Penn
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#256
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#179
Pace72.8#89
Improvement-0.6#214

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#204
First Shot-2.5#247
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#106
Layup/Dunks-5.3#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#159
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement-0.6#233

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#302
First Shot-3.1#276
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#252
Layups/Dunks-6.5#352
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#134
Freethrows+2.8#35
Improvement+0.1#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.0% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 23.9% 47.2% 18.9%
.500 or above in Conference 26.7% 35.0% 24.9%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.0% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 30.5% 23.0% 32.1%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round1.9% 3.0% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 17.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 411 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sun, Nov 9 249 @American L 78-84 37%     0 - 1 -7.9 -2.0 -5.4
  Tue, Nov 11 69 @Providence L 81-106 7%     0 - 2 -14.1 +0.7 -11.9
  Mon, Nov 17 173 Saint Joseph's W 83-74 45%     1 - 2 +5.0 +4.3 +0.1
  Fri, Nov 21 272 @Drexel W 84-68 41%     2 - 2 +13.2 +14.0 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 28 271 Merrimack W 77-65 64%     3 - 2 +3.2 +3.1 +0.4
  Sat, Nov 29 239 La Salle W 73-71 58%     4 - 2 -5.3 +5.2 -10.3
  Sun, Nov 30 114 Hofstra L 60-77 30%     4 - 3 -16.7 -9.5 -7.9
  Sat, Dec 6 36 Villanova L 63-90 6%     4 - 4 -14.6 -1.1 -15.2
  Mon, Dec 8 319 Lafayette W 74-72 75%     5 - 4 -10.4 -5.2 -5.3
  Sat, Dec 20 132 @Rutgers L 70-80 18%    
  Sun, Dec 28 77 @George Mason L 65-81 7%    
  Wed, Dec 31 352 NJIT W 80-69 84%    
  Mon, Jan 5 261 @Princeton L 72-75 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 218 Brown W 71-70 54%    
  Sat, Jan 17 245 @Dartmouth L 78-81 38%    
  Mon, Jan 19 200 @Harvard L 70-76 30%    
  Sat, Jan 24 79 Yale L 75-85 19%    
  Fri, Jan 30 137 @Columbia L 73-83 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 164 @Cornell L 83-91 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 261 Princeton W 75-72 61%    
  Fri, Feb 13 137 Columbia L 76-80 36%    
  Sat, Feb 14 164 Cornell L 86-88 43%    
  Sat, Feb 21 79 @Yale L 72-88 8%    
  Fri, Feb 27 245 Dartmouth W 81-78 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 200 Harvard W 74-73 51%    
  Fri, Mar 6 218 @Brown L 68-73 33%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.2 1.6 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.1 4.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 9.6 3rd
4th 0.3 4.3 6.1 1.8 0.1 12.6 4th
5th 0.4 4.8 8.0 2.2 0.1 0.0 15.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 5.1 8.9 2.7 0.1 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.7 8.6 3.0 0.1 18.7 7th
8th 0.6 2.9 6.5 6.7 2.4 0.1 19.2 8th
Total 0.6 2.9 7.7 13.0 16.5 17.2 15.5 11.7 7.7 4.4 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-2 89.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
11-3 58.2% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
10-4 24.6% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-5 5.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 23.5% 23.5% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-3 0.7% 14.4% 14.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
10-4 1.9% 10.3% 10.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
9-5 4.4% 10.1% 10.1% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.0
8-6 7.7% 7.6% 7.6% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 7.1
7-7 11.7% 3.6% 3.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 11.3
6-8 15.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 15.4
5-9 17.2% 17.2
4-10 16.5% 16.5
3-11 13.0% 13.0
2-12 7.7% 7.7
1-13 2.9% 2.9
0-14 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%