IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.0	#230
Expected Predictive Rating	-2.2	#202

Pace	76.1	#39
Improvement	-0.2	#200

Offense
Total Offense	-0.6	#180

First Shot	+1.5	#136
After Offensive Rebound	-2.0	#307

Layup/Dunks	-1.2	#230
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.0	#295
3 Pt Jumpshots	+4.1	#58
Freethrows	+0.5	#140

Improvement	-0.4	#221

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#286

First Shot	-2.2	#247
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.3	#281

Layups/Dunks	-2.3	#266
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.6	#65
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#144
Freethrows	-2.6	#325

Improvement	+0.3	#171

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.6%	4.0%	1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	14.7	15.0

.500 or above	61.0%	65.8%	39.6%
.500 or above in Conference	58.9%	63.8%	37.2%
Conference Champion	4.9%	5.7%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	2.1%	1.3%	6.1%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	3.6%	4.0%	1.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgia St. (Home) - 81.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 6	16 - 15

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Tue, Nov 4	280 @East Carolina	L	89-92	48%	0 - 1			-6.5	+5.1	-11.2
Sat, Nov 8	222 UNC Asheville	W	93-90	60%	1 - 1			-3.6	+3.9	-7.9
Tue, Nov 11	185 @Florida Gulf Coast	W	95-94	30%	2 - 1			+2.4	+17.8	-15.4
Tue, Nov 18	130 @Georgia Tech	L	66-68	20%	2 - 2			+2.8	-5.3	+8.3
Fri, Nov 21	104 @Florida St.	L	72-98	15%	2 - 3			-18.9	-8.7	-6.1
Mon, Nov 24	166 Youngstown St.	L	61-67	37%	2 - 4			-6.5	-8.1	+1.5
Tue, Nov 25	286 Texas San Antonio	L	64-77	61%	2 - 5			-19.9	-13.0	-6.3
Sat, Nov 29	274 Houston Christian	W	80-62	68%	3 - 5			+9.1	+4.9	+5.0
Wed, Dec 3	178 Louisiana Tech	W	77-69	51%	4 - 5			+3.8	+8.9	-4.7
Sat, Dec 6	357 @Gardner-Webb	W	88-84	76%	5 - 5			-7.2	+4.0	-11.5
Sat, Dec 13	314 @West Georgia	W	91-85	58%	6 - 5			+0.0	+11.7	-11.9
Thu, Dec 18	334 Georgia St.	W	83-73	82%
Sat, Dec 20	182 James Madison	W	79-78	52%
Thu, Jan 1	244 @Coastal Carolina	L	77-79	42%
Sat, Jan 3	215 @Old Dominion	L	78-82	37%
Sat, Jan 10	179 @South Alabama	L	71-77	30%
Thu, Jan 15	215 Old Dominion	W	81-79	59%
Sat, Jan 17	244 Coastal Carolina	W	80-76	63%
Thu, Jan 22	153 Arkansas St.	L	84-85	45%
Sat, Jan 24	143 Troy	L	77-79	43%
Thu, Jan 29	358 @Louisiana Monroe	W	84-77	74%
Sat, Jan 31	325 @Louisiana	W	73-70	59%
Wed, Feb 4	240 Texas St.	W	76-73	62%
Wed, Feb 11	231 Appalachian St.	W	73-70	60%
Sat, Feb 14	161 Marshall	L	80-81	46%
Thu, Feb 19	334 @Georgia St.	W	80-76	63%
Sat, Feb 21	231 @Appalachian St.	L	70-73	40%
Wed, Feb 25	182 @James Madison	L	76-81	31%
Fri, Feb 27	161 @Marshall	L	77-84	26%
Projected Record					15 - 14	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.1	1.7	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0		4.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	2.0	2.5	1.3	0.3	0.0				6.3	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.8	3.7	1.5	0.2	0.0					7.4	3rd
4th										0.0	1.3	4.3	2.4	0.2	0.0						8.3	4th
5th									0.0	0.5	4.1	3.6	0.5	0.0							8.7	5th
6th									0.2	2.7	5.2	1.1	0.0								9.3	6th
7th								0.0	1.4	5.2	2.7	0.1									9.6	7th
8th							0.0	0.7	4.4	4.2	0.5										9.8	8th
9th						0.0	0.4	3.0	5.2	1.4	0.0										10.0	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	2.0	4.4	2.1	0.1											8.8	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	1.6	3.4	2.3	0.3												7.7	11th
12th				0.2	1.0	2.4	1.7	0.3	0.0												5.5	12th
13th		0.0	0.1	0.7	1.0	0.9	0.2	0.0													2.8	13th
14th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0														0.9	14th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	2.3	5.1	7.8	10.8	13.5	14.1	14.0	11.3	8.9	5.4	3.2	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	97.0%	0.5		0.5	0.1
15-3	81.8%	1.2		0.9	0.3	0.0
14-4	52.5%	1.7		0.7	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	20.9%	1.1		0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0
12-6	3.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.9%	4.9		2.4	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
17-1	0.1%		33.3%	33.3%		13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
16-2	0.6%		34.9%	34.9%		13.8													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.4
15-3	1.4%		24.9%	24.9%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.1
14-4	3.2%		18.8%	18.8%		14.5														0.0	0.3	0.3	0.0	2.6
13-5	5.4%		13.0%	13.0%		14.7														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.1	4.7
12-6	8.9%		8.9%	8.9%		14.9														0.0	0.2	0.5	0.1	8.1
11-7	11.3%		4.4%	4.4%		15.1															0.1	0.3	0.1	10.8
10-8	14.0%		1.6%	1.6%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	13.8
9-9	14.1%		0.8%	0.8%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	14.0
8-10	13.5%		0.4%	0.4%		15.8																0.0	0.0	13.5
7-11	10.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.7
6-12	7.8%																							7.8
5-13	5.1%																							5.1
4-14	2.3%																							2.3
3-15	1.1%																							1.1
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.6%	3.6%	0.0%	14.7												0.0	0.0	0.2	1.1	1.8	0.6	96.4		0.0%