Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#293
Expected Predictive Rating-10.2#314
Pace71.4#133
Improvement+0.4#143

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#252
First Shot-3.0#263
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#198
Layup/Dunks-2.7#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#325
Freethrows+5.1#5
Improvement+0.5#130

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#304
First Shot-4.9#334
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#111
Layups/Dunks-2.0#262
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#333
Freethrows-0.5#214
Improvement-0.1#186
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.3% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 12.7% 17.9% 5.8%
.500 or above in Conference 33.5% 37.1% 28.6%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 5.9% 9.2%
First Four1.3% 1.4% 1.2%
First Round1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Away) - 57.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 410 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 102 @Pittsburgh L 60-78 9%     0 - 1 -10.4 -11.0 +0.6
  Wed, Nov 12 193 James Madison W 82-72 42%     1 - 1 +4.9 +4.2 +0.8
  Sat, Nov 15 360 Binghamton W 90-82 84%     2 - 1 -9.9 +2.8 -13.1
  Tue, Nov 18 346 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82-83 2OT 77%     2 - 2 -15.8 -7.7 -8.0
  Sun, Nov 23 133 @Columbia L 70-95 14%     2 - 3 -20.3 -2.9 -16.5
  Fri, Nov 28 171 Siena L 63-70 27%     2 - 4 -7.9 -6.7 -1.4
  Sat, Nov 29 335 Maine W 65-61 64%     3 - 4 -6.8 -2.5 -3.9
  Sun, Nov 30 248 @American L 66-92 31%     3 - 5 -28.0 -8.9 -18.4
  Sat, Dec 6 358 @Morgan St. W 84-80 66%     4 - 5 -7.4 -0.8 -6.9
  Sat, Dec 13 349 Delaware St. L 76-81 77%     4 - 6 -20.0 +2.6 -22.8
  Wed, Dec 17 53 @Wake Forest L 68-71 4%     4 - 7 +10.2 -0.9 +11.3
  Sat, Dec 20 350 @NC Central W 73-71 57%    
  Wed, Dec 31 113 Winthrop L 76-84 24%    
  Sat, Jan 3 106 @High Point L 74-88 9%    
  Wed, Jan 7 219 @UNC Asheville L 71-78 27%    
  Sat, Jan 10 277 Presbyterian W 69-67 57%    
  Sat, Jan 17 253 @Radford L 78-83 33%    
  Wed, Jan 21 362 Gardner-Webb W 84-73 85%    
  Sat, Jan 24 256 Charleston Southern W 76-75 54%    
  Thu, Jan 29 258 @South Carolina Upstate L 72-77 33%    
  Sat, Jan 31 106 High Point L 77-85 23%    
  Wed, Feb 4 362 @Gardner-Webb W 81-76 69%    
  Sat, Feb 7 113 @Winthrop L 73-87 11%    
  Thu, Feb 12 219 UNC Asheville L 74-75 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 258 South Carolina Upstate W 75-74 54%    
  Thu, Feb 19 277 @Presbyterian L 66-70 37%    
  Sat, Feb 21 256 @Charleston Southern L 73-78 33%    
  Sat, Feb 28 253 Radford W 81-80 54%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.6 4.0 3.6 1.3 0.1 10.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 6.1 4.4 0.9 0.0 14.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.9 7.9 4.9 0.7 0.0 16.8 5th
6th 0.3 3.1 8.2 5.0 0.8 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.5 7.9 4.6 0.7 0.0 17.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 4.5 5.8 3.3 0.4 15.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.7 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.4 6.3 10.1 14.4 16.3 16.1 13.4 9.6 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 96.4% 0.1    0.1
13-3 71.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 26.0% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 6.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.1% 25.0% 25.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.4% 16.4% 16.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.1% 10.8% 10.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.0
11-5 3.0% 6.8% 6.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.8
10-6 5.8% 4.0% 4.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 5.6
9-7 9.6% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.2
8-8 13.4% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.1
7-9 16.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 15.9
6-10 16.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 16.1
5-11 14.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 14.3
4-12 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.1
3-13 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
2-14 2.4% 2.4
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.7 98.0 0.0%