Florida Gulf Coast
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#185
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#234
Pace70.6#163
Improvement+0.7#128

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#151
First Shot+0.0#169
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#142
Layup/Dunks+1.6#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#145
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#198
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement-2.1#325

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#246
First Shot-2.8#267
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#135
Layups/Dunks-0.6#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#143
Freethrows-4.7#359
Improvement+2.8#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.9% 22.2% 15.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.2 15.0
.500 or above 70.5% 87.8% 68.7%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 92.6% 86.9%
Conference Champion 19.6% 27.4% 18.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four1.8% 0.7% 2.0%
First Round15.1% 21.9% 14.4%
Second Round0.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Florida (Away) - 9.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 14 @Illinois L 70-113 3%     0 - 1 -22.2 +0.0 -19.5
  Tue, Nov 11 230 Georgia Southern L 94-95 70%     0 - 2 -8.0 +12.6 -20.5
  Sat, Nov 15 225 Chattanooga W 91-73 69%     1 - 2 +11.3 +13.7 -2.2
  Wed, Nov 19 237 @Samford W 77-62 48%     2 - 2 +13.9 +3.7 +10.5
  Mon, Nov 24 300 Oral Roberts W 93-88 81%     3 - 2 -5.8 +8.2 -14.3
  Tue, Nov 25 208 Rice W 78-63 OT 67%     4 - 2 +8.8 -7.5 +14.5
  Wed, Nov 26 162 Kennesaw St. L 100-102 OT 55%     4 - 3 -5.0 +5.0 -9.6
  Wed, Dec 3 187 @Florida International L 83-89 39%     4 - 4 -4.8 +5.0 -9.3
  Sun, Dec 7 117 Florida Atlantic L 76-81 43%     4 - 5 -4.7 +1.9 -6.7
  Sun, Dec 14 71 @New Mexico L 59-75 12%     4 - 6 -5.1 -6.4 +0.9
  Sat, Dec 20 57 @Central Florida L 74-88 9%    
  Thu, Jan 1 283 @Central Arkansas W 76-74 57%    
  Sat, Jan 3 195 @North Alabama L 73-75 42%    
  Thu, Jan 8 192 Austin Peay W 75-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 142 Lipscomb W 77-76 51%    
  Thu, Jan 15 202 Queens W 84-80 65%    
  Sat, Jan 17 314 West Georgia W 81-71 83%    
  Thu, Jan 22 192 @Austin Peay L 72-75 41%    
  Sat, Jan 24 142 @Lipscomb L 73-79 30%    
  Thu, Jan 29 195 North Alabama W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 31 305 @Jacksonville W 75-72 62%    
  Thu, Feb 5 260 @Eastern Kentucky W 78-77 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 295 @Bellarmine W 79-76 60%    
  Wed, Feb 11 344 North Florida W 89-76 88%    
  Sat, Feb 14 347 Stetson W 82-69 88%    
  Thu, Feb 19 305 Jacksonville W 78-69 80%    
  Sat, Feb 21 283 Central Arkansas W 79-71 76%    
  Thu, Feb 26 344 @North Florida W 86-79 73%    
  Sat, Feb 28 347 @Stetson W 79-72 74%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.8 5.7 5.7 3.2 1.2 0.2 19.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 4.3 6.9 4.4 1.3 0.1 18.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.4 6.9 3.7 0.6 0.0 16.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 3.6 6.5 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 2.7 0.4 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.4 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.6 6.0 9.0 12.0 14.8 15.3 13.8 10.7 7.0 3.4 1.2 0.2 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 1.2    1.2 0.0
16-2 96.1% 3.2    2.9 0.3 0.0
15-3 81.5% 5.7    3.9 1.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 53.4% 5.7    2.8 2.3 0.6 0.0
13-5 20.3% 2.8    0.7 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.6% 19.6 11.8 5.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 53.6% 53.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.2% 44.2% 44.2% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
16-2 3.4% 36.8% 36.8% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.1
15-3 7.0% 31.1% 31.1% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.1 4.8
14-4 10.7% 25.9% 25.9% 14.6 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.2 7.9
13-5 13.8% 20.2% 20.2% 15.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 0.7 11.0
12-6 15.3% 15.9% 15.9% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.9 12.9
11-7 14.8% 11.9% 11.9% 15.6 0.0 0.7 1.1 13.1
10-8 12.0% 9.4% 9.4% 15.8 0.2 0.9 10.9
9-9 9.0% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 8.4
8-10 6.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 5.8
7-11 3.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 3.6
6-12 1.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 1.8
5-13 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 15.9% 15.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.7 6.3 4.7 84.1 0.0%