UC Davis
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#198
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#141
Pace69.0#197
Improvement-4.3#354

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#242
First Shot-0.3#177
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#331
Layup/Dunks-1.2#231
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#203
Freethrows+1.5#97
Improvement-1.3#286

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#155
First Shot-1.5#225
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#65
Layups/Dunks-1.2#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement-2.9#347
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.7% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.6 14.0
.500 or above 50.2% 65.1% 40.3%
.500 or above in Conference 51.9% 59.3% 47.0%
Conference Champion 2.0% 2.8% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 3.8% 6.9%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round3.3% 4.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seattle (Home) - 40.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 410 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 146 North Dakota St. W 80-68 48%     1 - 0 +9.9 +7.8 +2.3
  Sun, Nov 9 243 @Portland L 63-67 47%     1 - 1 -5.7 -9.7 +4.0
  Fri, Nov 14 279 Sacramento St. W 77-73 74%     2 - 1 -5.3 -2.1 -3.4
  Tue, Nov 18 98 @Nevada W 75-71 16%     3 - 1 +12.0 +1.1 +10.7
  Fri, Nov 21 62 @Colorado L 79-95 10%     3 - 2 -4.2 +9.7 -13.9
  Mon, Nov 24 325 Louisiana W 77-56 83%     4 - 2 +8.3 +6.5 +3.4
  Thu, Dec 4 110 @Hawaii L 69-75 20%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +0.5 +2.1 -1.5
  Sat, Dec 13 66 @Oregon L 62-104 10%     4 - 4 -30.7 -8.1 -21.1
  Wed, Dec 17 118 Seattle L 68-71 40%    
  Sun, Dec 21 163 @Idaho St. L 66-71 30%    
  Thu, Jan 1 221 Cal St. Northridge W 79-75 64%    
  Sat, Jan 3 311 Cal St. Bakersfield W 78-69 80%    
  Thu, Jan 8 150 @UC Santa Barbara L 69-75 28%    
  Sat, Jan 10 250 @Cal Poly L 79-80 48%    
  Thu, Jan 15 269 Cal St. Fullerton W 82-76 72%    
  Sat, Jan 17 122 UC Irvine L 66-68 41%    
  Thu, Jan 22 89 UC San Diego L 71-76 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 268 UC Riverside W 75-69 71%    
  Thu, Jan 29 221 @Cal St. Northridge L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Jan 31 311 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-72 62%    
  Thu, Feb 5 150 UC Santa Barbara L 71-72 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 250 Cal Poly W 83-77 69%    
  Thu, Feb 12 89 @UC San Diego L 68-79 15%    
  Sat, Feb 14 277 Long Beach St. W 75-68 72%    
  Thu, Feb 19 269 @Cal St. Fullerton W 79-78 50%    
  Sat, Feb 21 268 @UC Riverside W 72-71 51%    
  Thu, Feb 26 110 Hawaii L 68-71 39%    
  Thu, Mar 5 277 @Long Beach St. W 72-71 53%    
  Sat, Mar 7 122 @UC Irvine L 63-71 23%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.4 3.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.2 5.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 6.1 5.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 17.1 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 6.0 4.9 1.3 0.2 15.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 5.3 3.8 0.9 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.2 2.9 0.7 0.0 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.9 6.7 9.3 11.4 13.0 13.5 11.9 10.4 7.3 4.7 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 81.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 49.6% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1
15-5 23.0% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 35.3% 35.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 30.9% 30.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.2% 23.8% 23.8% 12.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-5 2.5% 18.4% 18.4% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
14-6 4.7% 12.2% 12.2% 13.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 4.1
13-7 7.3% 7.1% 7.1% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.7
12-8 10.4% 4.9% 4.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.9
11-9 11.9% 2.9% 2.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.5
10-10 13.5% 1.7% 1.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 13.2
9-11 13.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.9
8-12 11.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 11.3
7-13 9.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-14 6.7% 6.7
5-15 3.9% 3.9
4-16 2.2% 2.2
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 96.7 0.0%