sun, Feb 15 93 @Northern Iowa L 61-68 27%    
  Wed, Feb 18 129 Southern Illinois W 75-72 60%    
  Wed, Feb 25 213 @Valparaiso W 70-68 57%    
  Sun, Mar 1 93 Northern Iowa L 64-65 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 3.2 3.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 5.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.5 5.8 2.1 0.3 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.2 5.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.6 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.7 2.7 1.2 0.1 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.7 3.5 5.5 8.1 10.7 12.7 13.1 12.4 11.1 8.3 5.6 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-3 92.6% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 79.2% 1.4    1.0 0.4 0.1
15-5 48.8% 1.7    0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-6 17.8% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
13-7 3.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.8 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 31.9% 31.9% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.7% 29.4% 29.4% 11.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.8% 21.4% 21.4% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4
15-5 3.5% 18.6% 18.6% 12.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.8
14-6 5.6% 14.0% 14.0% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 4.8
13-7 8.3% 11.1% 11.1% 12.8 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.4
12-8 11.1% 8.0% 8.0% 13.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.2
11-9 12.4% 6.5% 6.5% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 11.6
10-10 13.1% 3.6% 3.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.7
9-11 12.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.4
8-12 10.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 10.6
7-13 8.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.0
6-14 5.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 5.4
5-15 3.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.5
4-16 1.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-17 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 94.2 0.0%