Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#312
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#309
Pace72.5#98
Improvement-1.2#265

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#303
First Shot-6.8#346
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#68
Layup/Dunks-2.6#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-11.1#364
Freethrows+4.7#9
Improvement-0.2#197

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#309
First Shot-1.0#212
After Offensive Rebounds-3.0#342
Layups/Dunks-3.3#295
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#49
Freethrows-1.2#261
Improvement-0.9#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.3 15.9
.500 or above 0.8% 2.0% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 4.2% 5.9% 3.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 47.7% 41.5% 50.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 32.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 92 - 14
Quad 46 - 79 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 80 @California L 60-87 5%     0 - 1 -16.9 -10.9 -4.8
  Tue, Nov 11 355 Western Illinois W 74-58 77%     1 - 1 -0.7 -3.4 +3.3
  Fri, Nov 14 60 @Mississippi L 60-82 4%     1 - 2 -10.0 +0.6 -13.2
  Mon, Nov 17 176 @Portland St. L 80-93 16%     1 - 3 -11.1 +6.6 -17.0
  Sat, Nov 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 86-70 94%     2 - 3 -10.0 -3.0 -8.1
  Tue, Nov 25 122 @Florida St. L 59-89 9%     2 - 4 -24.1 -19.1 -0.9
  Sun, Nov 30 181 @Fresno St. W 76-71 17%     3 - 4 +6.5 +3.1 +3.3
  Thu, Dec 4 217 @Cal St. Northridge L 66-87 21%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -21.6 -11.6 -8.8
  Sat, Dec 6 159 @UC Santa Barbara L 84-109 14%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -22.0 +6.5 -27.5
  Thu, Dec 11 148 North Dakota St. L 69-80 26%     3 - 7 -13.1 -7.6 -5.0
  Sat, Dec 13 294 Pepperdine L 62-70 55%     3 - 8 -18.2 -11.0 -7.5
  Tue, Dec 23 168 Idaho L 73-78 32%    
  Thu, Jan 1 121 UC Irvine L 66-75 21%    
  Sat, Jan 3 197 @UC Davis L 69-79 19%    
  Thu, Jan 8 265 UC Riverside L 74-75 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 276 @Long Beach St. L 71-77 30%    
  Thu, Jan 15 159 UC Santa Barbara L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Jan 17 85 UC San Diego L 70-82 13%    
  Fri, Jan 23 110 @Hawaii L 65-80 8%    
  Thu, Jan 29 252 Cal Poly L 83-84 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 197 UC Davis L 72-76 38%    
  Thu, Feb 5 121 @UC Irvine L 63-78 9%    
  Sat, Feb 7 267 @Cal St. Fullerton L 79-85 29%    
  Thu, Feb 12 110 Hawaii L 68-77 20%    
  Thu, Feb 19 265 @UC Riverside L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 267 Cal St. Fullerton L 82-83 49%    
  Thu, Feb 26 85 @UC San Diego L 67-85 5%    
  Sat, Feb 28 276 Long Beach St. W 74-73 52%    
  Thu, Mar 5 217 Cal St. Northridge L 80-82 42%    
  Sat, Mar 7 252 @Cal Poly L 80-87 28%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.5 5th
6th 0.3 1.5 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.4 5.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 4.5 6.5 3.0 0.3 15.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.6 8.5 4.1 0.5 0.0 22.5 10th
11th 1.0 3.6 7.5 10.4 8.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 34.6 11th
Total 1.0 3.6 7.8 12.9 16.0 16.9 14.8 11.0 7.4 4.5 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 12.5% 0.0    0.0
13-7 5.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.1
13-7 0.1% 17.9% 17.9% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.0 0.0 0.4
11-9 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
10-10 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 2.4
9-11 4.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.5
8-12 7.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.4
7-13 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
6-14 14.8% 14.8
5-15 16.9% 16.9
4-16 16.0% 16.0
3-17 12.9% 12.9
2-18 7.8% 7.8
1-19 3.6% 3.6
0-20 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%