Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.7#325
Expected Predictive Rating-15.4#348
Pace62.2#347
Improvement-0.9#242

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#352
First Shot-5.7#331
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#314
Layup/Dunks-4.2#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
Freethrows-3.3#336
Improvement-2.0#317

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#235
First Shot-2.1#244
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#172
Layups/Dunks-2.6#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#15
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#120
Freethrows-4.0#356
Improvement+1.1#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 12.6% 27.9% 9.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 17.9% 7.6% 20.0%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Away) - 17.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 14
Quad 46 - 107 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 306 @Ball St. L 64-75 33%     0 - 1 -16.1 -4.1 -13.0
  Fri, Nov 7 258 SE Louisiana W 58-52 45%     1 - 1 -2.3 -4.4 +3.3
  Tue, Nov 11 206 Tulane L 62-66 36%     1 - 2 -10.0 -10.2 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 14 70 @McNeese St. L 62-88 4%     1 - 3 -15.1 -1.2 -15.2
  Tue, Nov 18 92 @Stanford L 66-93 5%     1 - 4 -18.3 -4.1 -13.7
  Fri, Nov 21 74 @Santa Clara L 43-80 4%     1 - 5 -26.2 -23.5 -4.7
  Mon, Nov 24 198 @UC Davis L 56-77 17%     1 - 6 -20.5 -10.9 -11.2
  Fri, Nov 28 315 Jackson St. L 45-51 59%     1 - 7 -18.1 -25.1 +6.2
  Wed, Dec 3 223 @Lamar L 55-65 20%     1 - 8 -10.6 -6.4 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 6 108 UNC Wilmington L 63-70 16%     1 - 9 -6.2 -5.1 -1.8
  Sat, Dec 13 178 @Louisiana Tech L 44-65 14%     1 - 10 -19.2 -17.6 -5.2
  Thu, Dec 18 201 @Southern Miss L 62-72 17%    
  Sat, Dec 20 358 @Louisiana Monroe W 69-67 56%    
  Sun, Dec 28 233 Norfolk St. L 61-64 41%    
  Wed, Dec 31 179 South Alabama L 61-66 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 201 Southern Miss L 65-69 36%    
  Thu, Jan 8 358 Louisiana Monroe W 72-64 76%    
  Sat, Jan 10 143 Troy L 63-71 23%    
  Wed, Jan 14 240 @Texas St. L 60-68 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 179 @South Alabama L 58-69 15%    
  Thu, Jan 22 231 @Appalachian St. L 57-66 21%    
  Sat, Jan 24 215 @Old Dominion L 63-72 20%    
  Thu, Jan 29 334 Georgia St. W 68-64 64%    
  Sat, Jan 31 230 Georgia Southern L 70-73 41%    
  Wed, Feb 4 182 @James Madison L 62-73 16%    
  Thu, Feb 12 244 Coastal Carolina L 65-67 43%    
  Thu, Feb 19 153 Arkansas St. L 68-75 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 240 Texas St. L 63-65 43%    
  Tue, Feb 24 143 @Troy L 60-74 11%    
  Fri, Feb 27 153 @Arkansas St. L 65-78 12%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.3 0.1 2.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.3 0.6 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.9 1.9 0.1 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.2 3.5 0.5 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.3 1.7 0.1 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 4.0 7.2 3.5 0.3 15.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.6 5.7 8.4 4.5 0.7 0.0 21.0 12th
13th 0.1 1.9 5.4 6.7 3.4 0.6 0.0 18.1 13th
14th 0.3 1.7 3.5 3.2 1.3 0.2 10.0 14th
Total 0.3 1.8 5.4 10.1 14.3 16.6 15.9 13.5 9.4 6.4 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 66.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.3% 10.6% 10.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.7% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
10-8 3.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.4
9-9 6.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.4
8-10 9.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.4
7-11 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
6-12 15.9% 15.9
5-13 16.6% 16.6
4-14 14.3% 14.3
3-15 10.1% 10.1
2-16 5.4% 5.4
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%