Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#220
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#244
Pace67.8#224
Improvement-1.5#289

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#208
First Shot-2.3#239
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#125
Layup/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#267
Freethrows-0.1#183
Improvement-0.6#230

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#244
First Shot-4.2#312
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#51
Layups/Dunks-3.0#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#261
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement-0.9#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.7% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 27.7% 37.4% 17.7%
.500 or above in Conference 31.0% 35.5% 26.3%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.2% 9.1% 13.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round2.0% 2.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Quinnipiac (Home) - 50.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 74 - 12
Quad 410 - 614 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 239 @La Salle L 60-73 41%     0 - 1 -14.3 -8.3 -6.8
  Thu, Nov 13 56 @Seton Hall L 58-70 7%     0 - 2 +0.5 -3.7 +3.6
  Tue, Nov 18 68 @Syracuse L 73-78 9%     0 - 3 +6.0 +5.7 +0.4
  Sun, Nov 23 184 Robert Morris W 71-70 OT 54%     1 - 3 -3.6 -2.0 -1.6
  Fri, Nov 28 306 Ball St. W 80-73 67%     2 - 3 -1.1 +9.0 -9.7
  Sat, Nov 29 307 Le Moyne L 79-83 68%     2 - 4 -12.3 +0.5 -12.9
  Sun, Nov 30 319 @Lafayette W 88-74 61%     3 - 4 +7.6 +12.7 -5.2
  Wed, Dec 3 261 Princeton W 63-58 68%     4 - 4 -3.4 -9.5 +6.3
  Sat, Dec 6 130 @Georgia Tech L 67-79 21%     4 - 5 -7.2 -0.5 -6.6
  Sun, Dec 14 294 @Fairfield L 65-73 53%     4 - 6 -12.4 -3.1 -10.1
  Wed, Dec 17 169 Quinnipiac W 76-75 51%    
  Sun, Dec 21 309 Lehigh W 76-68 77%    
  Wed, Dec 31 228 Campbell W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Jan 3 139 @Towson L 64-72 23%    
  Thu, Jan 8 121 William & Mary L 78-82 37%    
  Sat, Jan 10 114 @Hofstra L 66-76 18%    
  Thu, Jan 15 272 Drexel W 72-67 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 209 Northeastern W 74-71 60%    
  Thu, Jan 22 229 @Hampton L 68-71 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 228 @Campbell L 73-76 40%    
  Thu, Jan 29 310 N.C. A&T W 78-70 77%    
  Sat, Jan 31 114 Hofstra L 69-73 36%    
  Thu, Feb 5 197 @Stony Brook L 69-73 35%    
  Thu, Feb 12 272 @Drexel L 69-70 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 139 Towson L 67-69 43%    
  Thu, Feb 19 108 @UNC Wilmington L 66-76 17%    
  Sat, Feb 21 170 @College of Charleston L 69-75 30%    
  Thu, Feb 26 197 Stony Brook W 72-70 57%    
  Sat, Feb 28 190 Elon W 78-77 55%    
  Tue, Mar 3 209 @Northeastern L 71-74 38%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.3 0.5 0.1 5.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.0 3.7 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 5.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.8 3.7 0.5 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.4 1.0 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.9 2.1 0.1 11.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.9 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 11.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.8 3.1 0.7 0.0 10.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.0 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.2 7.5 11.4 14.1 15.0 14.4 12.0 8.6 5.4 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 79.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 55.1% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 18.4% 18.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.5% 17.9% 17.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-5 1.3% 12.5% 12.5% 13.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-6 3.0% 10.9% 10.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
11-7 5.4% 6.3% 6.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.0
10-8 8.6% 3.7% 3.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 8.3
9-9 12.0% 2.5% 2.5% 15.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.7
8-10 14.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.6 0.1 0.1 14.2
7-11 15.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 14.8
6-12 14.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.0
5-13 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.4
4-14 7.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.5
3-15 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.1
2-16 1.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.9
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.5 97.9 0.0%