IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Cal St. Northridge
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.6	#221
Expected Predictive Rating	-1.3	#189

Pace	78.9	#16
Improvement	+4.9	#3

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#192

First Shot	-0.4	#182
After Offensive Rebound	-0.6	#216

Layup/Dunks	+3.0	#80
2 Pt Jumpshots	-2.0	#294
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.3	#187
Freethrows	-1.1	#254

Improvement	+2.9	#21

Defense
Total Defense	-2.6	#259

First Shot	+0.1	#166
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.7	#332

Layups/Dunks	+1.7	#113
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.6	#144
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.5	#277
Freethrows	+0.3	#158

Improvement	+1.9	#49

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.1%	2.4%	1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.3	14.3	14.6

.500 or above	36.7%	43.3%	20.9%
.500 or above in Conference	44.3%	47.9%	35.6%
Conference Champion	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	5.7%	4.7%	8.0%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
First Round	2.0%	2.4%	1.2%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Home) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 12
Quad 4	11 - 4	15 - 17

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Thu, Nov 6	93 @Northern Iowa	L	57-86	13%	0 - 1			-20.4	-9.2	-10.5
Sun, Nov 9	342 @North Dakota	W	93-85	68%	1 - 1			-0.5	+10.8	-11.9
Tue, Nov 11	146 @North Dakota St.	L	68-90	24%	1 - 2			-18.1	-11.4	-3.9
Sun, Nov 16	143 Troy	W	94-85	43%	2 - 2			+7.1	+16.3	-9.5
Wed, Nov 26	172 Idaho	L	64-78	40%	2 - 3			-15.0	-14.7	+0.4
Fri, Nov 28	163 Idaho St.	L	50-82	37%	2 - 4			-32.1	-26.3	-3.4
Thu, Dec 4	311 Cal St. Bakersfield	W	87-66	78%	3 - 4	1 - 0		+9.3	+4.0	+4.1
Sat, Dec 6	122 @UC Irvine	L	71-85	19%	3 - 5	1 - 1		-8.1	+6.9	-15.0
Wed, Dec 10	183 Fresno St.	W	89-87	54%	4 - 5			-2.6	+13.0	-15.6
Sat, Dec 13	282 @Delaware	W	88-66	50%	5 - 5			+18.5	+17.1	+2.2
Mon, Dec 22	279 Sacramento St.	W	85-79	71%
Sat, Dec 27	92 @Stanford	L	76-88	12%
Thu, Jan 1	198 @UC Davis	L	75-79	36%
Sat, Jan 3	150 UC Santa Barbara	L	78-79	46%
Thu, Jan 8	250 Cal Poly	W	91-86	67%
Sat, Jan 10	269 @Cal St. Fullerton	L	87-88	47%
Thu, Jan 15	89 @UC San Diego	L	76-88	13%
Sat, Jan 17	277 Long Beach St.	W	81-75	70%
Sun, Jan 25	110 @Hawaii	L	72-82	18%
Thu, Jan 29	198 UC Davis	W	78-76	57%
Sat, Jan 31	89 UC San Diego	L	79-85	28%
Thu, Feb 5	250 @Cal Poly	L	88-89	44%
Sat, Feb 7	268 UC Riverside	W	82-77	68%
Sat, Feb 14	110 Hawaii	L	75-79	36%
Thu, Feb 19	150 @UC Santa Barbara	L	75-82	26%
Sat, Feb 21	277 @Long Beach St.	L	78-79	48%
Thu, Feb 26	122 UC Irvine	L	73-76	38%
Sat, Feb 28	268 @UC Riverside	L	79-80	47%
Thu, Mar 5	311 @Cal St. Bakersfield	W	82-80	58%
Sat, Mar 7	269 Cal St. Fullerton	W	90-85	68%
Projected Record					14 - 16	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			1.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	0.7	1.2	1.0	0.3	0.0					3.5	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.6	1.9	2.6	1.4	0.3	0.0						6.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.5	3.7	4.2	1.8	0.3	0.0							11.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.5	6.3	5.4	1.9	0.3	0.0								16.7	5th
6th								0.4	2.9	7.1	5.0	1.4	0.1										16.9	6th
7th							0.2	2.6	6.2	4.1	0.9	0.1											14.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	2.0	5.0	3.5	0.7	0.0												11.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.2	1.7	3.9	2.8	0.6	0.0													9.3	9th
10th		0.0	0.0	0.3	1.3	2.4	1.7	0.3	0.0														6.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0															2.5	11th

Total		0.0	0.3	0.9	2.4	4.9	8.0	11.1	13.5	14.6	13.7	11.1	8.4	5.5	3.1	1.6	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Big West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	77.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	57.6%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
15-5	20.7%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	6.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.1%	1.1		0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																	0.0
18-2	0.0%																		0.0	0.0				0.0
17-3	0.1%		27.8%	27.8%		12.7													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-4	0.7%		24.2%	24.2%		13.4													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.5
15-5	1.6%		18.4%	18.4%		13.6													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		1.3
14-6	3.1%		11.1%	11.1%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	2.8
13-7	5.5%		5.7%	5.7%		14.2														0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	5.2
12-8	8.4%		3.7%	3.7%		14.6														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	8.0
11-9	11.1%		2.4%	2.4%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	10.9
10-10	13.7%		1.3%	1.3%		15.2															0.0	0.1	0.1	13.6
9-11	14.6%		0.6%	0.6%		15.5																0.0	0.0	14.5
8-12	13.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	13.4
7-13	11.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
6-14	8.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
5-15	4.9%																							4.9
4-16	2.4%																							2.4
3-17	0.9%																							0.9
2-18	0.3%																							0.3
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20

Total	100%		2.1%	2.1%	0.0%	14.3												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.7	0.2	97.9		0.0%