IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Longwood
Big South
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.5	#204
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#88
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.4	#174

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#246

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.6%	15.3%	8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	13.5	14.2

.500 or above	64.4%	86.0%	61.5%
.500 or above in Conference	65.2%	79.1%	63.3%
Conference Champion	10.7%	19.9%	9.4%
Last Place in Conference	4.4%	1.7%	4.8%

First Four	0.8%	0.5%	0.8%
First Round	9.6%	15.3%	8.9%
Second Round	0.5%	1.0%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 12.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 5	3 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 5	16 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	77	@ Pittsburgh	L	66-79	12%
Nov 12, 2025	129	James Madison	L	71-72	45%
Nov 15, 2025	331	Binghamton	W	76-65	83%
Nov 18, 2025	360	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	78-62	93%
Nov 23, 2025	265	@ Columbia	L	79-80	50%
Nov 28, 2025	222	Siena	W	74-73	54%
Nov 29, 2025	290	Maine	W	71-66	66%
Nov 30, 2025	303	@ American	W	69-66	59%
Dec 06, 2025	355	@ Morgan St.	W	82-74	75%
Dec 13, 2025	338	Delaware St.	W	82-71	83%
Dec 17, 2025	67	@ Wake Forest	L	66-80	11%
Dec 20, 2025	329	@ NC Central	W	76-72	65%
Dec 31, 2025	161	Winthrop	W	81-80	53%
Jan 03, 2026	108	@ High Point	L	69-79	21%
Jan 07, 2026	184	@ UNC Asheville	L	74-78	37%
Jan 10, 2026	267	Presbyterian	W	73-67	70%
Jan 17, 2026	150	@ Radford	L	66-72	31%
Jan 21, 2026	307	Gardner-Webb	W	79-70	76%
Jan 24, 2026	318	Charleston Southern	W	77-68	78%
Jan 29, 2026	336	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	83-78	66%
Jan 31, 2026	108	High Point	L	72-76	38%
Feb 04, 2026	307	@ Gardner-Webb	W	76-73	59%
Feb 07, 2026	161	@ Winthrop	L	78-83	34%
Feb 12, 2026	184	UNC Asheville	W	77-75	57%
Feb 14, 2026	336	South Carolina Upstate	W	86-75	82%
Feb 19, 2026	267	@ Presbyterian	W	70-69	51%
Feb 21, 2026	318	@ Charleston Southern	W	74-71	61%
Feb 28, 2026	150	Radford	W	70-69	50%
Projected Record						16 - 12	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	0.9	2.3	3.3	2.8	1.1	0.3		10.7	1st
2nd									0.0	0.5	2.5	4.9	4.6	1.8	0.3				14.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	1.0	4.3	6.1	4.1	0.9	0.1					16.5	3rd
4th							0.1	1.6	5.2	6.4	3.0	0.5	0.0						16.9	4th
5th					0.0	0.2	2.3	5.6	5.4	1.9	0.2								15.7	5th
6th					0.4	2.3	4.6	3.4	0.7	0.1	0.0								11.6	6th
7th			0.0	0.4	1.8	3.1	1.7	0.3	0.0										7.3	7th
8th		0.0	0.3	1.2	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.0											4.4	8th
9th	0.1	0.4	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0													2.3	9th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.3	2.3	4.2	6.6	9.0	11.0	12.3	13.2	11.9	10.5	7.8	5.1	3.0	1.1	0.3			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
15-1	100.0%	1.1		1.0	0.1
14-2	91.5%	2.8		2.1	0.7	0.0
13-3	64.0%	3.3		2.0	1.1	0.2
12-4	29.1%	2.3		0.8	1.0	0.4	0.0
11-5	8.6%	0.9		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1
10-6	0.8%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0						0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	10.7%	10.7		6.4	3.3	0.8	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.3%		51.5%	51.5%		11.3										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
15-1	1.1%		43.7%	43.7%		12.1											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			0.6
14-2	3.0%		37.8%	37.8%		12.8												0.0	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0		1.9
13-3	5.1%		30.5%	30.5%		13.5												0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	3.5
12-4	7.8%		20.6%	20.6%		14.1												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.0	6.2
11-5	10.5%		14.4%	14.4%		14.8												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.2	9.0
10-6	11.9%		10.7%	10.7%		16.0													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.4	10.6
9-7	13.2%		7.0%	7.0%		16.3													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	12.3
8-8	12.3%		4.2%	4.2%		17.4															0.0	0.2	0.3	11.8
7-9	11.0%		2.2%	2.2%		17.5																0.1	0.2	10.8
6-10	9.0%		1.4%	1.4%		18.0																0.0	0.1	8.9
5-11	6.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.6
4-12	4.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
3-13	2.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.3
2-14	1.3%																							1.3
1-15	0.4%																							0.4
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.6%	9.6%	0.0%	14.6										0.0	0.0	0.2	1.1	2.0	2.7	2.3	1.7	90.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	10.0									33.1	33.1	33.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%
Lose Out	0.0%