Lamar
Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.7#224
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#227
Pace64.4#310
Improvement-1.0#252

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#319
First Shot-6.9#348
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#94
Layup/Dunks-7.6#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#269
Freethrows-4.6#358
Improvement-1.1#269

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#108
First Shot+2.9#79
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#271
Layups/Dunks+2.3#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#143
Freethrows-0.2#197
Improvement+0.1#182
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.9% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.6
.500 or above 42.2% 52.1% 27.7%
.500 or above in Conference 43.9% 54.2% 29.0%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 6.8% 17.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round3.0% 3.8% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Home) - 59.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 411 - 614 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 10 53 @TCU L 65-78 7%     0 - 1 +0.0 +6.5 -7.6
  Mon, Nov 17 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 79-66 77%     1 - 1 +1.7 -1.6 +2.9
  Sun, Nov 23 202 @Montana W 68-63 36%     2 - 1 +5.1 -8.6 +13.6
  Mon, Nov 24 149 Oakland L 68-83 34%     2 - 2 -14.3 -9.4 -4.8
  Wed, Dec 3 325 Louisiana W 65-55 80%     3 - 2 -2.7 -1.7 +0.4
  Sat, Dec 6 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 49-57 60%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -14.3 -15.9 +0.3
  Wed, Dec 10 51 @San Diego St. L 71-89 7%     3 - 4 -4.6 -1.3 -1.8
  Tue, Dec 16 206 UT Rio Grande Valley W 68-66 59%    
  Sat, Dec 20 237 Nebraska Omaha W 70-67 62%    
  Mon, Dec 29 275 @Northwestern St. L 66-67 48%    
  Wed, Dec 31 295 @East Texas A&M W 67-66 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 69 @McNeese St. L 58-73 9%    
  Mon, Jan 5 272 @SE Louisiana L 64-65 47%    
  Sat, Jan 10 176 Incarnate Word W 67-66 52%    
  Mon, Jan 12 273 Houston Christian W 68-63 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 258 @Nicholls St. L 66-67 45%    
  Mon, Jan 19 247 @New Orleans L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Jan 24 140 Stephen F. Austin L 65-67 43%    
  Mon, Jan 26 295 East Texas A&M W 70-63 72%    
  Sat, Jan 31 69 McNeese St. L 61-70 22%    
  Mon, Feb 2 272 SE Louisiana W 67-62 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 140 @Stephen F. Austin L 62-70 24%    
  Mon, Feb 9 275 Northwestern St. W 69-64 68%    
  Sat, Feb 14 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-66 38%    
  Mon, Feb 16 206 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-69 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 247 New Orleans W 72-68 64%    
  Mon, Feb 23 258 Nicholls St. W 69-64 67%    
  Sat, Feb 28 176 @Incarnate Word L 64-70 31%    
  Mon, Mar 2 273 @Houston Christian L 65-66 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.8 3.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.0 4.0 1.2 0.2 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.2 4.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.8 1.5 0.1 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.0 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.3 2.5 0.2 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.9 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 3.7 5.9 8.2 10.1 11.9 12.5 11.3 10.2 8.2 6.0 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 90.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0
18-4 67.1% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-5 38.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
16-6 16.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-7 4.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.2% 25.5% 25.5% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.6% 25.7% 25.7% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
17-5 1.2% 19.8% 19.8% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-6 2.4% 20.1% 20.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.9
15-7 3.9% 11.5% 11.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.5
14-8 6.0% 8.7% 8.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 5.5
13-9 8.2% 5.4% 5.4% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 7.7
12-10 10.2% 3.5% 3.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.9
11-11 11.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.1
10-12 12.5% 0.8% 0.8% 15.6 0.0 0.1 12.4
9-13 11.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.9
8-14 10.1% 10.1
7-15 8.2% 8.2
6-16 5.9% 5.9
5-17 3.7% 3.7
4-18 2.2% 2.2
3-19 1.0% 1.0
2-20 0.4% 0.4
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.2 0.4 96.9 0.0%